2011 Ed (through 10 weeks)

7-3 (0.700), 1,018.56 points (101.86 average)

1st place

5.05 expected wins (0.505)

58-52 all-play record (0.527)

-26.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 94.22 112.66 Matt -18.44
2 W 121.70 101.09 Pulley 20.61
3 W 123.82 108.58 Mike R. 15.24 Team Blangums
4 W 115.80 90.08 Kevin 25.72
5 L 94.50 117.74 Rabbit -23.24
6 L 69.43 99.76 Derrek -30.33 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 93.93 48.73 Pat 45.20
8 W 95.88 79.58 Rob 16.30
9 W 133.41 64.51 Babel 68.90 Team Blangums
10 W 75.87 73.97 Dave 1.90
11 Allen
12 Rabbit
13 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.23076923076923610.0%361.7062937062937118.601687104119270.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.214328385422100.2%80.5874125874126140.811214884093511.8%127.44055944055944137.117422843613628.8%174.29370629370626121.36279574474466322.4%221.1468531468531590.6482799868191430.7%268.071.99999999999999523.5%314.853146853146888.3096769325260360.0%361.706293706293795.9726049774691672.3%408.5594405594406136.1257175055577380.2%455.41258741258747140.7114126302137290.0%502.2657342657343141.2130406123672510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th77.0025641025641165.286713286713323rd142.258974358974358.99300699300701532nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804343rd272.7717948717948458.99300699300701557th338.0282051282051165.286713286713368th403.28461538461534191.860139860139978th468.5410256410256191.860139860139984th533.797435897435985.5664335664335796th599.053846153846138.71328671328675109th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664516th77.0025641025641138.7132867132867522nd142.258974358974332.4195804195804332nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804345th272.77179487179484112.1398601398601658th338.0282051282051191.860139860139966th403.28461538461534138.7132867132867574th468.541025641025685.5664335664335782nd533.797435897435932.4195804195804391st599.0538461538465.846153846153868109th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th77.0025641025641165.286713286713323rd142.258974358974358.99300699300701532nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804344th272.7717948717948485.5664335664335758th338.0282051282051191.860139860139968th403.28461538461534191.860139860139977th468.5410256410256165.286713286713384th533.797435897435985.5664335664335797th599.053846153846165.286713286713310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Roddy White K WR
2.02 14 Matt Forte RB
3.11 35 Ryan Mathews RB
4.02 38 Brandon Marshall WR
5.11 59 Matt Schaub QB
6.02 62 Santana Moss WR
7.11 83 Shonn Greene K RB
8.02 86 Michael Crabtree WR
9.11 107 Lance Moore WR
10.02 110 Tony Moeaki TE
11.11 131 Thomas Jones RB
12.02 134 Earl Bennett WR
13.11 155 Visanthe Shiancoe TE
14.02 158 Colt McCoy QB
15.11 179 New York DEF
16.02 182 Neil Rackers K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.83071.6615384615384783.7437723167304120.851113.815384615384682.3385262579197130.759155.9692307692307388.6859903443543440.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.364282.4307692307692116.0549566195887870.407324.58461538461535113.0789717150766280.901366.7384615384615478.8487514356046190.124408.89230769230767132.66767539765723100.37129.507692307692306115.5432861208172610.00071.6615384615384726.25677540269160220.000113.815384615384623.4462832850702130.000155.9692307692307336.1412114579394540.381198.12307692307692114.8704151039496850.063240.27692307692305136.8690407072123260.000282.430769230769290.8791440084083370.000324.5846153846153584.9271741993840180.000366.7384615384615416.46673364043998390.000408.89230769230767124.1045815645452410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231874.6038461538461590.88111888111888211118.4884615384615472.037162.373076923076997.1748251748251740206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692366294.026923076923103.4685314685314776337.9115384615384103.46853146853147811381.7961538461538672.092425.6807692307692128.6433566433566410330.719230769230762122.349650349650351074.6038461538461540.5314685314685320118.488461538461542.769230769230773630162.373076923076953.1188811188811244206.2576923076923116.0559440559440550250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.02692307692365.7062937062937270337.911538461538465.7062937062937280381.796153846153862.769230769230773690425.6807692307692116.0559440559440510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Ed 7-3 1st 101.86 0.505 20.01 9-4 1st 3rd place
1 983 2015 Schertz 7-3 2nd 100.31 0.506 24.70 9-4 2nd 2nd place
2 973 2021 Kevin 5-5 8th 102.16 0.514 24.39 5-9 9th
3 973 2021 Ed 3-7 9th 100.37 0.511 15.43 6-8 8th
4 972 2011 Matt 5-5 7th 102.38 0.518 20.30 7-6 6th 2nd place
5 972 2009 Ed 6-4 3rd 102.20 0.500 28.21 7-6 4th 6th place
6 971 2022 Kevin 5-5 8th 97.49 0.504 24.98 6-8 12th
7 970 2015 Mike R. 7-3 3rd 96.29 0.506 16.98 8-5 4th 6th place
8 968 2024 Scott 4-6 10th 98.10 0.501 24.23 5-9 12th
9 963 2009 Rob 6-4 4th 97.83 0.499 15.98 8-5 3rd 4th place
10 963 2022 Matt 5-5 7th 100.66 0.518 23.39 6-8 11th