2021 Ed (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 840.79 points

9th place

4.38 expected wins (0.548)

60-44 all-play record (0.577)

+20.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.60 127.82 Dave -18.22
2 W 92.03 75.92 Rob 16.11
3 L 80.16 100.35 Matt -20.19
4 L 106.49 130.98 Derrek -24.49
5 L 99.24 137.65 Kevin -38.41
6 W 125.74 91.28 Pat 34.46
7 L 113.70 123.50 Richie -9.80
8 W 113.83 104.34 Schertz 9.49 Team Blangums
9 Dave
10 Rabbit
11 Mike R.
12 Pulley
13 Scott
14 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923217.2%210.73504273504273100.0352690951077430.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.1%38.940170940170944141.054816527761101.0%96.20512820512818138.7550907884779615.8%153.47008547008548127.2773221941116620.0%210.7350427350427358.839768959446246328.9%268.072.0427.9%325.264957264957374.3324878363873514.8%382.52991452991455105.7356080638382663.8%439.79487179487177132.1063872754815270.3%497.05982905982904140.41814764215868Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th95.64725274725272140.75739644970415210th179.54835164835166208.213017751479339th263.44945054945055185.7278106508876410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479358th431.2516483516483163.2426035502958569th515.1527472527472185.727810650887678th599.053846153846163.2426035502958588th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th95.64725274725272118.2721893491124129th179.54835164835166185.7278106508876311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071411th347.3505494505494230.69822485207159th431.2516483516483185.727810650887669th515.1527472527472185.727810650887679th599.053846153846185.727810650887685th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th95.64725274725272140.75739644970415210th179.54835164835166208.213017751479339th263.44945054945055185.7278106508876410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479359th431.2516483516483185.7278106508876610th515.1527472527472208.213017751479378th599.053846153846163.242603550295858Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
5
7
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Jones RB
2.12 26 Robert Woods WR
3.03 31 Josh Jacobs RB
4.12 54 DeVonta Smith WR
5.03 59 Brandin Cooks WR
6.12 82 Jalen Hurts QB
7.03 87 Tyler Higbee TE
8.12 110 Jamaal Williams RB
9.03 115 Mike Davis K RB
10.12 138 A.J. Brown K WR
11.03 143 Justin Tucker K
12.12 166 David Johnson RB
13.03 171 A.J. Green WR
14.12 194 Gerald Everett TE
15.03 199 Sam Darnold QB
16.12 222 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.33287.46923076923076118.243609886502220.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.825298.238461538461584.0827936836636860.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.702403.623076923076992.6059514189028380.63734.77692307692307697.1516355443637110.00087.4692307692307695.2564505422351720.150140.16153846153844130.823790703715230.583192.85384615384618100.8904607375552940.452245.54615384615386109.9591005678497550.000298.238461538461526.9348181365581260.700350.9307692307691692.7650503632939770.000403.623076923076943.981133607036448Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231591.06057692307692114.6035502958579920145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.23076923076923510310.4836538461538687.9763313609467460365.3394230769231141.23076923076923713420.195192307692372.08936.2048076923076993.301775147928991091.0605769230769287.9763313609467423145.91634615384615125.2544378698224837200.77211538461538103.9526627218934942255.6278846153846130.5798816568047350310.4836538461538634.72189349112425611365.339423076923182.650887573964570420.19519230769232.76923076923077368All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Ed 3-5 9th 105.10 0.548 13.35 6-8 8th
1 986 2020 Schertz 3-5 10th 104.78 0.544 15.87 6-7 9th
2 978 2011 Mike R. 5-3 3rd 105.74 0.551 19.86 6-7 9th
3 977 2009 Mike R. 4-4 5th 100.41 0.548 11.68 5-8 10th
4 968 2015 Mike R. 6-2 2nd 99.67 0.543 13.36 8-5 4th 6th place
5 967 2022 Matt 4-4 6th 104.32 0.552 23.83 6-8 11th
6 959 2024 Pat 5-3 3rd 104.99 0.536 21.73 6-8 10th
7 955 2020 Mike R. 3-5 11th 102.92 0.534 8.57 6-7 11th
8 952 2024 Ed 4-4 7th 103.03 0.531 16.33 6-8 9th
9 951 2018 Matt 5-3 6th 109.78 0.542 22.43 8-5 4th 2nd place
10 950 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.539 24.26 5-8 10th