2023 Pat (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 890.27 points

9th place

4.50 expected wins (0.501)

57-60 all-play record (0.487)

+26.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 L 107.48 129.08 Rabbit -21.60
9 W 91.18 79.26 Kevin 11.92
10 Rob
11 Mike R.
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923327.7%242.2307692307692573.032572653624440.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.124445033266100.8%87.61538461538464139.217925611512515.1%139.15384615384616128.55531510513686215.9%190.6923076923077101.9566267085892330.0%242.230769230769254.834376076479572428.1%293.769230769230872.0516.5%345.3076923076923100.6017866752857565.2%396.8461538461538128.469177393170370.7%448.3846153846154139.5513154704805780.0%499.9230769230769141.221066746417149Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th85.15961538461536208.213017751479328th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958538th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958548th305.4163.2426035502958557th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041566th452.226923076923118.2721893491124177th525.6403846153845140.7573964497041588th599.053846153846163.24260355029585914th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th85.15961538461536208.213017751479327th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041538th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958549th305.4185.727810650887658th378.8134615384615163.2426035502958569th452.226923076923185.7278106508876710th525.6403846153845208.213017751479389th599.053846153846185.7278106508876914th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th85.15961538461536253.1834319526627229th158.5730769230769185.727810650887639th231.98653846153846185.727810650887649th305.4185.727810650887658th378.8134615384615163.2426035502958567th452.226923076923140.7573964497041578th525.6403846153845163.2426035502958588th599.053846153846163.242603550295859Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.50378.68717948717948106.4036134581111520.912125.524786324786378.1180939874308130.000172.36239316239318141.2307692307692340.000219.2141.2307692307692350.348266.03760683760686117.1427922045124960.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.355406.5504273504273116.6768595816527590.00631.84957264957265140.8144422878500310.00078.6871794871794871.576457685453120.000125.524786324786315.00541874409239530.405172.36239316239318113.1766828050478840.641219.296.8235841637023550.000266.0376068376068693.0548151782557560.691312.875213675213693.3802284386657270.644359.712820512820596.6758494296248680.000406.550427350427392.122949932536279Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231581.9179487179487114.60355029585799212130.6786324786324777.3254437869822530179.4393162393162141.2307692307692340228.2141.2307692307692357276.96068376068376103.9526627218934960325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692387423.242735042735103.952662721893499033.15726495726496141.230769230769231081.917948717948787.9763313609467420130.6786324786324713.4201183431952735179.4393162393162114.6035502958579947228.2103.9526627218934950276.9606837606837666.67455621301775610325.721367521367587.9763313609467474374.4820512820512119.9289940828402380423.24273504273566.674556213017759All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 4-5 9th 98.92 0.501 19.48 5-9 11th
1 983 2009 Rob 5-4 5th 97.52 0.498 16.82 8-5 3rd 4th place
2 979 2024 Ed 4-5 9th 101.03 0.497 16.39 6-8 9th
3 977 2015 Rabbit 4-5 10th 97.62 0.495 16.50 5-8 11th
4 975 2010 Pulley 7-2 3rd 94.36 0.504 19.82 8-5 4th 5th place
5 973 2023 Dave 5-4 8th 101.56 0.506 21.85 6-8 10th
6 969 2012 Rob 2-7 12th 96.59 0.495 14.25 3-10 13th
7 967 2012 Allen 3-6 9th 99.52 0.489 23.06 6-7 8th
8 965 2024 Pat 5-4 6th 102.08 0.492 22.08 6-8 10th
9 964 2022 Matt 4-5 9th 100.73 0.510 24.65 6-8 11th
10 961 2015 Babel 4-5 9th 99.55 0.487 24.29 5-8 10th