2009 Rob (through 12 weeks)

7-5 (0.583), 1,188.50 points

4th place

6.03 expected wins (0.502)

67-65 all-play record (0.508)

+3.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 74.36 103.24 Babel -28.88
2 W 115.60 86.69 Pulley 28.91 Team Blangums
3 W 104.58 93.65 Ed 10.93
4 W 118.20 101.62 Allen 16.58
5 L 81.24 95.19 Matt -13.95
6 L 96.75 116.11 Rabbit -19.36
7 W 119.43 118.61 Kevin 0.82
8 L 77.40 121.28 Dave -43.88
9 W 90.13 83.77 Pat 6.36
10 W 100.57 78.45 Mike R. 22.12
11 W 114.41 76.86 Derrek 37.55
12 L 95.83 132.65 Babel -36.82
13 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.23076923076923621.4%307.6449704142011784.2029700005454570.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2194118288017300.1%69.77514792899409140.9977494348589210.8%109.42011834319527139.2039988444624323.7%149.06508875739644131.4349835466013310.9%188.71005917159763112.17150276662967420.8%228.3550295857988385.85311003614913526.0%268.072.060.0%307.6449704142011727.17517077032167711.5%347.28994082840245110.624003597061683.9%386.93491124260356130.8405348679767490.8%426.5798816568048139.12105638004218100.1%466.2248520710059141.00052580038334110.0%505.8698224852071141.2204997140362412Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th65.13776223776223191.860139860139927th118.52937062937062165.286713286713332nd171.9209790209790232.4195804195804346th225.3125874125874138.7132867132867558th278.7041958041958191.860139860139965th332.09580419580413112.1398601398601675th385.4874125874125112.1398601398601686th438.87902097902094138.7132867132867599th492.27062937062936218.43356643356645107th545.6622377622377165.2867132867133119th599.053846153846218.433566433566451211th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th65.13776223776223218.4335664335664525th118.52937062937062112.1398601398601632nd171.9209790209790232.4195804195804344th225.312587412587485.5664335664335757th278.7041958041958165.286713286713363rd332.0958041958041358.99300699300701576th385.4874125874125138.7132867132867585th438.87902097902094112.1398601398601694th492.2706293706293685.56643356643357104th545.662237762237785.56643356643357114th599.05384615384685.566433566433571211th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th65.13776223776223218.4335664335664527th118.52937062937062165.286713286713332nd171.9209790209790232.4195804195804346th225.3125874125874138.7132867132867558th278.7041958041958191.860139860139965th332.09580419580413112.1398601398601676th385.4874125874125138.7132867132867587th438.87902097902094165.286713286713398th492.27062937062936191.8601398601399107th545.6622377622377165.2867132867133119th599.053846153846218.4335664335664512Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Ronnie Brown RB
2.02 14 Andre Johnson K WR
3.11 35 DeSean Jackson WR
4.02 38 Donovan McNabb QB
5.11 59 Derrick Ward RB
6.02 62 Chris Cooley TE
7.11 83 Donnie Avery WR
8.02 86 Laveranues Coles WR
9.11 107 Fred Jackson RB
10.02 110 Steve Slaton K RB
11.11 131 Justin Gage WR
12.02 134 Joe Flacco QB
13.11 155 Correll Buckhalter RB
14.02 158 Garrett Hartley K
15.11 179 Mario Manningham WR
16.02 182 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.77261.1230769230769287.7625542956714920.59296.25128205128203100.2290930097479730.802131.3794871794871785.716996439214140.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.822236.7641025641025684.3078343603212470.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.347307.0205128205128117.1958590080307190.521342.14871794871794105.19525291681398100.757377.276923076923188.8307900651548110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.13025.994871794871795132.2079808323652510.00061.1230769230769234.2943393605737720.00096.2512820512820359.227416788726730.000131.3794871794871730.20322364765897340.211166.5076923076923126.5940609374210950.459201.63589743589745109.445467574119960.000236.7641025641025627.38489948987323470.166271.89230769230767129.7419471943027280.000307.020512820512893.1609487852921990.000342.1487179487179469.15973660285873100.000377.276923076923136.430810899540376110.446412.4051282051282110.3773328198393812Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112027.062179487179485141.2307692307692311163.632692307692372.028100.2032051282051190.88111888111888310136.7737179487179478.293706293706340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.23076923076923610246.485256410256478.293706293706370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692384319.62628205128203116.0559440559440595356.19679487179485109.76223776223776107392.767307692307797.17482517482517110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312127.062179487179485134.937062937062931063.63269230769232.769230769230773620100.2032051282051140.5314685314685330136.7737179487179415.3566433566433642173.3442307692307128.6433566433566454209.91474358974358116.0559440559440560246.485256410256415.3566433566433671283.0557692307692134.9370629370629380319.6262820512820390.881118881118990356.1967948717948578.29370629370631100392.767307692307753.11888111888112114429.3378205128205116.0559440559440512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Rob 7-5 4th 99.04 0.502 15.32 8-5 3rd 4th place
1 993 2009 Babel 4-8 11th 99.30 0.504 16.66 5-8 9th
2 986 2009 Mike R. 5-7 9th 100.04 0.502 19.93 5-8 10th
3 982 2009 Derrek 6-6 6th 99.39 0.509 16.40 7-6 5th 3rd place
4 982 2020 Mike R. 6-6 11th 98.60 0.495 13.85 6-7 11th
5 979 2011 Ed 8-4 1st 101.41 0.499 18.33 9-4 1st 3rd place
6 978 2012 Rob 2-10 13th 96.75 0.507 13.93 3-10 13th
7 975 2020 Scott 7-5 7th 98.63 0.492 13.90 7-6 8th
8 974 2015 Rabbit 5-7 10th 95.80 0.503 20.44 5-8 11th
9 974 2024 Matt 7-5 6th 100.07 0.507 21.16 8-6 6th
10 972 2015 Mike R. 8-4 3rd 95.00 0.497 15.89 8-5 4th 6th place