2021 Pat (through 11 weeks)

2-9 (0.182), 1,054.41 points

11th place

4.89 expected wins (0.444)

60-83 all-play record (0.420)

+26.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 L 91.28 125.74 Ed -34.46
7 L 84.72 106.59 Babel -21.87
8 L 82.78 97.21 Rob -14.43
9 L 91.70 101.27 Matt -9.57
10 L 93.35 106.84 Derrek -13.49
11 W 109.07 95.05 Kevin 14.02
12 Scott
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692314.0%117.67948717948717130.7998951022882220.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.107041416122600.7%74.73076923076923139.4314043579179610.0%117.67948717948717120.36902097380722212.4%160.62820512820514108.9605489737827322.9%203.5769230769230781.66486041429832426.6%246.5256410256410272.0520.0%289.47435897435989.1989883919855869.8%332.42307692307696115.8184060006540273.0%375.3717948717949133.319153106300980.6%418.3205128205129139.743881477125990.1%461.26923076923083141.08162826180208100.0%504.21794871794873141.225000179036511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.7278106508876511th305.4230.698224852071612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711010th599.053846153846208.2130177514793114th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th70.47692307692309163.24260355029585210th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793410th246.66923076923075208.2130177514793512th305.4253.18343195266272612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131011th599.053846153846230.698224852071114th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.7278106508876511th305.4230.698224852071612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711010th599.053846153846208.213017751479311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.70327.5916083916083992.591284946176610.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.667410.808391608391695.08004700486643110.00027.5916083916083943.95180066158397410.08465.91328671328671135.4457220389590820.342104.23496503496503117.581183425897830.842142.5566433566433582.9203419692585740.643180.8783216783216496.7164932900323650.358219.19999999999996116.4788550254735460.259257.5216783216783123.2973812136648670.229295.8433566433567125.3543032804359180.365334.165034965035115.9674655613591990.395372.4867132867133113.8991792842745100.000410.808391608391648.9293247789636511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111028.72447552447552387.976331360946741068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923108427.6755244755244798.6272189349112411028.72447552447552334.721893491124251068.61958041958042141.2307692307692324108.5146853146853119.92899408284023310148.4097902097901787.9763313609467444188.30489510489508119.9289940828402354228.2119.9289940828402362268.09510489510484130.5798816568047374307.9902097902098119.9289940828402387347.8853146853147103.9526627218934997387.7804195804196103.95266272189349100427.6755244755244756.0236686390532411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 2-9 11th 95.86 0.444 14.45 3-11 12th
1 983 2019 Dave 5-6 10th 97.68 0.448 15.23 6-7 10th
2 983 2009 Dave 5-6 10th 94.74 0.438 14.58 5-8 11th
3 980 2021 Mike R. 2-9 12th 95.11 0.443 21.80 4-10 11th
4 979 2022 Mike R. 6-5 7th 94.17 0.437 14.11 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
5 973 2023 Dave 6-5 7th 97.19 0.447 22.06 6-8 10th
6 972 2014 Ed 5-6 8th 93.09 0.436 14.77 6-7 8th
7 966 2019 Babel 6-5 7th 98.82 0.452 17.40 8-5 5th 5th place
8 966 2016 Babel 6-5 5th 96.77 0.455 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
9 966 2023 Schertz 4-7 11th 96.47 0.435 21.65 6-8 9th
10 965 2017 Pat 4-7 10th 90.64 0.448 17.66 6-7 7th