2012 Allen (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,090.20 points (99.11 average)

7th place

5.56 expected wins (0.506)

66-77 all-play record (0.462)

-1.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.76 87.05 Ed -5.29
2 W 147.72 108.53 Pat 39.19 Team Blangums
3 L 86.43 100.96 Pulley -14.53
4 W 131.94 101.92 Rob 30.02
5 L 90.10 101.09 Rabbit -10.99
6 W 89.04 81.48 Kevin 7.56
7 L 80.58 95.14 Matt -14.56
8 L 106.44 119.41 Mike R. -12.97
9 L 81.67 87.43 Babel -5.76
10 W 92.83 88.85 Schertz 3.98
11 W 101.69 83.43 Dave 18.26
12 Richie
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923426.0%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.1300208080991211.0%117.67948717948717138.6263062807168825.8%160.62820512820514125.66150889175395316.3%203.5769230769230797.7579162864331640.0%246.525641025641022.7692307692307736525.7%289.47435897435972.68985998127727616.4%332.4230769230769697.4974919560151876.8%375.3717948717949123.2108235310462781.7%418.3205128205129136.5960758259286690.3%461.26923076923083140.5540390712417100.0%504.21794871794873141.1879392429581211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th70.4769230769230973.3017751479289924th129.207692307692373.3017751479289934th187.9384615384615273.3017751479289945th246.6692307692307595.786982248520756th305.4118.2721893491124166th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124177th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041587th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415107th599.053846153846140.757396449704151113th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th70.4769230769230973.3017751479289928th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958535th187.9384615384615295.786982248520747th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041556th305.4118.2721893491124166th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124177th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041589th481.59230769230766185.727810650887697th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415107th599.053846153846140.757396449704151113th11.746153846153845275.668639053254411st70.476923076923095.84615384615381124th129.207692307692373.3017751479289934th187.9384615384615273.3017751479289945th246.6692307692307595.786982248520755th305.495.786982248520765th364.130769230769295.786982248520775th422.8615384615384395.786982248520785th481.5923076923076695.786982248520796th540.3230769230769118.27218934911241105th599.05384615384695.786982248520711Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees K QB
2.05 19 Wes Welker WR
3.10 38 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.05 47 Willis McGahee RB
5.10 66 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.05 75 Santonio Holmes WR
7.10 94 Green Bay DEF
8.05 103 Felix Jones RB
9.10 122 Brent Celek TE
10.05 131 LeGarrette Blount RB
11.10 150 Jake Locker QB
12.05 159 Marshawn Lynch K RB
13.10 178 David Akers K
14.05 187 Jerome Simpson WR
15.10 206 Mike Tolbert RB
16.05 215 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692311.00065.9132867132867172.0000000000000120.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.949142.5566433566433575.5162293601006240.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.374219.19999999999996115.3249641697068960.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.431372.4867132867133111.40164789629291100.585410.8083916083916100.70699675139318110.28027.59160839160839121.817008471140210.00065.913286713286712.76923076923080220.345104.23496503496503117.3796750021224330.000142.556643356643359.80168948943202240.388180.87832167832164114.382315024819550.000219.1999999999999689.4191591086445560.257257.5216783216783123.4428886298819570.675295.843356643356794.5084683742770780.276334.165034965035122.1437941704491390.000372.486713286713381.5725265618166100.000410.808391608391660.1832242720171311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.2307692307692311368.6195804195804272.020108.5146853146853141.23076923076923311148.4097902097901782.650887573964540188.30489510489508141.2307692307692353228.2125.2544378698224860268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692396387.7804195804196109.27810650887574109427.6755244755244793.3017751479289911128.724475524475523135.905325443786981068.619580419580422.769230769230773627108.5146853146853103.9526627218934930148.4097902097901724.07100591715975242188.30489510489508130.5798816568047350228.2109.2781065088757464268.09510489510484119.9289940828402378307.990209790209898.6272189349112482347.8853146853147130.5798816568047390387.780419580419677.32544378698225100427.6755244755244745.37278106508874511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.506 20.96 6-7 8th
1 992 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.504 18.50 6-7 9th
2 991 2009 Derrek 5-6 8th 98.85 0.506 17.02 7-6 5th 3rd place
3 988 2013 Rob 7-4 4th 99.56 0.505 25.50 8-5 2nd 2nd place
4 988 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.508 22.43 6-8 11th
5 988 2020 Derrek 6-5 7th 98.97 0.508 23.97 8-5 5th 5th place
6 986 2015 Schertz 7-4 5th 98.69 0.503 24.11 9-4 2nd 2nd place
7 981 2021 Kevin 5-6 8th 101.51 0.508 23.34 5-9 9th
8 979 2022 Kevin 6-5 6th 97.36 0.501 23.82 6-8 12th
9 979 2024 Schertz 5-6 8th 99.04 0.496 22.29 7-7 7th
10 977 2017 Ed 4-7 8th 94.93 0.503 20.19 4-9 13th