2009 Mike R. (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,200.53 points

9th place

6.03 expected wins (0.502)

70-62 all-play record (0.530)

+2.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 82.27 101.19 Allen -18.92
2 W 108.95 87.78 Matt 21.17
3 L 96.83 121.92 Rabbit -25.09
4 L 89.47 105.70 Kevin -16.23
5 W 115.14 93.77 Dave 21.37 Team Blangums
6 L 115.12 158.64 Pat -43.52
7 W 105.17 83.43 Pulley 21.74
8 W 90.33 85.27 Derrek 5.06
9 W 145.25 83.64 Babel 61.61 Team Blangums
10 L 78.45 100.57 Rob -22.12
11 L 106.92 116.68 Ed -9.76
12 L 66.63 90.16 Allen -23.53 Slapped Heartbeat
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923421.2%228.3550295857988386.5151233192320650.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2275652435246800.1%69.77514792899409141.0962871974665210.6%109.42011834319527139.680594669782823.3%149.06508875739644132.59961542718247310.7%188.71005917159763113.6086545302836240.0%228.3550295857988331.799477407694894526.8%268.072.0621.8%307.6449704142011784.87388075298124711.3%347.28994082840245112.0381396448412283.6%386.93491124260356131.908988834188990.7%426.5798816568048139.5120142147232100.1%466.2248520710059141.07105752233966110.0%505.8698224852071141.2255249897494312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664519th65.13776223776223218.4335664335664529th118.52937062937062218.4335664335664538th171.92097902097902191.860139860139947th225.3125874125874165.286713286713355th278.7041958041958112.1398601398601664th332.0958041958041385.5664335664335774th385.487412587412585.5664335664335783rd438.8790209790209458.99300699300701595th492.27062937062936112.13986013986016104th545.662237762237785.56643356643357118th599.053846153846191.8601398601399129th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664518th65.13776223776223191.8601398601399210th118.52937062937062245.006993006993310th171.92097902097902245.00699300699349th225.3125874125874218.43356643356645510th278.7041958041958245.00699300699367th332.09580419580413165.286713286713375th385.4874125874125112.1398601398601683rd438.8790209790209458.99300699300701596th492.27062937062936138.71328671328675106th545.6622377622377138.71328671328675119th599.053846153846218.43356643356645129th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664518th65.13776223776223191.860139860139929th118.52937062937062218.4335664335664538th171.92097902097902191.860139860139947th225.3125874125874165.286713286713356th278.7041958041958138.7132867132867564th332.0958041958041385.5664335664335774th385.487412587412585.5664335664335781st438.879020979020945.84615384615386892nd492.2706293706293632.41958041958043105th545.6622377622377112.13986013986016115th599.053846153846112.1398601398601612Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Calvin Johnson WR
2.10 22 Joseph Addai RB
3.03 27 Braylon Edwards WR
4.10 46 Michael Turner K RB
5.03 51 Hines Ward WR
6.10 70 John Carlson TE
7.03 75 Matt Schaub QB
8.10 94 Darren Sproles RB
9.03 99 Baltimore DEF
10.10 118 Sammy Morris RB
11.03 123 Michael Jenkins WR
12.10 142 Chad Pennington QB
13.03 147 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.10 166 Greg Camarillo WR
15.03 171 Leon Washington RB
16.10 190 Donald Lee TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.67161.1230769230769294.7742720591949120.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.767166.507692307692388.1489374463356850.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.604236.7641025641025699.4222340774786670.350271.89230769230767116.9913032223849780.965307.020512820512874.4209713874438190.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.23025.994871794871795125.3212693822920310.00061.1230769230769248.317774887620620.46096.25128205128203109.400010732865330.337131.37948717948717117.8890758371634940.000166.507692307692335.0671056619021250.766201.6358974358974588.2057584979039360.000236.7641025641025657.61369892418808570.000271.8923076923076792.7518372140007280.000307.02051282051287.61117354411840190.179342.14871794871794128.84417457952424100.639377.276923076923196.96756464972978110.062412.4051282051282136.9468565331582412Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231963.632692307692384.5874125874125920100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.23076923076923411173.344230769230772.050209.91474358974358141.2307692307692367246.485256410256497.1748251748251775283.0557692307692109.76223776223776811319.6262820512820372.090356.19679487179485141.23076923076923100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312327.062179487179485122.349650349650351063.632692307692327.94405594405594725100.20320512820511109.7622377622377634136.77371794871794116.0559440559440540173.34423076923072.769230769230773658209.9147435897435890.8811188811188860246.485256410256453.1188811188811270283.055769230769278.2937062937063180319.626282051282032.769230769230773693356.19679487179485122.34965034965035104392.7673076923077116.05594405594405110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Mike R. 5-7 9th 100.04 0.502 19.93 5-8 10th
1 988 2009 Babel 4-8 11th 99.30 0.504 16.66 5-8 9th
2 987 2024 Matt 7-5 6th 100.07 0.507 21.16 8-6 6th
3 986 2009 Rob 7-5 4th 99.04 0.502 15.32 8-5 3rd 4th place
4 985 2011 Ed 8-4 1st 101.41 0.499 18.33 9-4 1st 3rd place
5 980 2015 Rabbit 5-7 10th 95.80 0.503 20.44 5-8 11th
6 977 2009 Derrek 6-6 6th 99.39 0.509 16.40 7-6 5th 3rd place
7 970 2022 Matt 6-6 8th 100.68 0.514 21.63 6-8 11th
8 969 2019 Mike R. 8-4 3rd 101.77 0.512 22.97 8-5 4th 4th place
9 968 2020 Mike R. 6-6 11th 98.60 0.495 13.85 6-7 11th
10 968 2023 Ed 9-3 1st 99.91 0.488 18.41 11-3 1st 2nd place