2024 Kevin (through 11 weeks)

3-8 (0.273), 1,102.30 points (100.21 average)

13th place

5.38 expected wins (0.489)

63-80 all-play record (0.441)

+6.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.49 87.90 Richie -2.41
2 L 72.58 82.85 Pat -10.27 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 102.58 115.58 Scott -13.00
4 W 136.75 112.42 Rob 24.33
5 L 108.57 148.27 Rabbit -39.70
6 L 83.91 92.29 Ed -8.38
7 W 103.65 59.68 Pulley 43.97
8 L 86.99 106.30 Matt -19.31 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 111.70 129.65 Richie -17.95
10 W 105.35 63.29 Derrek 42.06
11 L 104.73 140.65 Schertz -35.92
12 Babel
13 Mike R.
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692327.5%160.62820512820514121.3867067576488230.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2070172640090400.2%74.73076923076923140.6168861489426811.9%117.67948717948717136.2981548125223420.0%160.62820512820514101.54264428452842317.7%203.5769230769230794.40239938595383426.1%246.5256410256410272.0524.7%289.47435897435975.6465971028731614.9%332.42307692307696101.6314617902209275.6%375.3717948717949126.4237710140113681.2%418.3205128205129137.9879986714579490.1%461.26923076923083140.86014898985314100.0%504.21794871794873141.2144570292863411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207139th187.93846153846152185.727810650887647th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041559th305.4185.727810650887669th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272810th481.59230769230766208.213017751479398th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585107th599.053846153846140.757396449704151112th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613213th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272513th305.4275.6686390532544612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721013th599.053846153846275.66863905325441112th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958547th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041559th305.4185.727810650887669th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876710th422.86153846153843208.2130177514793810th481.59230769230766208.213017751479398th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585107th599.053846153846140.7573964497041511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ja'Marr Chase WR
2.13 27 Jahmyr Gibbs K RB
3.02 30 Patrick Mahomes II QB
4.13 55 DeVonta Smith K WR
5.02 58 Zamir White RB
6.13 83 Zack Moss RB
7.02 86 Hollywood Brown WR
8.13 111 Pat Freiermuth TE
9.02 114 Jordan Addison WR
10.13 139 Dalton Schultz TE
11.02 142 San Francisco DEF
12.13 167 Deshaun Watson QB
13.02 170 Michael Wilson WR
14.13 195 Roschon Johnson RB
15.02 198 Jason Sanders K
16.13 223 Tim Patrick WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.939142.5566433566433576.2255338524384340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.554257.5216783216783102.8945309534247570.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.586372.4867132867133100.68003765111595100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.24727.59160839160839124.1045603032900610.09765.91328671328671134.5181274457915520.535104.23496503496503104.189745306360830.000142.5566433566433511.22029847410763640.654180.8783216783216495.9233595494581850.220219.19999999999996125.9843564284956960.000257.521678321678364.5582926760802670.272295.8433566433567122.4124232834490980.698334.16503496503592.8843318117655290.000372.486713286713360.12930607146268100.575410.8083916083916101.3900692808651311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.23076923076923312148.4097902097901777.3254437869822540188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692366268.09510489510484109.2781065088757470307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692399387.780419580419693.30177514792899100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311228.724475524475523130.579881656804731068.61958041958042141.2307692307692329108.514685314685393.3017751479289930148.4097902097901713.4201183431952747188.30489510489508103.9526627218934952228.2130.5798816568047360268.0951048951048477.3254437869822570307.9902097902098141.2307692307692389347.885314685314793.3017751479289990387.780419580419645.372781065088745107427.67552447552447103.9526627218934911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Kevin 3-8 13th 100.21 0.489 16.57 5-9 11th
1 984 2024 Pat 5-6 7th 101.33 0.487 20.36 6-8 10th
2 976 2024 Babel 8-3 2nd 99.64 0.481 19.58 9-5 4th 4th place
3 975 2019 Mike R. 7-4 4th 100.69 0.484 23.70 8-5 4th 4th place
4 969 2024 Schertz 5-6 8th 99.04 0.496 22.29 7-7 7th
5 968 2024 Matt 7-4 5th 98.28 0.482 21.21 8-6 6th 6th place
6 967 2018 Ed 4-7 10th 105.99 0.491 19.40 6-7 9th
7 965 2022 Rabbit 6-5 5th 97.74 0.493 25.22 8-6 5th 5th place
8 964 2021 Matt 9-2 4th 102.36 0.483 24.29 11-3 2nd 4th place
9 961 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.504 18.50 6-7 9th
10 960 2009 Derrek 5-6 8th 98.85 0.506 17.02 7-6 5th 3rd place