2011 Ed (through 12 weeks)

8-4 (0.667), 1,216.93 points (101.41 average)

1st place

5.96 expected wins (0.497)

67-65 all-play record (0.508)

-20.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 94.22 112.66 Matt -18.44
2 W 121.70 101.09 Pulley 20.61
3 W 123.82 108.58 Mike R. 15.24 Team Blangums
4 W 115.80 90.08 Kevin 25.72
5 L 94.50 117.74 Rabbit -23.24
6 L 69.43 99.76 Derrek -30.33 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 93.93 48.73 Pat 45.20
8 W 95.88 79.58 Rob 16.30
9 W 133.41 64.51 Babel 68.90 Team Blangums
10 W 75.87 73.97 Dave 1.90
11 W 102.14 92.49 Allen 9.65
12 L 96.23 118.49 Rabbit -22.26
13 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.23076923076923710.6%347.28994082840245114.0599584063562280.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.22518105784200.1%69.77514792899409141.0796499549597310.6%109.42011834319527139.6047778418274823.5%149.06508875739644132.13043774121581311.3%188.71005917159763112.01261627272339422.0%228.3550295857988384.51167420970916526.9%268.072.0621.1%307.6449704142011787.00979820111970.0%347.2899408284024586.889147581943283.3%386.93491124260356132.7937303360172390.6%426.5798816568048139.72649776703406100.1%466.2248520710059141.0991801428319110.0%505.8698224852071141.2266646323194512Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th65.13776223776223165.286713286713323rd118.5293706293706258.99300699300701532nd171.9209790209790232.4195804195804343rd225.312587412587458.99300699300701557th278.7041958041958165.286713286713368th332.09580419580413191.860139860139978th385.4874125874125191.860139860139984th438.8790209790209485.5664335664335796th492.27062937062936138.71328671328675107th545.6622377622377165.2867132867133117th599.053846153846165.2867132867133129th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664516th65.13776223776223138.7132867132867522nd118.5293706293706232.4195804195804332nd171.9209790209790232.4195804195804345th225.3125874125874112.1398601398601658th278.7041958041958191.860139860139966th332.09580419580413138.7132867132867574th385.487412587412585.5664335664335782nd438.8790209790209432.4195804195804391st492.270629370629365.846153846153868101st545.66223776223775.846153846153868111st599.0538461538465.846153846153868129th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th65.13776223776223165.286713286713323rd118.5293706293706258.99300699300701532nd171.9209790209790232.4195804195804344th225.312587412587485.5664335664335758th278.7041958041958191.860139860139968th332.09580419580413191.860139860139977th385.4874125874125165.286713286713384th438.8790209790209485.5664335664335797th492.27062937062936165.2867132867133106th545.6622377622377138.71328671328675118th599.053846153846191.860139860139912Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Roddy White K WR
2.02 14 Matt Forte RB
3.11 35 Ryan Mathews RB
4.02 38 Brandon Marshall WR
5.11 59 Matt Schaub QB
6.02 62 Santana Moss WR
7.11 83 Shonn Greene K RB
8.02 86 Michael Crabtree WR
9.11 107 Lance Moore WR
10.02 110 Tony Moeaki TE
11.11 131 Thomas Jones RB
12.02 134 Earl Bennett WR
13.11 155 Visanthe Shiancoe TE
14.02 158 Colt McCoy QB
15.11 179 New York DEF
16.02 182 Neil Rackers K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.82961.1230769230769283.8199359326935820.85096.2512820512820382.4146898738828830.758131.3794871794871788.762153960317540.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.363236.76410256410256116.1311202355519570.406271.89230769230767113.1551353310397980.900307.020512820512878.9249150515677890.123342.14871794871794132.7438390136204100.512377.2769230769231105.75234304890716110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.37025.994871794871795115.6194497367804210.00061.1230769230769226.40910263461793820.00096.2512820512820323.59861051699654430.000131.3794871794871736.29353868986578440.380166.5076923076923114.9465787199128550.062201.63589743589745136.9452043231755260.000236.7641025641025691.0314712403346770.000271.8923076923076785.0795014313103680.000307.020512820512816.61906087236633390.000342.14871794871794124.25690879647158100.000377.276923076923170.2739168670451110.413412.4051282051282112.636127011756112Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231863.632692307692390.88111888111888211100.2032051282051172.037136.7737179487179497.1748251748251740173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692366246.4852564102564103.4685314685314776283.0557692307692103.46853146853147811319.6262820512820372.092356.19679487179485128.64335664335664106392.7673076923077103.46853146853147110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312327.062179487179485122.349650349650351063.632692307692340.5314685314685320100.203205128205112.769230769230773630136.7737179487179453.1188811188811244173.3442307692307116.0559440559440550209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.485256410256465.7062937062937270283.055769230769265.7062937062937280319.626282051282032.769230769230773690356.19679487179485116.05594405594405100392.767307692307765.70629370629372113429.3378205128205122.3496503496503512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Ed 8-4 1st 101.41 0.497 18.33 9-4 1st 3rd place
1 984 2009 Mike R. 5-7 9th 100.04 0.500 19.93 5-8 10th
2 979 2023 Ed 9-3 1st 99.91 0.490 18.41 11-3 1st 2nd place
3 974 2009 Babel 4-8 11th 99.30 0.504 16.66 5-8 9th
4 974 2020 Rabbit 6-6 10th 100.95 0.489 22.33 6-7 10th
5 973 2020 Mike R. 6-6 11th 98.60 0.493 13.85 6-7 11th
6 972 2024 Pat 6-6 7th 101.17 0.485 19.50 6-8 10th
7 970 2009 Rob 7-5 4th 99.04 0.504 15.32 8-5 3rd 4th place
8 969 2024 Matt 7-5 6th 100.07 0.507 21.16 8-6 6th 6th place
9 968 2014 Mike R. 6-6 7th 97.62 0.492 21.23 6-7 7th
10 968 2015 Mike R. 8-4 3rd 95.00 0.498 15.89 8-5 4th 6th place