2011 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 761.26 points

8th place

3.38 expected wins (0.422)

40-48 all-play record (0.455)

+12.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 62.28 120.32 Allen -58.04 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 138.17 104.84 Pat 33.33
3 W 111.02 109.31 Rob 1.71
4 L 96.21 121.00 Babel -24.79
5 W 108.41 92.26 Dave 16.15
6 W 99.76 69.43 Ed 30.33
7 L 59.96 110.89 Matt -50.93
8 L 85.45 106.08 Pulley -20.63
9 Mike R.
10 Kevin
11 Rabbit
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923330.8%268.076.8265729958306340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.2%38.940170940170944140.7654610072046403.7%96.20512820512818133.39380262735702117.0%153.47008547008548105.70325501699641233.1%210.7350427350427371.9999999999999930.0%268.012.422376760892035413.2%325.2649572649573113.5813845285689652.0%382.52991452991455136.9386109305078860.0%439.79487179487177141.2057992383366270.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th95.64725274725272245.00699300699328th179.54835164835166191.8601398601399310th263.44945054945055245.00699300699348th347.3505494505494191.8601398601399510th431.2516483516483245.006993006993610th515.1527472527472245.006993006993710th599.053846153846245.006993006993812th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461318th95.64725274725272191.860139860139925th179.54835164835166112.1398601398601637th263.44945054945055165.286713286713347th347.3505494505494165.286713286713353rd431.251648351648358.99300699300701567th515.1527472527472165.286713286713378th599.053846153846191.8601398601399812th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th95.64725274725272218.4335664335664527th179.54835164835166165.286713286713338th263.44945054945055191.860139860139948th347.3505494505494191.860139860139959th431.2516483516483218.43356643356645610th515.1527472527472245.006993006993710th599.053846153846245.0069930069938Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Philip Rivers QB
2.03 15 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.10 34 Pittsburgh DEF
4.03 39 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
5.10 58 Mario Manningham WR
6.03 63 Sidney Rice WR
7.10 82 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
8.03 87 Owen Daniels TE
9.10 106 Darren McFadden K RB
10.03 111 Joe Flacco QB
11.10 130 Michael Bush RB
12.03 135 Marcedes Lewis TE
13.10 154 Jerome Harrison RB
14.03 159 Jacoby Ford WR
15.10 178 Jerome Simpson WR
16.03 183 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076140.7468829785100610.91787.4692307692307677.4810557837566420.674140.1615384615384494.2186600159722530.000192.85384615384618140.7468829785100640.633245.5461538461538697.0724328620604250.478298.2384615384615107.7401075486281560.000350.93076923076916140.7468829785100670.000403.6230769230769140.7468829785100680.00634.776923076923076140.3320053702225310.00087.4692307692307614.21522858900323220.000140.1615384615384447.6904370534344430.423192.85384615384618111.5338135146580840.000245.5461538461538653.39798274561080450.000298.238461538461574.733332118746256-0.004350.93076923076916140.9888261046396670.250403.6230769230769123.503805174639048Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678036.20480769230769141.2307692307692311091.0605769230769278.293706293706328145.9163461538461590.8811188811188830200.77211538461538141.2307692307692349255.627884615384684.5874125874125955310.48365384615386109.7622377622377660365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.0605769230769215.3566433566433620145.9163461538461540.5314685314685333200.77211538461538122.3496503496503540255.627884615384627.94405594405594750310.4836538461538678.2937062937063162365.3394230769231128.6433566433566473420.1951923076923122.349650349650358All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Derrek 4-4 8th 95.16 0.422 24.27 8-5 3rd 6th place
1 977 2023 Ed 5-3 6th 95.58 0.425 16.55 11-3 1st 2nd place
2 965 2013 Pat 4-4 8th 91.15 0.420 17.13 5-8 12th
3 964 2009 Dave 5-3 4th 92.67 0.425 13.82 5-8 11th
4 959 2012 Dave 4-4 6th 90.45 0.414 21.94 6-7 7th
5 954 2010 Rob 3-5 9th 86.59 0.419 22.04 6-7 7th
6 954 2017 Pat 2-6 14th 88.86 0.427 18.73 6-7 7th
7 953 2014 Schertz 5-3 5th 95.09 0.436 14.48 5-8 13th
8 951 2019 Rabbit 5-3 6th 97.51 0.433 33.04 6-7 7th
9 951 2013 Schertz 4-4 7th 91.67 0.437 21.83 6-7 9th
10 950 2023 Schertz 4-4 9th 98.11 0.440 25.05 6-8 9th