2011 Dave (through 11 weeks)

3-8 (0.273), 1,077.74 points (97.98 average)

12th place

5.25 expected wins (0.478)

52-69 all-play record (0.430)

+4.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 105.61 118.08 Allen -12.47
10 L 73.97 75.87 Ed -1.90
11 L 97.57 120.82 Matt -23.25
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%43.64102564102564141.2307692307692300.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692310.0%161.5897435897436141.2307692307692327.2%220.5641025641026123.8511542914349730.0%279.53846153846155141.2307692307692340.0%338.51282051282055141.2307692307692350.0%397.4871794871795141.2307692307692360.0%456.4615384615385141.2307692307692370.0%515.4358974358973141.2307692307692380.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.23076923076923110.0%43.64102564102564141.2147844952170300.2%102.61538461538461140.8353283313845511.5%161.5897435897436137.5295208713348520.0%220.5641025641026106.47153935210069318.8%279.5384615384615595.75405613810544428.7%338.5128205128205572.0525.7%397.487179487179579.1048132266639613.4%456.4615384615385108.7767570987418573.9%515.4358974358973131.8476907480403580.6%574.4102564102564139.8966611241742490.0%633.3846153846154141.16048055993767100.0%692.3589743589743141.2307692307692311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th70.47692307692309191.8601398601399212th129.2076923076923298.1538461538461339th187.93846153846152218.43356643356645410th246.66923076923075245.00699300699356th305.4138.7132867132867563rd364.130769230769258.99300699300701576th422.86153846153843138.7132867132867587th481.59230769230766165.286713286713399th540.3230769230769218.43356643356645108th599.053846153846191.8601398601399116th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th70.47692307692309165.2867132867133210th129.2076923076923245.006993006993311th187.93846153846152271.5804195804196411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196510th305.4245.00699300699369th364.1307692307692218.43356643356645710th422.86153846153843245.006993006993811th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196911th540.3230769230769271.58041958041961012th599.053846153846298.15384615384613118th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th70.47692307692309191.8601398601399210th129.2076923076923245.00699300699339th187.93846153846152218.43356643356645410th246.66923076923075245.00699300699356th305.4138.7132867132867564th364.130769230769285.5664335664335778th422.86153846153843191.860139860139988th481.59230769230766191.8601398601399910th540.3230769230769245.0069930069931010th599.053846153846245.00699300699311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.40840.17902097902099110.2117280445488910.00095.98321678321679137.711852838956520.000151.78741258741258137.711852838956530.000207.5916083916084137.711852838956540.000263.3958041958042137.711852838956550.909319.276.3482965714005160.843375.004195804195880.824759638354170.000430.80839160839156137.711852838956580.000486.6125874125874137.711852838956590.000542.4167832167833137.7118528389565100.000598.2209790209789137.7118528389565110.00040.1790209790209982.7116032501412810.72795.9832167832167988.6474982011687420.181151.78741258741258125.4973183718578430.746207.591608391608487.4016934812572740.337263.3958041958042114.9651706419450850.000319.214.98474030384451860.000375.004195804195823.9376664377516877-0.026430.80839160839156139.4713110348628880.586486.612587412587498.2027322276733590.111542.4167832167833130.23126001343687100.433598.2209790209789108.4750581439439111Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011441.31188811188811116.055944055944051098.68951048951048141.2307692307692320156.06713286713284141.2307692307692330213.44475524475524141.2307692307692340270.82237762237764141.23076923076923511328.272.0610385.5776223776223378.293706293706370442.95524475524473141.2307692307692380500.33286713286714141.2307692307692390557.7104895104894141.23076923076923100615.0881118881118141.2307692307692311041.3118881118881190.88111888111891598.68951048951048109.7622377622377621156.06713286713284134.9370629370629336213.44475524475524103.4685314685314743270.82237762237764122.3496503496503550328.22.769230769230773660385.5776223776223315.3566433566433670442.95524475524473141.2307692307692386500.33286713286714103.4685314685314791557.7104895104894134.93706293706293105615.0881118881118109.7622377622377611All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-8 12th 97.98 0.478 23.47 3-10 12th
1 988 2024 Matt 7-4 5th 98.28 0.481 21.21 8-6 6th 6th place
2 981 2011 Derrek 7-4 2nd 98.42 0.470 22.83 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 978 2014 Mike R. 5-6 7th 96.12 0.472 21.56 6-7 7th
4 978 2024 Babel 8-3 2nd 99.64 0.481 19.58 9-5 4th 4th place
5 975 2019 Mike R. 7-4 4th 100.69 0.484 23.70 8-5 4th 4th place
6 972 2013 Schertz 6-5 7th 93.62 0.481 21.42 6-7 9th
7 970 2020 Mike R. 5-6 10th 97.35 0.474 13.79 6-7 11th
8 970 2021 Matt 9-2 4th 102.36 0.483 24.29 11-3 2nd 4th place
9 967 2013 Babel 2-9 14th 99.56 0.482 32.45 4-9 13th
10 967 2017 Schertz 4-7 9th 92.38 0.476 19.37 5-8 10th