2022 Kevin (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 1,070.91 points

6th place

5.46 expected wins (0.496)

74-69 all-play record (0.517)

-3.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 91.82 73.64 Pulley 18.18
2 L 101.99 174.73 Schertz -72.74
3 W 110.10 84.05 Pat 26.05
4 L 63.04 91.45 Richie -28.41 Slapped Heartbeat
5 W 90.73 80.08 Babel 10.65
6 L 94.42 117.18 Rabbit -22.76
7 W 139.37 121.18 Derrek 18.19 Team Blangums
8 L 102.92 123.17 Rob -20.25
9 W 128.34 83.91 Scott 44.43 Team Blangums
10 L 52.19 67.57 Pulley -15.38 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 95.99 92.40 Matt 3.59
12 Mike R.
13 Ed
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.23076923076923526.7%289.47435897435973.3345088385357860.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2260955358726700.1%74.73076923076923141.014414571294911.1%117.67948717948717138.37664523003126.0%160.62820512820514125.90171980082496316.8%203.5769230769230798.46054612695053427.2%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.4743589743595.438248446302339615.8%332.42307692307696100.998495284624875.4%375.3717948717949127.5860975487153680.9%418.3205128205129138.9474539471383490.0%461.26923076923083141.10783091922795100.0%504.21794871794873141.228981956233511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th70.47692307692309185.727810650887626th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124139th187.93846153846152185.727810650887649th246.66923076923075185.727810650887659th305.4185.727810650887668th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958579th422.86153846153843185.727810650887687th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585108th599.053846153846163.24260355029585116th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124117th70.47692307692309140.7573964497041526th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124139th187.93846153846152185.727810650887648th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958558th305.4163.2426035502958565th364.130769230769295.786982248520778th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958585th481.5923076923076695.786982248520798th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585106th599.053846153846118.27218934911241119th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th70.47692307692309185.727810650887627th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041539th187.93846153846152185.727810650887649th246.66923076923075185.727810650887659th305.4185.727810650887668th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958579th422.86153846153843185.727810650887687th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585109th599.053846153846185.727810650887611Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Joe Mixon RB
2.12 26 George Kittle TE
3.03 31 Cooper Kupp K WR
4.12 54 Michael Thomas WR
5.03 59 Rhamondre Stevenson RB
6.12 82 DeVonta Smith WR
7.03 87 Brandon Aiyuk WR
8.12 110 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
9.03 115 Cam Akers K RB
10.12 138 Trevor Lawrence QB
11.03 143 Van Jefferson WR
12.12 166 K.J. Osborn WR
13.03 171 David Njoku TE
14.12 194 Matt Gay K
15.03 199 Denver DEF
16.12 222 Chris Evans RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.39027.59160839160839114.2532408497608710.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.707104.2349650349650392.2862223134711730.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.371180.87832167832164115.5260324048899250.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.966257.521678321678374.3421342282143370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.907334.16503496503578.4559783617564290.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.464410.8083916083916109.12798199830374110.00027.5916083916083987.2757124687525210.56165.91328671328671102.3662768616806620.000104.2349650349650343.34167539617311630.052142.55664335664335137.618057254629840.000180.8783216783216489.8212955790106150.438219.19999999999996110.8894345969198360.000257.52167832167837.45349922565944270.577295.8433566433567101.2753126715700580.000334.16503496503515.68118749274361890.023372.4867132867133139.65225090077354100.000410.808391608391677.0251947658382411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011528.724475524475523114.603550295857991068.61958041958042141.23076923076923211108.514685314685382.650887573964530148.40979020979017141.2307692307692344188.30489510489508119.9289940828402350228.2141.23076923076923613268.0951048951048472.070307.9902097902098141.23076923076923813347.885314685314772.090387.7804195804196141.23076923076923107427.67552447552447103.9526627218934911028.72447552447552387.976331360946741868.6195804195804298.6272189349112420108.514685314685324.07100591715975230148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.3048951048950898.6272189349112459228.293.3017751479289960268.095104895104842.769230769230773674307.9902097902098119.9289940828402380347.88531468531472.769230769230773690387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.6755244755244766.6745562130177511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Kevin 6-5 6th 97.36 0.496 23.82 6-8 12th
1 993 2022 Rabbit 6-5 5th 97.74 0.495 25.22 8-6 5th 5th place
2 987 2024 Schertz 5-6 8th 99.04 0.495 22.29 7-7 7th
3 987 2015 Schertz 7-4 5th 98.69 0.499 24.11 9-4 2nd 2nd place
4 981 2013 Rob 7-4 4th 99.56 0.500 25.50 8-5 2nd 2nd place
5 972 2024 Kevin 3-8 13th 100.21 0.495 16.57 5-9 11th
6 969 2020 Derrek 6-5 7th 98.97 0.508 23.97 8-5 5th 5th place
7 969 2017 Ed 4-7 8th 94.93 0.503 20.19 4-9 13th
8 969 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.505 22.43 6-8 11th
9 968 2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.505 20.96 6-7 8th
10 966 2009 Derrek 5-6 8th 98.85 0.503 17.02 7-6 5th 3rd place