2011 Ed (through 10 weeks)

7-3 (0.700), 1,018.56 points

1st place

5.06 expected wins (0.506)

58-52 all-play record (0.527)

-26.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 94.22 112.66 Matt -18.44
2 W 121.70 101.09 Pulley 20.61
3 W 123.82 108.58 Mike R. 15.24 Team Blangums
4 W 115.80 90.08 Kevin 25.72
5 L 94.50 117.74 Rabbit -23.24
6 L 69.43 99.76 Derrek -30.33 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 93.93 48.73 Pat 45.20
8 W 95.88 79.58 Rob 16.30
9 W 133.41 64.51 Babel 68.90 Team Blangums
10 W 75.87 73.97 Dave 1.90
11 Allen
12 Rabbit
13 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.23076923076923610.3%361.7062937062937117.6313086626626370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2101554710601500.2%80.5874125874126140.7428241509199712.0%127.44055944055944136.764093973617228.9%174.29370629370626120.78725448294243322.1%221.1468531468531590.70205614617811430.3%268.072.0523.6%314.853146853146887.3251615688593760.0%361.706293706293794.0318480945560472.4%408.5594405594406135.8242477295085680.2%455.41258741258747140.689838577556190.0%502.2657342657343141.2132556119209710Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th77.0025641025641165.286713286713323rd142.258974358974358.99300699300701532nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804343rd272.7717948717948458.99300699300701557th338.0282051282051165.286713286713368th403.28461538461534191.860139860139978th468.5410256410256191.860139860139983rd533.797435897435958.99300699300701596th599.053846153846138.71328671328675109th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664516th77.0025641025641138.7132867132867522nd142.258974358974332.4195804195804332nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804345th272.77179487179484112.1398601398601658th338.0282051282051191.860139860139966th403.28461538461534138.7132867132867574th468.541025641025685.5664335664335782nd533.797435897435932.4195804195804391st599.0538461538465.846153846153868109th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th77.0025641025641165.286713286713323rd142.258974358974358.99300699300701532nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804344th272.7717948717948485.5664335664335758th338.0282051282051191.860139860139968th403.28461538461534191.860139860139977th468.5410256410256165.286713286713384th533.797435897435985.5664335664335797th599.053846153846165.286713286713310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Roddy White K WR
2.02 14 Matt Forte RB
3.11 35 Ryan Mathews RB
4.02 38 Brandon Marshall WR
5.11 59 Matt Schaub QB
6.02 62 Santana Moss WR
7.11 83 Shonn Greene K RB
8.02 86 Michael Crabtree WR
9.11 107 Lance Moore WR
10.02 110 Tony Moeaki TE
11.11 131 Thomas Jones RB
12.02 134 Earl Bennett WR
13.11 155 Visanthe Shiancoe TE
14.02 158 Colt McCoy QB
15.11 179 New York DEF
16.02 182 Neil Rackers K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.81471.6615384615384784.8466715490681320.832113.815384615384683.6079726248800330.748155.9692307692307389.4491767260972840.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.386282.4307692307692114.5186246780140470.419324.58461538461535112.245782615283680.895366.7384615384615479.2782084953785590.118408.89230769230767133.04228748926712100.39029.507692307692306114.2117909995454310.00071.6615384615384728.46257386736702720.000113.815384615384625.98517601899085630.000155.9692307692307337.66758422142531540.396198.12307692307692113.8367720591949150.057240.27692307692305137.2697737259457560.000282.430769230769287.8064801252588470.000324.5846153846153583.2607959997979880.000366.7384615384615417.32564775998788890.000408.89230769230767124.8538057477650410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231874.6038461538461590.88111888111888211118.4884615384615472.037162.373076923076997.1748251748251740206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692366294.026923076923103.4685314685314776337.9115384615384103.46853146853147811381.7961538461538672.092425.6807692307692128.6433566433566410330.719230769230762122.349650349650351074.6038461538461540.5314685314685320118.488461538461542.769230769230773630162.373076923076953.1188811188811244206.2576923076923116.0559440559440550250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.02692307692365.7062937062937270337.911538461538465.7062937062937280381.796153846153862.769230769230773690425.6807692307692116.0559440559440510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Ed 7-3 1st 101.86 0.506 20.01 9-4 1st 3rd place
1 981 2009 Ed 6-4 3rd 102.20 0.505 28.21 7-6 4th 6th place
2 980 2015 Schertz 7-3 2nd 100.31 0.503 24.70 9-4 2nd 2nd place
3 976 2011 Matt 5-5 7th 102.38 0.516 20.30 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 972 2021 Kevin 5-5 8th 102.16 0.514 24.39 5-9 9th
5 972 2021 Ed 3-7 9th 100.37 0.512 15.43 6-8 8th
6 971 2015 Mike R. 7-3 3rd 96.29 0.506 16.98 8-5 4th 6th place
7 968 2022 Matt 5-5 7th 100.66 0.516 23.39 6-8 11th
8 965 2010 Pulley 7-3 3rd 96.39 0.512 19.77 8-5 4th 5th place
9 963 2023 Pat 4-6 10th 100.75 0.521 19.27 5-9 11th
10 960 2022 Kevin 5-5 8th 97.49 0.499 24.98 6-8 12th