2021 Matt (through 11 weeks)

9-2 (0.818), 1,125.92 points

4th place

5.31 expected wins (0.483)

71-72 all-play record (0.497)

-30.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.96 102.07 Kevin -20.11
2 W 114.85 106.49 Pulley 8.36
3 W 100.35 80.16 Ed 20.19
4 L 78.00 108.67 Babel -30.67
5 W 172.33 87.89 Rob 84.44 Team Blangums
6 W 90.72 46.10 Scott 44.62
7 W 89.05 52.19 Derrek 36.86
8 W 104.54 102.26 Kevin 2.28
9 W 101.27 91.70 Pat 9.57
10 W 100.77 98.77 Richie 2.00
11 W 92.08 72.46 Schertz 19.62
12 Dave
13 Rabbit
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692381.3%418.3205128205129137.8634939610561590.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2221692569695500.2%74.73076923076923140.6145498394415712.1%117.67948717948717135.6671062171601528.4%160.62820512820514119.0827370565353318.7%203.5769230769230791.56136859118578426.1%246.5256410256410271.99999999999999523.6%289.47435897435978.63818371762676614.0%332.42307692307696104.1067819194694175.4%375.3717948717949126.9965389321720480.0%418.3205128205129134.4962186913430790.2%461.26923076923083140.78855722517778100.0%504.21794871794873141.2063703948881511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th70.47692307692309163.2426035502958527th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415311th187.93846153846152230.69822485207148th246.66923076923075163.24260355029585510th305.4208.2130177514793610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793710th422.86153846153843208.213017751479389th481.59230769230766185.727810650887699th540.3230769230769185.7278106508876109th599.053846153846185.72781065088761113th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th70.47692307692309140.7573964497041527th129.2076923076923140.7573964497041537th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041547th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041556th305.4118.2721893491124167th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041576th422.86153846153843118.2721893491124185th481.5923076923076695.786982248520794th540.323076923076973.30177514792899104th599.05384615384673.301775147928991113th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th70.47692307692309163.2426035502958528th129.2076923076923163.24260355029585311th187.93846153846152230.69822485207148th246.66923076923075163.2426035502958558th305.4163.2426035502958569th364.1307692307692185.727810650887679th422.86153846153843185.727810650887688th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415107th599.053846153846140.7573964497041511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Dalvin Cook K RB
2.02 16 DeAndre Hopkins WR
3.13 41 Mark Andrews TE
4.02 44 Lamar Jackson K QB
5.13 69 Mike Williams WR
6.02 72 Michael Gallup WR
7.13 97 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.02 100 Leonard Fournette RB
9.13 125 Irv Smith, Jr. TE
10.02 128 Marquez Callaway WR
11.13 153 Matt Ryan QB
12.02 156 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.13 181 James White RB
14.02 184 San Francisco DEF
15.13 209 Jason Myers K
16.02 212 Joshua Palmer WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.75565.9132867132867188.9888302767488620.510104.23496503496503105.8987752234633330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.984180.8783216783216473.1016642582630950.349219.19999999999996117.0925223824107560.326257.5216783216783118.6380549850674670.586295.8433566433567100.6939668998106280.528334.165034965035104.671440509588990.518372.4867132867133105.39874996966265100.373410.8083916083916115.37652662504928110.21727.59160839160839126.2407116849007910.00065.9132867132867136.7468913227284920.000104.2349650349650370.5667812161574530.165142.55664335664335129.8090737233875740.000180.878321678321644.97255928575694450.000219.1999999999999692.9542755340522960.000257.521678321678396.0453407393656870.000295.843356643356760.15716456885202580.000334.16503496503568.1121117884085890.000372.486713286713369.56673070855607100.000410.808391608391689.5222840193293211Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.2307692307692311068.6195804195804287.9763313609467426108.5146853146853109.2781065088757430148.40979020979017141.23076923076923413188.3048951048950872.052228.2130.5798816568047364268.09510489510484119.9289940828402379307.990209790209893.30177514792899810347.885314685314787.9763313609467499387.780419580419693.30177514792899105427.67552447552447114.6035502958579911128.724475524475523135.905325443786981068.6195804195804234.7218934911242520108.514685314685377.3254437869822532148.40979020979017130.5798816568047340188.304895104895082.769230769230773650228.2119.9289940828402360268.0951048951048498.6272189349112470307.990209790209845.37278106508874580347.885314685314734.7218934911242590387.780419580419645.372781065088745100427.6755244755244787.9763313609467411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Matt 9-2 4th 102.36 0.483 24.29 11-3 2nd 4th place
1 988 2019 Mike R. 7-4 4th 100.69 0.485 23.70 8-5 4th 4th place
2 979 2024 Babel 8-3 2nd 99.64 0.483 19.58 9-5 4th
3 976 2024 Matt 7-4 5th 98.28 0.482 21.21 8-6 6th
4 973 2011 Dave 3-8 12th 97.98 0.479 23.47 3-10 12th
5 973 2024 Pat 5-6 7th 101.33 0.490 20.36 6-8 10th
6 972 2018 Rob 7-4 5th 102.27 0.471 21.84 8-5 5th 5th place
7 969 2018 Babel 4-7 11th 105.66 0.477 20.85 4-9 12th
8 968 2013 Babel 2-9 14th 99.56 0.481 32.45 4-9 13th
9 959 2024 Schertz 5-6 8th 99.04 0.495 22.29 7-7 7th
10 959 2011 Kevin 4-7 9th 100.76 0.467 25.73 6-7 8th