2024 Pat (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,114.61 points (101.33 average)

7th place

5.36 expected wins (0.487)

69-74 all-play record (0.483)

-0.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 W 113.45 102.58 Rabbit 10.87
8 L 89.72 93.48 Derrek -3.76
9 L 78.82 79.14 Matt -0.32 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 89.43 144.70 Dave -55.27
11 L 106.44 135.76 Rob -29.32
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923428.0%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2260584083135200.1%74.73076923076923140.971343921922711.3%117.67948717948717137.9602830487308426.9%160.62820512820514124.21269124896257318.4%203.5769230769230795.6535138584584240.0%246.525641025641022.7692307692307736525.3%289.47435897435978.60527785705472614.0%332.42307692307696106.5422054524674374.8%375.3717948717949129.4286082482840681.0%418.3205128205129138.8386234451104490.1%461.26923076923083140.96699415873468100.0%504.21794871794873141.218636955935211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th70.47692307692309230.69822485207128th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958536th187.93846153846152118.2721893491124149th246.66923076923075185.727810650887655th305.495.786982248520764th364.130769230769273.3017751479289975th422.8615384615384395.786982248520789th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876910th540.3230769230769208.2130177514793108th599.053846153846163.24260355029585115th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th70.4769230769230973.3017751479289925th129.207692307692395.786982248520733rd187.9384615384615250.81656804733728447th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041554th305.473.3017751479289962nd364.130769230769228.33136094674557673rd422.8615384615384350.81656804733728486th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124197th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415107th599.053846153846140.75739644970415117th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th70.47692307692309230.69822485207127th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041534th187.9384615384615273.3017751479289948th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958554th305.473.3017751479289964th364.130769230769273.3017751479289975th422.8615384615384395.786982248520787th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415106th599.053846153846118.2721893491124111Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.34127.59160839160839117.6532926523720610.20565.91328671328671127.0553023958617920.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.652142.5566433566433596.1007672984092740.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.975219.1999999999999673.6993717038980260.725257.521678321678391.0457387222005870.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083994.0758160739748910.00065.91328671328671112.8798355609543520.878104.2349650349650380.4796085493020130.000142.5566433566433550.9707653660492940.183180.87832167832164128.5748852928540250.000219.199999999999966.16797417702682160.000257.521678321678340.8607082136319470.320295.8433566433567119.1018780710602180.156334.165034965035130.4517768219593690.315372.4867132867133119.42914863175969100.607410.808391608391699.174812608472211Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011728.724475524475523103.952662721893491268.61958041958042130.5798816568047320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692339148.4097902097901793.3017751479289940188.30489510489508141.23076923076923513228.272.0610268.0951048951048487.9763313609467470307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552366.674556213017751068.61958041958042119.92899408284023212108.514685314685377.3254437869822530148.4097902097901745.37278106508874541188.30489510489508135.9053254437869850228.22.769230769230773660268.0951048951048434.7218934911242571307.9902097902098135.9053254437869880347.8853146853147141.2307692307692396387.7804195804196109.27810650887574108427.6755244755244798.6272189349112411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 5-6 7th 101.33 0.487 20.36 6-8 10th
1 986 2019 Mike R. 7-4 4th 100.69 0.484 23.70 8-5 4th 4th place
2 984 2024 Kevin 3-8 13th 100.21 0.489 16.57 5-9 11th
3 981 2021 Matt 9-2 4th 102.36 0.483 24.29 11-3 2nd 4th place
4 980 2024 Babel 8-3 2nd 99.64 0.481 19.58 9-5 4th 4th place
5 975 2024 Matt 7-4 5th 98.28 0.482 21.21 8-6 6th 6th place
6 971 2018 Ed 4-7 10th 105.99 0.491 19.40 6-7 9th
7 968 2024 Schertz 5-6 8th 99.04 0.496 22.29 7-7 7th
8 964 2022 Rabbit 6-5 5th 97.74 0.493 25.22 8-6 5th 5th place
9 962 2018 Babel 4-7 11th 105.66 0.477 20.85 4-9 12th
10 962 2011 Dave 3-8 12th 97.98 0.478 23.47 3-10 12th