2020 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 1,088.67 points

7th place

5.59 expected wins (0.508)

76-67 all-play record (0.531)

-3.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.29 89.64 Mike R. 30.65
2 W 120.45 115.27 Ed 5.18
3 L 94.86 115.20 Pulley -20.34
4 L 77.59 103.54 Rob -25.95
5 L 72.78 94.18 Babel -21.40
6 W 117.52 105.43 Pat 12.09
7 W 79.49 65.33 Dave 14.16
8 L 53.06 87.50 Kevin -34.44 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 102.33 115.69 Matt -13.36
10 W 121.37 73.31 Richie 48.06 Team Blangums
11 W 128.93 107.06 Schertz 21.87
12 Scott
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.23076923076923530.6%289.47435897435972.060.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2264977734981200.1%74.73076923076923141.1080482691837410.6%117.67948717948717139.7900591937581423.9%160.62820512820514132.2984049472508313.9%203.57692307692307109.76075281621425427.9%246.5256410256410278.1019002064292550.0%289.4743589743592.7692307692307736617.5%332.42307692307696101.7056792493519574.9%375.3717948717949130.1546536883162780.6%418.3205128205129139.7811365555742290.0%461.26923076923083141.15908823656747100.0%504.21794871794873141.2305736765141511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd70.4769230769230928.33136094674557625th129.207692307692395.7869822485207310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272510th305.4208.2130177514793610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272911th540.3230769230769230.698224852071109th599.053846153846185.7278106508876112nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st70.476923076923095.84615384615381125th129.207692307692395.786982248520738th187.93846153846152163.24260355029585411th246.66923076923075230.69822485207159th305.4185.727810650887666th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124179th422.86153846153843185.7278106508876811th481.59230769230766230.69822485207199th540.3230769230769185.7278106508876107th599.053846153846140.75739644970415112nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557613rd70.4769230769230950.81656804733728425th129.207692307692395.7869822485207310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272511th305.4230.698224852071611th364.1307692307692230.698224852071713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272911th540.3230769230769230.698224852071109th599.053846153846185.727810650887611Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Christian McCaffrey K RB
2.03 17 Adam Thielen WR
3.12 40 Jonathan Taylor RB
4.03 45 T.Y. Hilton WR
5.12 68 Diontae Johnson WR
6.03 73 Tyler Higbee TE
7.12 96 Robbie Chosen WR
8.03 101 Daniel Jones QB
9.12 124 James Conner K RB
10.03 129 Justin Jefferson WR
11.12 152 Pittsburgh DEF
12.03 157 Benny Snell, Jr. RB
13.12 180 Nyheim Hines RB
14.03 185 Denzel Mims WR
15.12 208 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16.03 213 Matt Prater K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.82327.5916083916083984.2326868797650110.82565.9132867132867184.0963163560011820.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.789219.1999999999999686.5737142043773860.184257.5216783216783128.4735576308130570.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.834372.486713286713383.48264899906397100.890410.808391608391679.61881749242221110.00027.5916083916083927.23460452876079810.00065.9132867132867126.96186348123313820.423104.23496503496503111.9159032038217830.161142.55664335664335130.053182864410740.109180.87832167832164133.6670017441521250.000219.1999999999999631.91665917798552260.000257.5216783216783115.7163460308568770.003295.8433566433567141.0310100273987480.546334.165034965035103.426838099523690.000372.486713286713325.73452876735871100.000410.808391608391618.00686575407520711Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111228.72447552447552377.325443786982251968.6195804195804293.3017751479289920108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.23076923076923512228.277.3254437869822563268.09510489510484125.2544378698224870307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.23076923076923913387.780419580419672.01012427.6755244755244777.3254437869822511028.72447552447552313.420118343195271068.6195804195804245.37278106508874524108.5146853146853119.9289940828402331148.40979020979017135.9053254437869841188.30489510489508135.9053254437869850228.213.4201183431952760268.09510489510484109.2781065088757470307.9902097902098141.2307692307692389347.885314685314793.3017751479289990387.78041958041962.7692307692307736100427.6755244755244713.4201183431952711All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Derrek 6-5 7th 98.97 0.508 23.97 8-5 5th 5th place
1 988 2021 Kevin 5-6 8th 101.51 0.508 23.34 5-9 9th
2 988 2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.505 20.96 6-7 8th
3 988 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.509 18.50 6-7 9th
4 987 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.505 22.43 6-8 11th
5 981 2015 Schertz 7-4 5th 98.69 0.499 24.11 9-4 2nd 2nd place
6 979 2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.510 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
7 979 2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.510 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place
8 977 2013 Rob 7-4 4th 99.56 0.500 25.50 8-5 2nd 2nd place
9 976 2023 Pat 5-6 10th 99.77 0.513 18.63 5-9 11th
10 976 2009 Derrek 5-6 8th 98.85 0.503 17.02 7-6 5th 3rd place