2023 Dave (through 11 weeks)

6-5 (0.545), 1,069.11 points (97.19 average)

7th place

4.89 expected wins (0.445)

61-82 all-play record (0.427)

-19.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.70 63.20 Derrek 20.50
2 L 85.05 93.59 Ed -8.54
3 W 120.41 72.32 Scott 48.09
4 L 71.98 109.71 Rob -37.73
5 L 87.27 101.66 Babel -14.39
6 W 113.32 86.17 Rabbit 27.15
7 W 144.61 110.68 Pat 33.93 Team Blangums
8 L 115.48 149.12 Pulley -33.64
9 W 92.23 84.46 Mike R. 7.77
10 L 70.05 90.10 Derrek -20.05 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 85.01 73.67 Matt 11.34
12 Schertz
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.23076923076923520.5%289.47435897435993.733555589520760.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.219669719809400.2%74.73076923076923140.693870570084712.5%117.67948717948717135.52951065622318211.1%160.62820512820514115.53809344111573325.0%203.5769230769230783.42216019549673429.9%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.47435897435946.236341948272268.4%332.42307692307696121.7928477132382572.1%375.3717948717949136.473777598766580.3%418.3205128205129140.5623039127193690.0%461.26923076923083141.18229342199078100.0%504.21794871794873141.2293816363874711Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585112th70.47692307692309253.1834319526627229th129.2076923076923185.7278106508876311th187.93846153846152230.698224852071412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272511th305.4230.69822485207167th364.1307692307692140.7573964497041577th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041587th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041599th540.3230769230769185.7278106508876109th599.053846153846185.7278106508876116th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th70.47692307692309163.2426035502958526th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124139th187.93846153846152185.7278106508876410th246.66923076923075208.2130177514793510th305.4208.213017751479366th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124177th422.86153846153843140.7573964497041588th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585107th599.053846153846140.75739644970415118th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958519th70.47692307692309185.727810650887628th129.2076923076923163.24260355029585311th187.93846153846152230.698224852071411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071511th305.4230.69822485207166th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124176th422.86153846153843118.2721893491124187th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585108th599.053846153846163.2426035502958511Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8
11
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Travis Kelce K TE
2.03 17 A.J. Brown K WR
3.12 40 Joe Burrow QB
4.03 45 James Conner RB
5.12 68 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Javonte Williams RB
7.12 96 Zay Flowers WR
8.03 101 Darnell Mooney WR
9.12 124 Jeff Wilson, Jr. RB
10.03 129 Justin Tucker K
11.12 152 Philadelphia DEF
12.03 157 Derek Carr QB
13.12 180 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
14.03 185 Van Jefferson WR
15.12 208 Leonard Fournette RB
16.03 213 Jalin Hyatt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.23127.59160839160839125.2470292180954510.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.820104.2349650349650384.458225385052430.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.727219.1999999999999690.9102907770941860.973257.521678321678373.8872205035123270.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.389334.165034965035114.2884967819260190.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.257410.8083916083916123.41344783961554110.00027.59160839160839109.2632892054216710.25965.91328671328671123.2710955648078420.000104.2349650349650327.6856815393355630.090142.55664335664335134.9801760052649840.299180.87832167832164120.5456040932919650.000219.1999999999999640.58981232341912560.000257.52167832167836.54367177625542270.763295.843356643356788.411425968470880.000334.16503496503587.346224333082890.084372.4867132867133135.43114929736052100.000410.8083916083916105.5961264484618611Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011628.724475524475523109.278106508875741068.61958041958042141.2307692307692329108.514685314685393.3017751479289930148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.23076923076923511228.282.6508875739645613268.0951048951048472.070307.9902097902098141.2307692307692388347.885314685314798.6272189349112490387.7804195804196141.23076923076923103427.67552447552447125.2544378698224811028.72447552447552377.325443786982251168.61958041958042135.9053254437869820108.514685314685345.37278106508874531148.40979020979017135.9053254437869842188.30489510489508130.5798816568047350228.224.07100591715975260268.095104895104842.769230769230773677307.9902097902098103.9526627218934980347.885314685314756.0236686390532490387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447109.2781065088757411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Dave 6-5 7th 97.19 0.445 22.06 6-8 10th
1 989 2023 Schertz 4-7 11th 96.47 0.441 21.65 6-8 9th
2 986 2021 Mike R. 2-9 12th 95.11 0.442 21.80 4-10 11th
3 984 2019 Dave 5-6 10th 97.68 0.445 15.23 6-7 10th
4 979 2021 Pat 2-9 11th 95.86 0.444 14.45 3-11 12th
5 976 2019 Babel 6-5 7th 98.82 0.449 17.40 8-5 5th 5th place
6 975 2010 Matt 4-7 8th 97.54 0.456 22.69 5-8 9th
7 974 2020 Rabbit 5-6 9th 98.71 0.455 22.00 6-7 10th
8 973 2019 Ed 4-7 11th 96.21 0.438 26.46 5-8 11th
9 967 2024 Scott 4-7 11th 95.08 0.454 25.00 5-9 12th
10 966 2019 Scott 4-7 12th 96.19 0.459 21.65 4-9 14th