2024 Pat (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,114.61 points

7th place

5.39 expected wins (0.490)

69-74 all-play record (0.483)

-0.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 W 113.45 102.58 Rabbit 10.87
8 L 89.72 93.48 Derrek -3.76
9 L 78.82 79.14 Matt -0.32 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 89.43 144.70 Dave -55.27
11 L 106.44 135.76 Rob -29.32
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923427.5%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2223301039168200.1%74.73076923076923140.9287526556473211.3%117.67948717948717137.8515421909767726.7%160.62820512820514124.29663521636381317.9%203.5769230769230796.1612750101639340.0%246.525641025641022.7692307692307736525.5%289.47435897435977.0913230224466614.6%332.42307692307696104.4701217808888675.2%375.3717948717949128.1713352104493781.1%418.3205128205129138.4434834365647290.1%461.26923076923083140.90464246591296100.0%504.21794871794873141.2147459571108411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th70.47692307692309230.69822485207128th129.2076923076923163.2426035502958536th187.93846153846152118.2721893491124149th246.66923076923075185.727810650887655th305.495.786982248520764th364.130769230769273.3017751479289975th422.8615384615384395.786982248520789th481.59230769230766185.7278106508876910th540.3230769230769208.2130177514793108th599.053846153846163.24260355029585115th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th70.4769230769230973.3017751479289925th129.207692307692395.786982248520733rd187.9384615384615250.81656804733728447th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041554th305.473.3017751479289962nd364.130769230769228.33136094674557673rd422.8615384615384350.81656804733728486th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124197th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415107th599.053846153846140.75739644970415117th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th70.47692307692309230.69822485207127th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041534th187.9384615384615273.3017751479289948th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958554th305.473.3017751479289964th364.130769230769273.3017751479289975th422.8615384615384395.786982248520787th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415106th599.053846153846118.2721893491124111Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.33527.59160839160839118.0564878325876410.22365.91328671328671125.8182434768120920.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.650142.5566433566433596.2372040303754140.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.953219.1999999999999675.2361433707461360.728257.521678321678390.8505683417042670.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083994.8822064344060410.00065.91328671328671110.4057177228549420.876104.2349650349650380.5773222181626630.000142.5566433566433551.2436388299815840.198180.87832167832164127.5115108135462750.000219.199999999999969.24151751072304360.000257.521678321678340.47036745263929470.326295.8433566433567118.658790979211280.169334.165034965035129.5570686700036790.323372.4867132867133118.8974393957979100.615410.808391608391698.6805092478106211Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011728.724475524475523103.952662721893491268.61958041958042130.5798816568047320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692339148.4097902097901793.3017751479289940188.30489510489508141.23076923076923513228.272.0610268.0951048951048487.9763313609467470307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552366.674556213017751068.61958041958042119.92899408284023212108.514685314685377.3254437869822530148.4097902097901745.37278106508874541188.30489510489508135.9053254437869850228.22.769230769230773660268.0951048951048434.7218934911242571307.9902097902098135.9053254437869880347.8853146853147141.2307692307692396387.7804195804196109.27810650887574108427.6755244755244798.6272189349112411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 5-6 7th 101.33 0.490 20.36 6-8 10th
1 979 2019 Mike R. 7-4 4th 100.69 0.485 23.70 8-5 4th 4th place
2 979 2024 Kevin 3-8 13th 100.21 0.495 16.57 5-9 11th
3 978 2024 Schertz 5-6 8th 99.04 0.495 22.29 7-7 7th
4 976 2024 Babel 8-3 2nd 99.64 0.483 19.58 9-5 4th
5 975 2018 Ed 4-7 10th 105.99 0.493 19.40 6-7 9th
6 973 2021 Matt 9-2 4th 102.36 0.483 24.29 11-3 2nd 4th place
7 969 2024 Matt 7-4 5th 98.28 0.482 21.21 8-6 6th
8 967 2022 Rabbit 6-5 5th 97.74 0.495 25.22 8-6 5th 5th place
9 966 2022 Kevin 6-5 6th 97.36 0.496 23.82 6-8 12th
10 964 2013 Rob 7-4 4th 99.56 0.500 25.50 8-5 2nd 2nd place