2021 Pat (through 11 weeks)

2-9 (0.182), 1,054.41 points (95.86 average)

11th place

4.89 expected wins (0.444)

60-83 all-play record (0.420)

+26.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 111.39 108.98 Mike R. 2.41
2 L 70.04 103.20 Dave -33.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 90.18 107.27 Rabbit -17.09
4 L 122.50 133.41 Mike R. -10.91
5 L 107.40 108.34 Pulley -0.94
6 L 91.28 125.74 Ed -34.46
7 L 84.72 106.59 Babel -21.87
8 L 82.78 97.21 Rob -14.43
9 L 91.70 101.27 Matt -9.57
10 L 93.35 106.84 Derrek -13.49
11 W 109.07 95.05 Kevin 14.02
12 Scott
13 Richie
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692314.0%117.67948717948717130.7995640758496220.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.105952359686300.7%74.73076923076923139.4251201615567810.0%117.67948717948717120.36835892092999212.4%160.62820512820514109.01484975614062322.8%203.5769230769230781.76252116357273426.6%246.5256410256410271.99999999999999520.0%289.47435897435989.0550743233193269.8%332.42307692307696115.6626829146164173.1%375.3717948717949133.243500994148180.6%418.3205128205129139.7253496927084590.1%461.26923076923083141.079564082687100.0%504.21794871794873141.2249357803440511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.7278106508876511th305.4230.698224852071612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711010th599.053846153846208.2130177514793114th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th70.47692307692309163.24260355029585210th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793410th246.66923076923075208.2130177514793512th305.4253.18343195266272612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131011th599.053846153846230.698224852071114th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th70.47692307692309208.2130177514793211th129.2076923076923230.69822485207138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.7278106508876511th305.4230.698224852071612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071911th540.3230769230769230.6982248520711010th599.053846153846208.213017751479311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tyreek Hill WR
2.09 23 Chris Carson RB
3.06 34 Miles Sanders RB
4.09 51 Kenny Golladay WR
5.06 62 Myles Gaskin RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas WR
7.06 90 Dallas Goedert TE
8.09 107 Darrell Henderson, Jr. K RB
9.06 118 Justin Herbert K QB
10.09 135 Mike Gesicki TE
11.06 146 Washington DEF
12.09 163 Gabe Davis WR
13.06 174 Ryan Succop K
14.09 191 Jameis Winston QB
15.06 202 Dyami Brown WR
16.09 219 Mac Jones QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.70127.5916083916083992.691552012209610.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.664410.808391608391695.25046818608374110.00027.5916083916083944.1523347936499710.08365.91328671328671135.5157441846478720.341104.23496503496503117.5946250783075630.841142.5566433566433583.0162328013986240.642180.8783216783216496.8123908483918350.359219.19999999999996116.3819223963536360.260257.5216783216783123.2232823977591570.230295.8433566433567125.3187176406069880.367334.165034965035115.8088410878601990.401372.4867132867133113.4606658825745100.000410.808391608391649.2701671413982511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111028.72447552447552387.976331360946741068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923108427.6755244755244798.6272189349112411028.72447552447552334.721893491124251068.61958041958042141.2307692307692324108.5146853146853119.92899408284023310148.4097902097901787.9763313609467444188.30489510489508119.9289940828402354228.2119.9289940828402362268.09510489510484130.5798816568047374307.9902097902098119.9289940828402387347.8853146853147103.9526627218934997387.7804195804196103.95266272189349100427.6755244755244756.0236686390532411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Pat 2-9 11th 95.86 0.444 14.45 3-11 12th
1 990 2019 Dave 5-6 10th 97.68 0.445 15.23 6-7 10th
2 979 2023 Dave 6-5 7th 97.19 0.445 22.06 6-8 10th
3 978 2021 Mike R. 2-9 12th 95.11 0.442 21.80 4-10 11th
4 978 2022 Mike R. 6-5 7th 94.17 0.437 14.11 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion
5 976 2023 Schertz 4-7 11th 96.47 0.441 21.65 6-8 9th
6 974 2009 Dave 5-6 10th 94.74 0.434 14.58 5-8 11th
7 973 2019 Babel 6-5 7th 98.82 0.449 17.40 8-5 5th 5th place
8 968 2019 Pat 5-6 8th 98.76 0.453 15.76 6-7 9th
9 967 2014 Ed 5-6 8th 93.09 0.434 14.77 6-7 8th
10 963 2017 Pat 4-7 10th 90.64 0.449 17.66 6-7 7th