2018 Ed (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 1,165.90 points

10th place

5.42 expected wins (0.493)

71-72 all-play record (0.497)

+9.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 129.36 83.01 Rabbit 46.35
2 L 95.28 132.39 Rob -37.11
3 W 114.37 80.39 Dave 33.98
4 L 127.35 131.55 Pulley -4.20
5 L 81.38 90.57 Richie -9.19
6 L 130.71 148.61 Derrek -17.90
7 L 83.57 127.24 Kevin -43.67
8 W 109.24 102.67 Pat 6.57
9 L 92.60 103.74 Matt -11.14
10 L 78.75 105.82 Schertz -27.07 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 123.29 118.04 Scott 5.25
12 Mike R.
13 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923316.8%203.5769230769230798.7871145295926640.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2106254320604300.2%74.73076923076923140.8240277947046211.4%117.67948717948717137.7983271336506426.2%160.62820512820514125.5182190836418230.0%203.5769230769230756.3434598284161427.5%246.5256410256410272.0526.8%289.47435897435973.63088027695247615.3%332.42307692307696102.7235064775785574.9%375.3717948717949128.7850031251368380.9%418.3205128205129139.0490309561261690.1%461.26923076923083141.04028770318905100.0%504.21794871794873141.2243451255196811Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728416th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124123rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728434th187.9384615384615273.3017751479289947th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041556th305.4118.2721893491124168th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958578th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958588th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585107th599.053846153846140.75739644970415113rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728417th70.47692307692309140.7573964497041525th129.207692307692395.786982248520736th187.93846153846152118.2721893491124147th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041559th305.4185.7278106508876611th364.1307692307692230.69822485207179th422.86153846153843185.7278106508876810th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721010th599.053846153846208.2130177514793113rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728416th70.47692307692309118.2721893491124125th129.207692307692395.786982248520734th187.9384615384615273.3017751479289947th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041556th305.4118.2721893491124168th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958578th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958587th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585107th599.053846153846140.7573964497041511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
6
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.02 30 Lamar Miller RB
4.13 55 Devin Funchess WR
5.02 58 Drew Brees QB
6.13 83 Julian Edelman WR
7.02 86 Allen Hurns WR
8.13 111 Jerick McKinnon K RB
9.02 114 JuJu Smith-Schuster K WR
10.13 139 Ryan Grant WR
11.02 142 Jared Cook TE
12.13 167 Courtland Sutton WR
13.02 170 James Washington WR
14.13 195 Elijah McGuire RB
15.02 198 Matt Bryant K
16.13 223 Detroit DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.80627.5916083916083985.4105061058442610.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.663104.2349650349650395.3200974993489830.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.582295.8433566433567100.9112889736658680.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.761410.808391608391688.52429973178496110.00027.5916083916083929.59024298091928510.34465.91328671328671117.400758138775220.000104.2349650349650349.40942576792872430.791142.5566433566433586.4787418753275640.121180.87832167832164132.8447199550285550.813219.1999999999999684.9786661139254760.154257.5216783216783130.594606312925470.000295.843356643356760.591808716562580.296334.165034965035120.7645643916162690.088372.4867132867133135.11756201775898100.000410.808391608391635.8178302328006911Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111128.72447552447552382.65088757396451068.61958041958042141.2307692307692329108.514685314685393.3017751479289930148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692377307.9902097902098103.9526627218934980347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.230769230769231010427.6755244755244787.9763313609467411028.72447552447552324.0710059171597521568.61958041958042114.6035502958579920108.514685314685345.37278106508874538148.4097902097901798.6272189349112442188.30489510489508130.57988165680473512228.277.3254437869822563268.09510489510484125.2544378698224870307.990209790209866.6745562130177584347.8853146853147119.9289940828402390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.6755244755244734.7218934911242511All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Ed 4-7 10th 105.99 0.493 19.40 6-7 9th
1 975 2024 Pat 5-6 7th 101.33 0.490 20.36 6-8 10th
2 967 2024 Kevin 3-8 13th 100.21 0.495 16.57 5-9 11th
3 965 2018 Babel 4-7 11th 105.66 0.477 20.85 4-9 12th
4 962 2024 Schertz 5-6 8th 99.04 0.495 22.29 7-7 7th
5 956 2021 Matt 9-2 4th 102.36 0.483 24.29 11-3 2nd 4th place
6 954 2019 Mike R. 7-4 4th 100.69 0.485 23.70 8-5 4th 4th place
7 954 2024 Babel 8-3 2nd 99.64 0.483 19.58 9-5 4th
8 951 2022 Rabbit 6-5 5th 97.74 0.495 25.22 8-6 5th 5th place
9 950 2022 Kevin 6-5 6th 97.36 0.496 23.82 6-8 12th
10 950 2019 Kevin 6-5 6th 106.28 0.508 28.95 6-7 8th