2012 Allen (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 707.57 points

6th place

3.48 expected wins (0.497)

41-50 all-play record (0.451)

-2.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.76 87.05 Ed -5.29
2 W 147.72 108.53 Pat 39.19 Team Blangums
3 L 86.43 100.96 Pulley -14.53
4 W 131.94 101.92 Rob 30.02
5 L 90.10 101.09 Rabbit -10.99
6 W 89.04 81.48 Kevin 7.56
7 L 80.58 95.14 Matt -14.56
8 Mike R.
9 Babel
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Richie
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923235.3%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.0%42.519230769230774141.2292627457505600.9%106.9423076923077139.43376759236966116.8%171.3653846153846108.2415291747337820.0%235.788461538461522.7692307692307736330.7%300.211538461538581.16452573301638413.2%364.6346153846155115.3204755324525552.8%429.0576923076924135.7234311328295560.2%493.4807692307693140.770620821254627Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th109.630769230769273.3017751479289924th207.515384615384673.3017751479289934th305.473.3017751479289945th403.2846153846153495.786982248520756th501.16923076923075118.2721893491124166th599.053846153846118.27218934911241713th11.746153846153845275.668639053254414th109.630769230769273.3017751479289928th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958535th305.495.786982248520747th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041556th501.16923076923075118.2721893491124166th599.053846153846118.27218934911241713th11.746153846153845275.668639053254411st109.63076923076925.84615384615381124th207.515384615384673.3017751479289934th305.473.3017751479289945th403.2846153846153495.786982248520755th501.1692307692307595.786982248520765th599.05384615384695.78698224852077Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees K QB
2.05 19 Wes Welker WR
3.10 38 Brandon Lloyd WR
4.05 47 Willis McGahee RB
5.10 66 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.05 75 Santonio Holmes WR
7.10 94 Green Bay DEF
8.05 103 Felix Jones RB
9.10 122 Brent Celek TE
10.05 131 LeGarrette Blount RB
11.10 150 Jake Locker QB
12.05 159 Marshawn Lynch K RB
13.10 178 David Akers K
14.05 187 Jerome Simpson WR
15.10 206 Mike Tolbert RB
16.05 215 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.99998.7604395604395572.0589083555034220.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.942219.1999999999999675.9909251240270740.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.360339.6395604395604116.2997791065514560.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.24838.54065934065934124.0274421198349410.00098.760439560439552.887047480237612320.322158.98021978021976118.9476401096324230.000219.1999999999999610.75108101728491840.375279.4197802197802115.2542717576954550.000339.639560439560491.3687889823336760.231399.8593406593406125.254776833709397Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.23076923076923113102.815384615384672.020165.50769230769228141.23076923076923311228.1999999999999682.650887573964540290.8923076923077141.2307692307692353353.5846153846154125.2544378698224860416.2769230769231141.230769230769237140.12307692307692135.9053254437869810102.81538461538462.769230769230773627165.50769230769228103.9526627218934930228.1999999999999624.07100591715975242290.8923076923077130.5798816568047350353.5846153846154109.2781065088757464416.2769230769231119.928994082840237All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Allen 3-4 6th 101.08 0.497 25.07 6-7 8th
1 989 2023 Dave 4-3 6th 100.91 0.493 23.95 6-8 10th
2 984 2013 Rob 4-3 4th 102.43 0.497 29.91 8-5 2nd 2nd place
3 984 2010 Matt 2-5 9th 100.54 0.501 27.72 5-8 9th
4 980 2009 Pat 4-3 4th 100.92 0.489 26.97 6-7 8th
5 979 2014 Mike R. 3-4 8th 98.36 0.502 25.31 6-7 7th
6 977 2019 Rabbit 4-3 6th 101.35 0.499 33.62 6-7 7th
7 970 2024 Scott 3-4 9th 96.36 0.501 25.77 5-9 12th
8 970 2011 Ed 4-3 6th 101.91 0.503 18.12 9-4 1st 3rd place
9 966 2023 Pat 3-4 9th 98.80 0.506 21.65 5-9 11th
10 965 2010 Pulley 5-2 4th 94.67 0.495 22.22 8-5 4th 5th place