2009 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,087.39 points

8th place

5.53 expected wins (0.503)

59-62 all-play record (0.488)

-8.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 L 73.82 81.24 Pat -7.42
8 L 85.27 90.33 Mike R. -5.06
9 W 115.93 82.90 Pulley 33.03
10 W 121.13 116.97 Babel 4.16
11 L 76.86 114.41 Rob -37.55 Slapped Heartbeat
12 Ed
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923426.2%246.5256410256410273.704896327872750.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.213363319704700.1%74.73076923076923140.8677496137423811.2%117.67948717948717138.0919099167594525.7%160.62820512820514126.58636259468642315.6%203.57692307692307100.9280210389284240.0%246.525641025641026.1790234249761795526.8%289.47435897435972.0616.7%332.4230769230769698.1803438190083976.2%375.3717948717949125.3558716323566781.3%418.3205128205129137.8965746559625290.1%461.26923076923083140.86607536587428100.0%504.21794871794873141.214760310888111Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd70.4769230769230932.4195804195804328th129.2076923076923191.860139860139933rd187.9384615384615258.99300699300701542nd246.6692307692307532.4195804195804353rd305.458.99300699300701567th364.1307692307692165.286713286713378th422.86153846153843191.860139860139985th481.59230769230766112.1398601398601694th540.323076923076985.56643356643357108th599.053846153846191.8601398601399118th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd70.4769230769230958.99300699300701529th129.2076923076923218.4335664335664535th187.93846153846152112.1398601398601643rd246.6692307692307558.99300699300701556th305.4138.7132867132867569th364.1307692307692218.43356643356645710th422.86153846153843245.00699300699389th481.59230769230766218.4335664335664597th540.3230769230769165.2867132867133108th599.053846153846191.8601398601399118th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd70.4769230769230932.4195804195804328th129.2076923076923191.860139860139933rd187.9384615384615258.99300699300701542nd246.6692307692307532.4195804195804354th305.485.5664335664335768th364.1307692307692191.860139860139978th422.86153846153843191.860139860139985th481.59230769230766112.1398601398601696th540.3230769230769138.71328671328675108th599.053846153846191.860139860139911Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.74365.9132867132867189.7588170201433420.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.817142.5566433566433584.6903792202544740.662180.8783216783216495.384101125401250.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.781334.16503496503587.1677770686306490.840372.486713286713383.05393293508854100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.48327.59160839160839107.8165472085367210.00065.9132867132867138.2868648095174520.190104.23496503496503128.0902984080922230.000142.5566433566433528.14998920973971540.000180.8783216783216449.5374330200331650.452219.19999999999996109.907561906248760.127257.5216783216783132.4314267479073870.277295.8433566433567122.0559027315429180.000334.16503496503533.1047849064920790.000372.486713286713324.877096639407867100.161410.8083916083916130.0676710026677411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.2307692307692311068.6195804195804278.293706293706320108.5146853146853141.23076923076923311148.4097902097901772.049188.3048951048950884.5874125874125950228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692389347.885314685314784.5874125874125999387.780419580419684.58741258741259100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311428.724475524475523116.055944055944051068.6195804195804215.3566433566433621108.5146853146853134.9370629370629330148.409790209790172.769230769230773640188.3048951048950827.94405594405594752228.2128.6433566433566461268.09510489510484134.9370629370629373307.9902097902098122.3496503496503580347.885314685314727.94405594405594790387.780419580419627.944055944055947100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 5-6 8th 98.85 0.503 17.02 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 986 2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.505 20.96 6-7 8th
2 985 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.509 18.50 6-7 9th
3 983 2015 Mike R. 8-3 2nd 95.15 0.504 16.58 8-5 4th 6th place
4 983 2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.510 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
5 981 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.505 22.43 6-8 11th
6 978 2015 Schertz 7-4 5th 98.69 0.499 24.11 9-4 2nd 2nd place
7 978 2017 Ed 4-7 8th 94.93 0.503 20.19 4-9 13th
8 977 2024 Kevin 3-8 13th 100.21 0.495 16.57 5-9 11th
9 976 2020 Derrek 6-5 7th 98.97 0.508 23.97 8-5 5th 5th place
10 975 2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.510 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place