2011 Dave (through 9 weeks)

3-6 (0.333), 906.20 points

11th place

4.64 expected wins (0.516)

46-53 all-play record (0.465)

+3.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 105.61 118.08 Allen -12.47
10 Ed
11 Matt
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923212.8%190.6923076923077112.8265674642908530.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692340.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.186460864856700.4%87.61538461538464140.306563678957613.3%139.15384615384616133.9557377709305720.0%190.692307692307784.42236569781247327.1%242.2307692307692581.28120597402716431.3%293.769230769230871.99999999999999519.0%345.307692307692399.0702975757076165.5%396.8461538461538128.9812302677751770.6%448.3846153846154139.9699625163269780.0%499.9230769230769141.230769230769239Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th85.15961538461536191.8601398601399211th158.5730769230769271.580419580419639th231.98653846153846218.43356643356645410th305.4245.00699300699356th378.8134615384615138.7132867132867563rd452.22692307692358.99300699300701576th525.6403846153845138.7132867132867587th599.053846153846165.286713286713396th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th85.15961538461536165.2867132867133210th158.5730769230769245.006993006993311th231.98653846153846271.5804195804196411th305.4271.5804195804196510th378.8134615384615245.00699300699369th452.226923076923218.43356643356645710th525.6403846153845245.006993006993811th599.053846153846271.580419580419698th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th85.15961538461536191.8601398601399210th158.5730769230769245.00699300699339th231.98653846153846218.43356643356645410th305.4245.00699300699356th378.8134615384615138.7132867132867564th452.22692307692385.5664335664335778th525.6403846153845191.860139860139988th599.053846153846191.86013986013999Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.41331.84957264957265109.1498429028816910.00078.68717948717948136.8431898713369320.000125.5247863247863136.8431898713369330.000172.36239316239318136.8431898713369340.000219.2136.8431898713369350.894266.0376068376068676.907828772122460.815312.875213675213682.2338133589099470.000359.7128205128205136.8431898713369380.000406.5504273504273136.8431898713369390.00031.8495726495726581.4564959344264310.71378.6871794871794889.0233432970254620.179125.5247863247863124.8747023543680330.728172.3623931623931888.0219701619063240.350219.2113.3754174510767650.000266.0376068376068616.97246767290788260.000312.875213675213627.6244368464829657-0.033359.7128205128205139.036979551053180.583406.550427350427397.78260720422159Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789433.15726495726496116.055944055944051081.9179487179487141.2307692307692320130.67863247863247141.2307692307692330179.4393162393162141.2307692307692340228.2141.23076923076923511276.9606837606837672.0610325.721367521367578.293706293706370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.1572649572649690.88111888111891581.9179487179487109.7622377622377621130.67863247863247134.9370629370629336179.4393162393162103.4685314685314743228.2122.3496503496503550276.960683760683762.769230769230773660325.721367521367515.3566433566433670374.4820512820512141.2307692307692386423.242735042735103.468531468531479All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-6 11th 100.69 0.516 24.53 3-10 12th
1 990 2024 Scott 4-5 10th 99.49 0.514 25.16 5-9 12th
2 988 2022 Matt 4-5 9th 100.73 0.510 24.65 6-8 11th
3 980 2024 Dave 5-4 5th 102.25 0.511 22.11 9-5 3rd
4 974 2011 Babel 5-4 5th 101.47 0.520 16.90 7-6 7th
5 972 2023 Dave 5-4 8th 101.56 0.506 21.85 6-8 10th
6 965 2009 Derrek 4-5 9th 98.82 0.521 15.66 7-6 5th 3rd place
7 963 2017 Ed 3-6 9th 96.21 0.520 19.24 4-9 13th
8 959 2010 Babel 5-4 5th 97.33 0.526 20.95 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 959 2018 Ed 3-6 10th 107.10 0.514 18.52 6-7 9th
10 952 2023 Pat 4-5 9th 98.92 0.501 19.48 5-9 11th