2011 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 761.26 points (95.16 average)

8th place

3.38 expected wins (0.422)

40-48 all-play record (0.455)

+12.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 62.28 120.32 Allen -58.04 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 138.17 104.84 Pat 33.33
3 W 111.02 109.31 Rob 1.71
4 L 96.21 121.00 Babel -24.79
5 W 108.41 92.26 Dave 16.15
6 W 99.76 69.43 Ed 30.33
7 L 59.96 110.89 Matt -50.93
8 L 85.45 106.08 Pulley -20.63
9 Mike R.
10 Kevin
11 Rabbit
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923330.5%268.077.4814914842295840.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.2%38.940170940170944140.7646916795036403.8%96.20512820512818133.2992789802558117.1%153.47008547008548105.39751488865794233.1%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.013.732213737689932413.1%325.2649572649573113.9576691744579252.1%382.52991452991455136.845269343634260.0%439.79487179487177141.154011592630770.0%497.05982905982904141.2304764518828Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th95.64725274725272245.00699300699328th179.54835164835166191.8601398601399310th263.44945054945055245.00699300699348th347.3505494505494191.8601398601399510th431.2516483516483245.00699300699369th515.1527472527472218.43356643356645710th599.053846153846245.006993006993812th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461318th95.64725274725272191.860139860139925th179.54835164835166112.1398601398601637th263.44945054945055165.286713286713347th347.3505494505494165.286713286713353rd431.251648351648358.99300699300701567th515.1527472527472165.286713286713378th599.053846153846191.8601398601399812th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th95.64725274725272218.4335664335664527th179.54835164835166165.286713286713338th263.44945054945055191.860139860139948th347.3505494505494191.860139860139959th431.2516483516483218.43356643356645610th515.1527472527472245.006993006993710th599.053846153846245.0069930069938Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Philip Rivers QB
2.03 15 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.10 34 Pittsburgh DEF
4.03 39 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
5.10 58 Mario Manningham WR
6.03 63 Sidney Rice WR
7.10 82 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
8.03 87 Owen Daniels TE
9.10 106 Darren McFadden K RB
10.03 111 Joe Flacco QB
11.10 130 Michael Bush RB
12.03 135 Marcedes Lewis TE
13.10 154 Jerome Harrison RB
14.03 159 Jacoby Ford WR
15.10 178 Jerome Simpson WR
16.03 183 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.91987.4692307692307677.6397711670099120.677140.1615384615384494.3382462697532330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.630245.5461538461538697.6308260709260250.472298.2384615384615108.5509634330262460.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.01434.776923076923076140.2867878047065610.00087.4692307692307614.04877310325059620.000140.1615384615384447.4457233087372430.411192.85384615384618112.8049223929998140.000245.5461538461538654.030882911082850.000298.238461538461575.8711576352832560.005350.93076923076916140.854738674396670.249403.6230769230769123.982987708151288Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678036.20480769230769141.2307692307692311091.0605769230769278.293706293706328145.9163461538461590.8811188811188830200.77211538461538141.2307692307692349255.627884615384684.5874125874125955310.48365384615386109.7622377622377660365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.0605769230769215.3566433566433620145.9163461538461540.5314685314685333200.77211538461538122.3496503496503540255.627884615384627.94405594405594750310.4836538461538678.2937062937063162365.3394230769231128.6433566433566473420.1951923076923122.349650349650358All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Derrek 4-4 8th 95.16 0.422 24.27 8-5 3rd 6th place
1 978 2023 Ed 5-3 6th 95.58 0.424 16.55 11-3 1st 2nd place
2 964 2009 Dave 5-3 4th 92.67 0.419 13.82 5-8 11th
3 964 2016 Allen 4-4 9th 93.52 0.409 22.10 4-9 13th
4 962 2012 Dave 4-4 6th 90.45 0.415 21.94 6-7 7th
5 961 2013 Pat 4-4 8th 91.15 0.418 17.13 5-8 12th
6 956 2020 Babel 5-3 5th 96.36 0.430 12.81 8-5 3rd 3rd place
7 955 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.407 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
8 954 2015 Ed 3-5 11th 91.07 0.409 22.18 4-9 12th
9 953 2017 Pat 2-6 14th 88.86 0.427 18.73 6-7 7th
10 952 2010 Rob 3-5 9th 86.59 0.418 22.04 6-7 7th