2011 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

7-4 (0.636), 1,082.57 points

2nd place

5.17 expected wins (0.470)

58-63 all-play record (0.479)

-3.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 62.28 120.32 Allen -58.04 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 138.17 104.84 Pat 33.33
3 W 111.02 109.31 Rob 1.71
4 L 96.21 121.00 Babel -24.79
5 W 108.41 92.26 Dave 16.15
6 W 99.76 69.43 Ed 30.33
7 L 59.96 110.89 Matt -50.93
8 L 85.45 106.08 Pulley -20.63
9 W 105.35 94.19 Mike R. 11.16
10 W 126.74 94.25 Kevin 32.49
11 W 89.22 50.74 Rabbit 38.48
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.23076923076923612.3%332.42307692307696111.8354578541455970.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2116212678873800.2%74.73076923076923140.7398192178440311.9%117.67948717948717136.73154868514828.3%160.62820512820514121.39534021582341320.2%203.5769230769230792.89951253571438428.9%246.5256410256410272.0524.7%289.47435897435982.0611078186309460.0%332.4230769230769682.4401464775219573.3%375.3717948717949133.4370507499101880.4%418.3205128205129140.3582775692208390.0%461.26923076923083141.2209188885882100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307569366001611Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th70.47692307692309245.00699300699328th129.2076923076923191.8601398601399310th187.93846153846152245.00699300699348th246.66923076923075191.8601398601399510th305.4245.006993006993610th364.1307692307692245.006993006993710th422.86153846153843245.006993006993810th481.59230769230766245.00699300699399th540.3230769230769218.43356643356645109th599.053846153846218.433566433566451112th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461318th70.47692307692309191.860139860139925th129.2076923076923112.1398601398601637th187.93846153846152165.286713286713347th246.66923076923075165.286713286713353rd305.458.99300699300701567th364.1307692307692165.286713286713378th422.86153846153843191.860139860139986th481.59230769230766138.7132867132867595th540.3230769230769112.13986013986016102nd599.05384615384632.419580419580431112th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th70.47692307692309218.4335664335664527th129.2076923076923165.286713286713338th187.93846153846152191.860139860139948th246.66923076923075191.860139860139959th305.4218.43356643356645610th364.1307692307692245.006993006993710th422.86153846153843245.006993006993810th481.59230769230766245.00699300699399th540.3230769230769218.43356643356645109th599.053846153846218.4335664335664511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Philip Rivers QB
2.03 15 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.10 34 Pittsburgh DEF
4.03 39 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
5.10 58 Mario Manningham WR
6.03 63 Sidney Rice WR
7.10 82 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
8.03 87 Owen Daniels TE
9.10 106 Darren McFadden K RB
10.03 111 Joe Flacco QB
11.10 130 Michael Bush RB
12.03 135 Marcedes Lewis TE
13.10 154 Jerome Harrison RB
14.03 159 Jacoby Ford WR
15.10 178 Jerome Simpson WR
16.03 183 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.92265.9132867132867177.4017018765869720.679104.2349650349650394.1980047201649330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.638180.8783216783216497.0617857192052950.483219.19999999999996107.7668718346656660.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.585334.165034965035100.7096972298876490.858372.486713286713381.83374389891134100.311410.8083916083916119.71065687431413110.01127.59160839160839140.4730691173567210.00065.9132867132867113.57263452240471220.000104.2349650349650347.1652402095606230.428142.55664335664335111.5738822897391540.000180.8783216783216452.8928022076413450.000219.1999999999999674.3029744385620960.001257.5216783216783141.1321933155485370.255295.8433566433567123.5858525912695380.000334.16503496503560.18862522900606490.000372.486713286713322.436718567053433100.000410.808391608391698.1905445178590211Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.2307692307692311068.6195804195804278.293706293706328108.514685314685390.8811188811188830148.40979020979017141.2307692307692349188.3048951048950884.5874125874125955228.2109.7622377622377660268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692385347.8853146853147109.76223776223776910387.780419580419678.2937062937063103427.67552447552447122.3496503496503511028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.6195804195804215.3566433566433620108.514685314685340.5314685314685333148.40979020979017122.3496503496503540188.3048951048950827.94405594405594750228.278.2937062937063162268.09510489510484128.6433566433566473307.9902097902098122.3496503496503580347.885314685314778.2937062937063190387.780419580419615.35664335664336100427.67552447552447103.4685314685314711All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Derrek 7-4 2nd 98.42 0.470 22.83 8-5 3rd 6th place
1 987 2014 Mike R. 5-6 7th 96.12 0.471 21.56 6-7 7th
2 980 2018 Rob 7-4 5th 102.27 0.471 21.84 8-5 5th 5th place
3 980 2011 Dave 3-8 12th 97.98 0.479 23.47 3-10 12th
4 978 2010 Matt 4-7 8th 97.54 0.461 22.69 5-8 9th
5 978 2011 Kevin 4-7 9th 100.76 0.467 25.73 6-7 8th
6 977 2020 Richie 5-6 11th 96.56 0.467 18.35 7-6 7th
7 974 2024 Ed 5-6 9th 98.69 0.465 15.64 6-8 9th
8 973 2024 Matt 7-4 5th 98.28 0.482 21.21 8-6 6th
9 970 2009 Babel 3-8 11th 96.27 0.469 13.87 5-8 9th
10 967 2020 Mike R. 5-6 10th 97.35 0.475 13.79 6-7 11th