2011 Dave (through 11 weeks)

3-8 (0.273), 1,077.74 points (97.98 average)

12th place

5.25 expected wins (0.478)

52-69 all-play record (0.430)

+4.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 105.61 118.08 Allen -12.47
10 L 73.97 75.87 Ed -1.90
11 L 97.57 120.82 Matt -23.25
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692327.2%160.62820512820514123.8511562987862630.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2147845476647200.2%74.73076923076923140.8353292693651611.5%117.67948717948717137.5295249638710420.0%160.62820512820514106.47154336680332318.8%203.5769230769230795.75404179109498428.7%246.5256410256410272.0525.7%289.47435897435979.10488261873056613.4%332.42307692307696108.7768521724072773.9%375.3717948717949131.847740665863380.6%418.3205128205129139.896672180252690.0%461.26923076923083141.16048142176004100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307692307692311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th70.47692307692309191.8601398601399212th129.2076923076923298.1538461538461339th187.93846153846152218.43356643356645410th246.66923076923075245.00699300699356th305.4138.7132867132867563rd364.130769230769258.99300699300701576th422.86153846153843138.7132867132867587th481.59230769230766165.286713286713399th540.3230769230769218.43356643356645108th599.053846153846191.8601398601399116th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th70.47692307692309165.2867132867133210th129.2076923076923245.006993006993311th187.93846153846152271.5804195804196411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196510th305.4245.00699300699369th364.1307692307692218.43356643356645710th422.86153846153843245.006993006993811th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196911th540.3230769230769271.58041958041961012th599.053846153846298.15384615384613118th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th70.47692307692309191.8601398601399210th129.2076923076923245.00699300699339th187.93846153846152218.43356643356645410th246.66923076923075245.00699300699356th305.4138.7132867132867564th364.130769230769285.5664335664335778th422.86153846153843191.860139860139988th481.59230769230766191.8601398601399910th540.3230769230769245.0069930069931010th599.053846153846245.00699300699311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.40827.59160839160839110.2117746962024710.00065.91328671328671137.711822694980320.000104.23496503496503137.711822694980330.000142.55664335664335137.711822694980340.000180.87832167832164137.711822694980350.909219.1999999999999676.3482879650733860.843257.521678321678380.824692401494370.000295.8433566433567137.711822694980380.000334.165034965035137.711822694980390.000372.4867132867133137.7118226949803100.000410.8083916083916137.7118226949803110.00027.5916083916083982.7117266974246410.72765.9132867132867188.647451856830620.181104.23496503496503125.4972969105267130.746142.5566433566433587.401644581661340.337180.87832167832164114.9652064842974350.000219.1999999999999614.98475323516646560.000257.521678321678323.9375621080082947-0.026295.8433566433567139.4712959628747680.586334.16503496503598.2026737163390690.111372.4867132867133130.231279503913100.433410.8083916083916108.4750943943826411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011428.724475524475523116.055944055944051068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.23076923076923511228.272.0610268.0951048951048478.293706293706370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552390.88111888111891568.61958041958042109.7622377622377621108.5146853146853134.9370629370629336148.40979020979017103.4685314685314743188.30489510489508122.3496503496503550228.22.769230769230773660268.0951048951048415.3566433566433670307.9902097902098141.2307692307692386347.8853146853147103.4685314685314791387.7804195804196134.93706293706293105427.67552447552447109.7622377622377611All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-8 12th 97.98 0.478 23.47 3-10 12th
1 987 2024 Matt 7-4 5th 98.28 0.482 21.21 8-6 6th 6th place
2 981 2011 Derrek 7-4 2nd 98.42 0.470 22.83 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 979 2024 Babel 8-3 2nd 99.64 0.481 19.58 9-5 4th 4th place
4 978 2014 Mike R. 5-6 7th 96.12 0.472 21.56 6-7 7th
5 975 2019 Mike R. 7-4 4th 100.69 0.484 23.70 8-5 4th 4th place
6 972 2013 Schertz 6-5 7th 93.62 0.481 21.42 6-7 9th
7 970 2020 Mike R. 5-6 10th 97.35 0.474 13.79 6-7 11th
8 970 2021 Matt 9-2 4th 102.36 0.483 24.29 11-3 2nd 4th place
9 967 2013 Babel 2-9 14th 99.56 0.482 32.45 4-9 13th
10 967 2017 Schertz 4-7 9th 92.38 0.476 19.37 5-8 10th