2009 Mike R. (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 803.28 points

5th place

4.39 expected wins (0.548)

52-36 all-play record (0.591)

+10.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 82.27 101.19 Allen -18.92
2 W 108.95 87.78 Matt 21.17
3 L 96.83 121.92 Rabbit -25.09
4 L 89.47 105.70 Kevin -16.23
5 W 115.14 93.77 Dave 21.37 Team Blangums
6 L 115.12 158.64 Pat -43.52
7 W 105.17 83.43 Pulley 21.74
8 W 90.33 85.27 Derrek 5.06
9 Babel
10 Rob
11 Ed
12 Allen
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923328.8%268.071.9999999999999940.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.1%38.940170940170944141.0506307956964301.1%96.20512820512818138.7023958990454315.9%153.47008547008548126.96860779642434217.4%210.7350427350427399.414785051391730.0%268.02.769230769230745427.4%325.264957264957375.14919725929299514.8%382.52991452991455105.6220668742389364.1%439.79487179487177131.2717655706725670.5%497.05982905982904140.11923164153938Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664519th95.64725274725272218.4335664335664529th179.54835164835166218.4335664335664538th263.44945054945055191.860139860139947th347.3505494505494165.286713286713355th431.2516483516483112.1398601398601664th515.152747252747285.5664335664335774th599.05384615384685.5664335664335789th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664518th95.64725274725272191.8601398601399210th179.54835164835166245.006993006993310th263.44945054945055245.00699300699349th347.3505494505494218.43356643356645510th431.2516483516483245.00699300699367th515.1527472527472165.286713286713375th599.053846153846112.1398601398601689th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664518th95.64725274725272191.860139860139929th179.54835164835166218.4335664335664538th263.44945054945055191.860139860139947th347.3505494505494165.286713286713356th431.2516483516483138.7132867132867564th515.152747252747285.5664335664335774th599.05384615384685.566433566433578Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Calvin Johnson WR
2.10 22 Joseph Addai RB
3.03 27 Braylon Edwards WR
4.10 46 Michael Turner K RB
5.03 51 Hines Ward WR
6.10 70 John Carlson TE
7.03 75 Matt Schaub QB
8.10 94 Darren Sproles RB
9.03 99 Baltimore DEF
10.10 118 Sammy Morris RB
11.03 123 Michael Jenkins WR
12.10 142 Chad Pennington QB
13.03 147 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.10 166 Greg Camarillo WR
15.03 171 Leon Washington RB
16.10 190 Donald Lee TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.69687.4692307692307693.0288792994595620.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.792245.5461538461538686.4035446866003350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.629350.9307692307691697.6768413177433270.375403.6230769230769115.2459104626496380.25534.776923076923076123.5758766225566910.00087.4692307692307644.8269893681499120.485140.16153846153844107.6546179731299430.362192.85384615384618116.1436830774281540.000245.5461538461538631.5763201424314450.791298.238461538461586.460365738168660.000350.9307692307691654.1229134047174270.000403.623076923076989.261051694530048Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231991.0605769230769284.5874125874125920145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.23076923076923411255.627884615384672.050310.48365384615386141.2307692307692367365.339423076923197.1748251748251775420.1951923076923109.762237762237768336.20480769230769122.349650349650351091.0605769230769227.94405594405594725145.91634615384615109.7622377622377634200.77211538461538116.0559440559440540255.62788461538462.769230769230773658310.4836538461538690.8811188811188860365.339423076923153.1188811188811270420.195192307692378.293706293706318All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Mike R. 4-4 5th 100.41 0.548 11.68 5-8 10th
1 982 2015 Mike R. 6-2 2nd 99.67 0.543 13.36 8-5 4th 6th place
2 977 2021 Ed 3-5 9th 105.10 0.548 13.35 6-8 8th
3 965 2020 Schertz 3-5 10th 104.78 0.544 15.87 6-7 9th
4 958 2008 Kevin 4-4 6th 97.18 0.562 12.40 8-5 3rd 6th place
5 957 2011 Mike R. 5-3 3rd 105.74 0.551 19.86 6-7 9th
6 956 2020 Mike R. 3-5 11th 102.92 0.534 8.57 6-7 11th
7 953 2012 Derrek 6-2 5th 99.91 0.565 17.46 8-5 5th 5th place
8 952 2022 Matt 4-4 6th 104.32 0.552 23.83 6-8 11th
9 949 2024 Scott 4-4 8th 100.52 0.538 26.50 5-9 12th
10 948 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.539 24.26 5-8 10th