2012 Allen (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 814.01 points

7th place

4.16 expected wins (0.520)

49-55 all-play record (0.471)

+7.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.76 87.05 Ed -5.29
2 W 147.72 108.53 Pat 39.19 Team Blangums
3 L 86.43 100.96 Pulley -14.53
4 W 131.94 101.92 Rob 30.02
5 L 90.10 101.09 Rabbit -10.99
6 W 89.04 81.48 Kevin 7.56
7 L 80.58 95.14 Matt -14.56
8 L 106.44 119.41 Mike R. -12.97
9 Babel
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Richie
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923222.8%210.7350427350427394.4326133187229630.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.3%96.20512820512818140.645712062475716.1%153.47008547008548128.6241494540401520.0%210.7350427350427347.634457406676674333.7%268.072.0425.0%325.264957264957389.7905318298476859.9%382.52991452991455120.8028787064078562.0%439.79487179487177137.089740765197870.2%497.05982905982904140.89415106361288Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289924th179.5483516483516673.3017751479289934th263.4494505494505573.3017751479289945th347.350549450549495.786982248520756th431.2516483516483118.2721893491124166th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124177th599.053846153846140.75739644970415813th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289928th179.54835164835166163.2426035502958535th263.4494505494505595.786982248520747th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041556th431.2516483516483118.2721893491124166th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124177th599.053846153846140.75739644970415813th11.746153846153845275.668639053254411st95.647252747252725.84615384615381124th179.5483516483516673.3017751479289934th263.4494505494505573.3017751479289945th347.350549450549495.786982248520755th431.251648351648395.786982248520765th515.152747252747295.786982248520775th599.05384615384695.78698224852078Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees K QB
2.05 19 Wes Welker WR
3.10 38 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.05 47 Willis McGahee RB
5.10 66 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.05 75 Santonio Holmes WR
7.10 94 Green Bay DEF
8.05 103 Felix Jones RB
9.10 122 Brent Celek TE
10.05 131 LeGarrette Blount RB
11.10 150 Jake Locker QB
12.05 159 Marshawn Lynch K RB
13.10 178 David Akers K
14.05 187 Jerome Simpson WR
15.10 206 Mike Tolbert RB
16.05 215 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692311.00287.4692307692307671.9999999999999920.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.945192.8538461538461875.923534898308940.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.363298.2384615384615116.1454374540941960.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.25234.776923076923076123.8564308958573910.00087.469230769230762.76923076923074520.325140.16153846153844118.7875866775218730.000192.8538461538461810.61630056584857640.378245.54615384615386115.1021854002085850.000298.238461538461591.0601056774191660.234350.93076923076916125.0811180895491670.660403.623076923076995.620587263518678Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.2307692307692311391.0605769230769272.020145.91634615384615141.23076923076923311200.7721153846153882.650887573964540255.6278846153846141.2307692307692353310.48365384615386125.2544378698224860365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238136.20480769230769135.905325443786981091.060576923076922.769230769230773627145.91634615384615103.9526627218934930200.7721153846153824.07100591715975242255.6278846153846130.5798816568047350310.48365384615386109.2781065088757464365.3394230769231119.9289940828402378420.195192307692398.627218934911248All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Allen 3-5 7th 101.75 0.520 23.52 6-7 8th
1 981 2013 Mike R. 5-3 4th 98.02 0.521 24.10 7-6 6th 5th place
2 974 2009 Rob 4-4 6th 98.45 0.520 17.62 8-5 3rd 4th place
3 974 2013 Dave 3-5 11th 100.42 0.530 23.00 7-6 5th 4th place
4 973 2016 Ed 4-4 7th 100.49 0.524 16.57 6-7 9th
5 972 2010 Babel 4-4 6th 97.18 0.523 22.22 8-5 3rd 6th place
6 970 2011 Dave 3-5 10th 100.07 0.511 25.96 3-10 12th
7 970 2023 Dave 4-4 7th 102.73 0.507 22.91 6-8 10th
8 969 2022 Rabbit 5-3 3rd 99.83 0.513 28.07 8-6 5th 5th place
9 969 2024 Babel 6-2 2nd 103.16 0.529 20.10 9-5 4th
10 963 2012 Rob 2-6 12th 98.15 0.522 14.36 3-10 13th