2009 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,087.39 points (98.85 average)

8th place

5.56 expected wins (0.506)

59-62 all-play record (0.488)

-8.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.07 103.78 Ed -5.71
2 W 113.43 96.95 Allen 16.48
3 L 79.29 93.31 Matt -14.02
4 W 119.18 87.02 Rabbit 32.16 Team Blangums
5 W 108.29 96.73 Kevin 11.56
6 L 96.12 96.50 Dave -0.38
7 L 73.82 81.24 Pat -7.42
8 L 85.27 90.33 Mike R. -5.06
9 W 115.93 82.90 Pulley 33.03
10 W 121.13 116.97 Babel 4.16
11 L 76.86 114.41 Rob -37.55 Slapped Heartbeat
12 Ed
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923426.7%246.5256410256410274.9683422133398850.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2206662420765300.1%74.73076923076923140.9872201443462811.0%117.67948717948717138.833621157254825.0%160.62820512820514128.74503168703464315.1%203.57692307692307103.8007451595215840.0%246.525641025641028.705915195910535527.9%289.47435897435972.0617.0%332.4230769230769699.0838650904925275.9%375.3717948717949126.6702471906020581.1%418.3205128205129138.4826335419972590.1%461.26923076923083140.9692965753119100.0%504.21794871794873141.2210116904612411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd70.4769230769230932.4195804195804328th129.2076923076923191.860139860139933rd187.9384615384615258.99300699300701542nd246.6692307692307532.4195804195804353rd305.458.99300699300701567th364.1307692307692165.286713286713378th422.86153846153843191.860139860139985th481.59230769230766112.1398601398601693rd540.323076923076958.993006993007015108th599.053846153846191.8601398601399118th11.746153846153845191.860139860139913rd70.4769230769230958.99300699300701529th129.2076923076923218.4335664335664535th187.93846153846152112.1398601398601643rd246.6692307692307558.99300699300701556th305.4138.7132867132867569th364.1307692307692218.43356643356645710th422.86153846153843245.00699300699389th481.59230769230766218.4335664335664597th540.3230769230769165.2867132867133108th599.053846153846191.8601398601399118th11.746153846153845191.860139860139912nd70.4769230769230932.4195804195804328th129.2076923076923191.860139860139933rd187.9384615384615258.99300699300701542nd246.6692307692307532.4195804195804354th305.485.5664335664335768th364.1307692307692191.860139860139978th422.86153846153843191.860139860139985th481.59230769230766112.1398601398601696th540.3230769230769138.71328671328675108th599.053846153846191.860139860139911Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 Marion Barber III K RB
3.06 30 Brandon Marshall WR
4.07 43 Antonio Gates TE
5.06 54 Roddy White K WR
6.07 67 Matt Cassel QB
7.06 78 Devin Hester WR
8.07 91 Tennessee DEF
9.06 102 Steve Breaston WR
10.07 115 David Garrard QB
11.06 126 Rashard Mendenhall RB
12.07 139 Ladell Betts RB
13.06 150 Sidney Rice WR
14.07 163 David Akers K
15.06 174 Brent Celek TE
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.76165.9132867132867188.5784554072939220.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.845142.5566433566433582.7260929095718640.675180.8783216783216494.4902786535567750.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.812334.16503496503584.9958107630477690.866372.486713286713381.26220434203765100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.48727.59160839160839107.4913854425295210.00065.9132867132867135.9261415838185920.160104.23496503496503130.1242063358445230.000142.5566433566433524.2214165883744840.000180.8783216783216447.74978807634431650.452219.19999999999996109.9677532422290160.106257.5216783216783133.917172263866470.267295.8433566433567122.7455851602136680.000334.16503496503528.76085229532630290.000372.486713286713321.293639453306085100.130410.8083916083916132.2643403606831511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.2307692307692311068.6195804195804278.293706293706320108.5146853146853141.23076923076923311148.4097902097901772.049188.3048951048950884.5874125874125950228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692389347.885314685314784.5874125874125999387.780419580419684.58741258741259100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311428.724475524475523116.055944055944051068.6195804195804215.3566433566433621108.5146853146853134.9370629370629330148.409790209790172.769230769230773640188.3048951048950827.94405594405594752228.2128.6433566433566461268.09510489510484134.9370629370629373307.9902097902098122.3496503496503580347.885314685314727.94405594405594790387.780419580419627.944055944055947100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Derrek 5-6 8th 98.85 0.506 17.02 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 994 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.504 18.50 6-7 9th
2 991 2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.506 20.96 6-7 8th
3 983 2015 Mike R. 8-3 2nd 95.15 0.505 16.58 8-5 4th 6th place
4 982 2020 Scott 7-4 5th 99.82 0.509 13.92 7-6 8th
5 982 2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.512 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
6 980 2020 Derrek 6-5 7th 98.97 0.508 23.97 8-5 5th 5th place
7 979 2015 Schertz 7-4 5th 98.69 0.503 24.11 9-4 2nd 2nd place
8 979 2013 Rob 7-4 4th 99.56 0.505 25.50 8-5 2nd 2nd place
9 979 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.508 22.43 6-8 11th
10 975 2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.510 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place