2011 Ed (through 12 weeks)

8-4 (0.667), 1,216.93 points

1st place

5.99 expected wins (0.499)

67-65 all-play record (0.508)

-20.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 94.22 112.66 Matt -18.44
2 W 121.70 101.09 Pulley 20.61
3 W 123.82 108.58 Mike R. 15.24 Team Blangums
4 W 115.80 90.08 Kevin 25.72
5 L 94.50 117.74 Rabbit -23.24
6 L 69.43 99.76 Derrek -30.33 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 93.93 48.73 Pat 45.20
8 W 95.88 79.58 Rob 16.30
9 W 133.41 64.51 Babel 68.90 Team Blangums
10 W 75.87 73.97 Dave 1.90
11 W 102.14 92.49 Allen 9.65
12 L 96.23 118.49 Rabbit -22.26
13 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.23076923076923711.0%347.28994082840245112.7100773290940280.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2241040377028300.1%69.77514792899409141.061922896039310.7%109.42011834319527139.514349768827623.5%149.06508875739644132.02057998537362311.1%188.71005917159763112.32017377788841421.5%228.3550295857988385.2337529105626526.6%268.072.0621.3%307.6449704142011785.7961345503358670.0%347.2899408284024584.1893854274188183.5%386.93491124260356132.149905132736690.6%426.5798816568048139.58661972021287100.1%466.2248520710059141.0884721565613110.0%505.8698224852071141.2265251037749512Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th65.13776223776223165.286713286713323rd118.5293706293706258.99300699300701532nd171.9209790209790232.4195804195804343rd225.312587412587458.99300699300701557th278.7041958041958165.286713286713368th332.09580419580413191.860139860139978th385.4874125874125191.860139860139983rd438.8790209790209458.99300699300701596th492.27062937062936138.71328671328675107th545.6622377622377165.2867132867133117th599.053846153846165.2867132867133129th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664516th65.13776223776223138.7132867132867522nd118.5293706293706232.4195804195804332nd171.9209790209790232.4195804195804345th225.3125874125874112.1398601398601658th278.7041958041958191.860139860139966th332.09580419580413138.7132867132867574th385.487412587412585.5664335664335782nd438.8790209790209432.4195804195804391st492.270629370629365.846153846153868101st545.66223776223775.846153846153868111st599.0538461538465.846153846153868129th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664517th65.13776223776223165.286713286713323rd118.5293706293706258.99300699300701532nd171.9209790209790232.4195804195804344th225.312587412587485.5664335664335758th278.7041958041958191.860139860139968th332.09580419580413191.860139860139977th385.4874125874125165.286713286713384th438.8790209790209485.5664335664335797th492.27062937062936165.2867132867133106th545.6622377622377138.71328671328675118th599.053846153846191.860139860139912Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Roddy White K WR
2.02 14 Matt Forte RB
3.11 35 Ryan Mathews RB
4.02 38 Brandon Marshall WR
5.11 59 Matt Schaub QB
6.02 62 Santana Moss WR
7.11 83 Shonn Greene K RB
8.02 86 Michael Crabtree WR
9.11 107 Lance Moore WR
10.02 110 Tony Moeaki TE
11.11 131 Thomas Jones RB
12.02 134 Earl Bennett WR
13.11 155 Visanthe Shiancoe TE
14.02 158 Colt McCoy QB
15.11 179 New York DEF
16.02 182 Neil Rackers K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.81461.1230769230769284.907612126875120.83196.2512820512820383.6689132026870130.747131.3794871794871789.5101173039042440.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.385236.76410256410256114.57956525582170.418271.89230769230767112.3067231930905680.894307.020512820512879.3391490731855190.117342.14871794871794133.1032280670741100.521377.2769230769231105.19272753674427110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.38925.994871794871795114.2727315773523910.00061.1230769230769228.5844550229809620.00096.2512820512820326.10705717460477630.000131.3794871794871737.7894653770392540.395166.5076923076923113.8977126370018650.056201.63589743589745137.330714303752760.000236.7641025641025687.9283612808727670.000271.8923076923076783.382677155411980.000307.020512820512817.44752891560179490.000342.14871794871794124.97568690337896100.000377.276923076923169.15468584271932110.424412.4051282051282111.8521547805444712Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231863.632692307692390.88111888111888211100.2032051282051172.037136.7737179487179497.1748251748251740173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692366246.4852564102564103.4685314685314776283.0557692307692103.46853146853147811319.6262820512820372.092356.19679487179485128.64335664335664106392.7673076923077103.46853146853147110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312327.062179487179485122.349650349650351063.632692307692340.5314685314685320100.203205128205112.769230769230773630136.7737179487179453.1188811188811244173.3442307692307116.0559440559440550209.91474358974358141.2307692307692360246.485256410256465.7062937062937270283.055769230769265.7062937062937280319.626282051282032.769230769230773690356.19679487179485116.05594405594405100392.767307692307765.70629370629372113429.3378205128205122.3496503496503512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Ed 8-4 1st 101.41 0.499 18.33 9-4 1st 3rd place
1 985 2009 Mike R. 5-7 9th 100.04 0.502 19.93 5-8 10th
2 979 2009 Babel 4-8 11th 99.30 0.504 16.66 5-8 9th
3 979 2009 Rob 7-5 4th 99.04 0.502 15.32 8-5 3rd 4th place
4 975 2024 Pat 6-6 7th 101.17 0.488 19.50 6-8 10th
5 973 2024 Matt 7-5 6th 100.07 0.507 21.16 8-6 6th
6 972 2020 Mike R. 6-6 11th 98.60 0.495 13.85 6-7 11th
7 972 2023 Ed 9-3 1st 99.91 0.488 18.41 11-3 1st 2nd place
8 971 2019 Rabbit 6-6 8th 102.03 0.499 31.18 6-7 7th
9 970 2011 Kevin 5-7 9th 103.00 0.495 25.73 6-7 8th
10 968 2009 Derrek 6-6 6th 99.39 0.509 16.40 7-6 5th 3rd place