2011 Dave (through 9 weeks)

3-6 (0.333), 906.20 points (100.69 average)

11th place

4.64 expected wins (0.515)

46-53 all-play record (0.465)

+4.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 105.61 118.08 Allen -12.47
10 Ed
11 Matt
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%49.53846153846153141.2307692307692300.0%120.30769230769232141.2307692307692310.0%191.07692307692307141.23076923076923212.7%261.8461538461538113.4282316576277830.0%332.6153846153846141.2307692307692340.0%403.38461538461536141.2307692307692350.0%474.15384615384613141.2307692307692360.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692370.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.2307692307692390.0%49.53846153846153141.1939632644808900.4%120.30769230769232140.4090628242477713.1%191.07692307692307134.3863580276461720.0%261.846153846153885.62569408448633327.4%332.615384615384681.30560486557624431.6%403.3846153846153672.0518.9%474.1538461538461399.8949917539038265.3%544.9230769230769129.623914821122270.5%615.6923076923078140.0818994218089780.0%686.4615384615386141.230769230769239Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th85.15961538461536191.8601398601399212th158.5730769230769298.1538461538461339th231.98653846153846218.43356643356645410th305.4245.00699300699356th378.8134615384615138.7132867132867563rd452.22692307692358.99300699300701576th525.6403846153845138.7132867132867587th599.053846153846165.286713286713396th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th85.15961538461536165.2867132867133210th158.5730769230769245.006993006993311th231.98653846153846271.5804195804196411th305.4271.5804195804196510th378.8134615384615245.00699300699369th452.226923076923218.43356643356645710th525.6403846153845245.006993006993811th599.053846153846271.580419580419698th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th85.15961538461536191.8601398601399210th158.5730769230769245.00699300699339th231.98653846153846218.43356643356645410th305.4245.00699300699356th378.8134615384615138.7132867132867564th452.22692307692385.5664335664335778th525.6403846153845191.860139860139988th599.053846153846191.86013986013999Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.40046.379487179487185109.9170668340577210.000114.58461538461539136.6712729332384720.000182.78974358974358136.6712729332384730.000250.99487179487176136.6712729332384740.000319.20000000000005136.6712729332384750.902387.405128205128276.3147656530968760.835455.6102564102564580.7567094744279970.000523.8153846153846136.6712729332384780.000592.0205128205127136.6712729332384790.00046.37948717948718583.1628607348769610.719114.5846153846153988.5191247351510120.173182.78974358974358125.0847857438880830.738250.9948717948717687.282926760225740.329319.20000000000005114.6338543200149250.000387.405128205128215.95825837295527160.000455.6102564102564524.842146015617537-0.034523.8153846153846138.9510210820038580.578592.020512820512798.000675707555229Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789447.687179487179485116.0559440559440510117.8153846153846141.2307692307692320187.9435897435897141.2307692307692330258.07179487179485141.2307692307692340328.2141.23076923076923511398.3282051282050772.0610468.4564102564101578.293706293706370538.5846153846154141.2307692307692380608.7128205128206141.230769230769239047.68717948717948590.881118881118915117.8153846153846109.7622377622377621187.9435897435897134.9370629370629336258.07179487179485103.4685314685314743328.2122.3496503496503550398.328205128205072.769230769230773660468.4564102564101515.3566433566433670538.5846153846154141.2307692307692386608.7128205128206103.468531468531479All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-6 11th 100.69 0.515 24.53 3-10 12th
1 992 2022 Matt 4-5 9th 100.73 0.511 24.65 6-8 11th
2 990 2024 Scott 4-5 10th 99.49 0.517 25.16 5-9 12th
3 981 2024 Dave 5-4 5th 102.25 0.512 22.11 9-5 3rd Blingabowl XVII champion
4 969 2023 Dave 5-4 8th 101.56 0.504 21.85 6-8 10th
5 967 2011 Babel 5-4 5th 101.47 0.523 16.90 7-6 7th
6 962 2017 Ed 3-6 9th 96.21 0.520 19.24 4-9 13th
7 958 2023 Pat 4-5 9th 98.92 0.503 19.48 5-9 11th
8 957 2010 Babel 5-4 5th 97.33 0.527 20.95 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 956 2009 Derrek 4-5 9th 98.82 0.525 15.66 7-6 5th 3rd place
10 955 2018 Ed 3-6 10th 107.10 0.512 18.52 6-7 9th