2019 Mike R. (through 11 weeks)

7-4 (0.636), 1,107.64 points

4th place

5.33 expected wins (0.485)

69-74 all-play record (0.483)

-22.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 67.72 138.58 Schertz -70.86 Slapped Heartbeat
2 L 111.26 115.99 Scott -4.73
3 W 98.73 81.72 Richie 17.01
4 L 67.96 83.40 Pulley -15.44
5 W 126.31 86.16 Dave 40.15
6 W 109.50 101.80 Pat 7.70
7 W 80.22 44.23 Rabbit 35.99
8 W 144.54 102.05 Kevin 42.49 Team Blangums
9 W 106.67 79.81 Ed 26.86
10 L 77.75 102.15 Babel -24.40
11 W 116.98 86.18 Rob 30.80
12 Derrek
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.23076923076923613.9%332.42307692307696108.4620203800701170.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2218262413736600.1%74.73076923076923140.9654239317766611.2%117.67948717948717138.4204497339040626.2%160.62820512820514126.61961614382844317.8%203.5769230769230799.28177082945166429.4%246.5256410256410272.0527.6%289.47435897435976.2352929489084760.0%332.4230769230769675.69327152937173.4%375.3717948717949133.1828771842725780.4%418.3205128205129140.3022433629022390.0%461.26923076923083141.1851913403405100.0%504.21794871794873141.229988053153711Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th70.47692307692309230.698224852071210th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479358th305.4163.24260355029585611th364.1307692307692230.69822485207177th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041585th481.5923076923076695.786982248520799th540.3230769230769185.7278106508876106th599.053846153846118.272189349112411114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544212th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272313th187.93846153846152275.6686390532544410th246.66923076923075208.213017751479359th305.4185.727810650887668th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958575th422.8615384615384395.786982248520784th481.5923076923076673.3017751479289995th540.323076923076995.7869822485207104th599.05384615384673.301775147928991114th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th70.47692307692309230.698224852071211th129.2076923076923230.698224852071312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272410th246.66923076923075208.2130177514793510th305.4208.2130177514793611th364.1307692307692230.69822485207177th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041586th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124199th540.3230769230769185.7278106508876106th599.053846153846118.2721893491124111Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Travis Kelce TE
2.04 18 Kerryon Johnson RB
3.11 39 Calvin Ridley WR
4.04 46 Tevin Coleman RB
5.11 67 Adam Thielen K WR
6.04 74 Sony Michel K RB
7.11 95 Michael Gallup WR
8.04 102 Ben Roethlisberger QB
9.11 123 Jordan Howard RB
10.04 130 Golden Tate WR
11.11 151 Kenny Stills WR
12.04 158 C.J. Anderson RB
13.11 179 Jalen Richard RB
14.04 186 Cleveland DEF
15.11 207 Jake Elliott K
16.04 214 Miles Boykin WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.460104.23496503496503109.3695083642555730.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.847180.8783216783216482.5840646549773350.651219.1999999999999696.1529317694780460.169257.5216783216783129.5409816709882370.934295.843356643356776.5723973990553280.603334.16503496503599.516738022319190.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.761410.808391608391688.53891085933108110.04327.59160839160839138.2459667712458310.67965.9132867132867194.2551086470981420.000104.2349650349650377.508247497741930.044142.55664335664335138.177781509363940.000180.8783216783216423.93736007918542450.000219.1999999999999651.0750943081868860.000257.5216783216783117.8511941112072370.000295.843356643356711.91402556734141280.000334.16503496503557.8027068138689890.140372.4867132867133131.54108268619103100.000410.808391608391635.8470524878929411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692327108.5146853146853103.9526627218934930148.40979020979017141.23076923076923410188.3048951048950887.9763313609467457228.2103.9526627218934962268.09510489510484130.57988165680473713307.990209790209872.087347.8853146853147103.9526627218934990387.7804195804196141.230769230769231011427.6755244755244782.650887573964511028.724475524475523141.230769230769231968.6195804195804293.3017751479289920108.514685314685366.6745562130177532148.40979020979017130.5798816568047340188.3048951048950834.7218934911242550228.266.6745562130177560268.09510489510484119.9289940828402370307.99020979020982.769230769230773680347.885314685314766.6745562130177591387.7804195804196135.90532544378698100427.6755244755244724.07100591715975211All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Mike R. 7-4 4th 100.69 0.485 23.70 8-5 4th 4th place
1 988 2021 Matt 9-2 4th 102.36 0.483 24.29 11-3 2nd 4th place
2 983 2024 Babel 8-3 2nd 99.64 0.483 19.58 9-5 4th
3 980 2024 Matt 7-4 5th 98.28 0.482 21.21 8-6 6th
4 979 2024 Pat 5-6 7th 101.33 0.490 20.36 6-8 10th
5 977 2011 Dave 3-8 12th 97.98 0.479 23.47 3-10 12th
6 970 2024 Schertz 5-6 8th 99.04 0.495 22.29 7-7 7th
7 970 2013 Babel 2-9 14th 99.56 0.481 32.45 4-9 13th
8 965 2022 Rabbit 6-5 5th 97.74 0.495 25.22 8-6 5th 5th place
9 964 2018 Rob 7-4 5th 102.27 0.471 21.84 8-5 5th 5th place
10 964 2022 Kevin 6-5 6th 97.36 0.496 23.82 6-8 12th