2019 Dave (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,074.44 points

10th place

4.93 expected wins (0.448)

60-83 all-play record (0.420)

-3.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 89.82 100.20 Rabbit -10.38
2 L 72.44 102.52 Rob -30.08
3 L 79.62 102.86 Ed -23.24 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 96.01 99.26 Richie -3.25
5 L 86.16 126.31 Mike R. -40.15
6 W 106.81 103.85 Scott 2.96
7 W 123.86 100.12 Pulley 23.74
8 W 110.48 85.34 Babel 25.14
9 W 118.48 75.76 Pat 42.72
10 L 97.98 116.63 Matt -18.65
11 W 92.78 88.11 Derrek 4.67
12 Schertz
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923427.0%246.5256410256410272.050.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.1292629213119800.6%74.73076923076923139.6951211279864813.6%117.67948717948717131.87559015100732211.8%160.62820512820514110.96752774006609322.6%203.5769230769230783.2875964760924340.0%246.525641025641022.7692307692307736520.6%289.47435897435988.34922926236597610.1%332.42307692307696115.3648762943675273.1%375.3717948717949133.3102659563491680.6%418.3205128205129139.7965086906152490.1%461.26923076923083141.09481495371418100.0%504.21794871794873141.2258003744344711Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544213th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544313th187.93846153846152275.6686390532544414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272711th422.86153846153843230.69822485207188th481.59230769230766163.24260355029585910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931011th599.053846153846230.6982248520711111th11.746153846153845230.698224852071114th70.47692307692309298.15384615384613214th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613314th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071810th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711010th599.053846153846208.21301775147931111th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th70.47692307692309275.6686390532544213th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544313th187.93846153846152275.6686390532544414th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613514th305.4298.15384615384613612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272712th422.86153846153843253.1834319526627288th481.59230769230766163.24260355029585910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931010th599.053846153846208.213017751479311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 12.05 - from Rob
  • Pick 2.05 - from Rob
  • Pick 3.10 - from Rob
  • Pick 11.04 - to Rob
  • Pick 2.11 - to Rob
  • Pick 3.04 - to Rob
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Tyreek Hill WR
2.05 19 Zach Ertz TE
3.10 38 Aaron Rodgers QB
4.11 53 Alshon Jeffery WR
5.04 60 Latavius Murray RB
6.11 81 Curtis Samuel WR
7.04 88 Anthony Miller WR
8.11 109 James Washington WR
9.04 116 James White K RB
10.11 137 Mohamed Sanu WR
12.05 159 Damien Harris RB
12.11 165 Greg Zuerlein K
13.04 172 Derrius Guice K RB
14.11 193 Minnesota DEF
15.04 200 Malcolm Brown RB
16.11 221 Ryquell Armstead RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.607219.1999999999999699.2212685541641560.831257.521678321678383.6977572657152470.665295.843356643356795.1756096825039680.777334.16503496503587.4365824589068390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.363410.8083916083916116.13121350087863110.31427.59160839160839119.4950197537196910.08265.91328671328671135.5412847165965820.163104.23496503496503129.9387290319660630.419142.55664335664335112.2219251529822740.259180.87832167832164123.3020302087931750.000219.1999999999999657.2117678775590860.000257.521678321678326.16474530066125270.000295.843356643356749.1204501342387180.000334.16503496503533.6423956870444190.449372.4867132867133110.17636729652489100.000410.808391608391691.0316577709880311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692356228.2109.27810650887574610268.0951048951048487.9763313609467477307.9902097902098103.95266272189349811347.885314685314782.650887573964590387.7804195804196141.23076923076923108427.6755244755244798.6272189349112411328.724475524475523125.254437869822481168.61958041958042135.9053254437869820108.5146853146853141.2307692307692337148.40979020979017103.9526627218934942188.30489510489508130.5798816568047350228.277.3254437869822560268.0951048951048434.7218934911242570307.990209790209866.6745562130177580347.885314685314724.07100591715975295387.7804195804196114.60355029585799100427.6755244755244756.0236686390532411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Dave 5-6 10th 97.68 0.448 15.23 6-7 10th
1 983 2021 Pat 2-9 11th 95.86 0.444 14.45 3-11 12th
2 983 2019 Babel 6-5 7th 98.82 0.452 17.40 8-5 5th 5th place
3 983 2023 Dave 6-5 7th 97.19 0.447 22.06 6-8 10th
4 977 2019 Pat 5-6 8th 98.76 0.457 15.76 6-7 9th
5 976 2016 Babel 6-5 5th 96.77 0.455 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
6 972 2020 Rabbit 5-6 9th 98.71 0.453 22.00 6-7 10th
7 971 2023 Ed 8-3 2nd 96.82 0.460 15.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
8 969 2016 Allen 4-7 11th 97.02 0.456 21.08 4-9 13th
9 967 2017 Pat 4-7 10th 90.64 0.448 17.66 6-7 7th
10 966 2021 Mike R. 2-9 12th 95.11 0.443 21.80 4-10 11th