2021 Ed (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 840.79 points (105.10 average)

9th place

4.38 expected wins (0.547)

60-44 all-play record (0.577)

+20.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.60 127.82 Dave -18.22
2 W 92.03 75.92 Rob 16.11
3 L 80.16 100.35 Matt -20.19
4 L 106.49 130.98 Derrek -24.49
5 L 99.24 137.65 Kevin -38.41
6 W 125.74 91.28 Pat 34.46
7 L 113.70 123.50 Richie -9.80
8 W 113.83 104.34 Schertz 9.49 Team Blangums
9 Dave
10 Rabbit
11 Mike R.
12 Pulley
13 Scott
14 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923217.3%289.3675213675213699.9733760751435630.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.1%53.470085470085465141.0554545765461701.0%132.1025641025641138.755181165801415.8%210.73504273504273127.2549914204541920.0%289.3675213675213658.715982919517884329.0%368.072.0427.9%446.632478632478774.4816133579139514.8%525.2649572649573105.8774308893859963.8%603.897435897436132.1408632179690470.3%682.5299145299145140.419515040851378Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th95.64725274725272140.75739644970415210th179.54835164835166208.213017751479339th263.44945054945055185.7278106508876410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479358th431.2516483516483163.2426035502958569th515.1527472527472185.727810650887678th599.053846153846163.2426035502958588th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th95.64725274725272118.2721893491124129th179.54835164835166185.7278106508876311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071411th347.3505494505494230.69822485207159th431.2516483516483185.727810650887669th515.1527472527472185.727810650887679th599.053846153846185.727810650887685th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th95.64725274725272140.75739644970415210th179.54835164835166208.213017751479339th263.44945054945055185.7278106508876410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479359th431.2516483516483185.7278106508876610th515.1527472527472208.213017751479378th599.053846153846163.242603550295858Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
5
7
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Jones RB
2.12 26 Robert Woods WR
3.03 31 Josh Jacobs RB
4.12 54 DeVonta Smith WR
5.03 59 Brandin Cooks WR
6.12 82 Jalen Hurts QB
7.03 87 Tyler Higbee TE
8.12 110 Jamaal Williams RB
9.03 115 Mike Davis K RB
10.12 138 A.J. Brown K WR
11.03 143 Justin Tucker K
12.12 166 David Johnson RB
13.03 171 A.J. Green WR
14.12 194 Gerald Everett TE
15.03 199 Sam Darnold QB
16.12 222 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00050.642307692307696141.2307692307692310.336127.37307692307691117.9711269457411620.000204.10384615384615141.2307692307692330.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.000357.56538461538463141.2307692307692350.827434.2961538461538683.9732379327762760.000511.0269230769231141.2307692307692370.705587.757692307692292.3944581822403680.63550.64230769230769697.2892085389372910.000127.3730769230769194.711484660713120.151204.10384615384615130.7867464407530.576280.8346153846154101.379469519522640.447357.56538461538463110.2676578136529750.000434.2961538461538626.7157066347833360.702511.026923076923192.6204849317597670.000587.757692307692243.55814713371158Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678052.07019230769231141.2307692307692315130.96442307692305114.6035502958579920209.85865384615386141.2307692307692330288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.23076923076923510446.541346153846287.9763313609467460525.435576923077141.23076923076923713604.329807692307672.08952.0701923076923193.3017751479289910130.9644230769230587.9763313609467423209.85865384615386125.2544378698224837288.75288461538463103.9526627218934942367.6471153846154130.5798816568047350446.541346153846234.72189349112425611525.43557692307782.650887573964570604.32980769230762.76923076923077368All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Ed 3-5 9th 105.10 0.547 13.35 6-8 8th
1 986 2020 Schertz 3-5 10th 104.78 0.543 15.87 6-7 9th
2 978 2011 Mike R. 5-3 3rd 105.74 0.551 19.86 6-7 9th
3 968 2015 Mike R. 6-2 2nd 99.67 0.542 13.36 8-5 4th 6th place
4 967 2009 Mike R. 4-4 5th 100.41 0.553 11.68 5-8 10th
5 959 2022 Matt 4-4 6th 104.32 0.556 23.83 6-8 11th
6 958 2024 Pat 5-3 3rd 104.99 0.535 21.73 6-8 10th
7 956 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.542 24.26 5-8 10th
8 954 2024 Ed 4-4 7th 103.03 0.532 16.33 6-8 9th
9 954 2020 Scott 5-3 4th 104.80 0.569 11.97 7-6 8th
10 951 2018 Matt 5-3 6th 109.78 0.541 22.43 8-5 4th 2nd place