2011 Mike R. (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 845.89 points (105.74 average)

3rd place

4.40 expected wins (0.551)

55-33 all-play record (0.625)

+8.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 103.67 117.88 Babel -14.21
2 W 145.29 113.62 Dave 31.67 Team Blangums
3 L 108.58 123.82 Ed -15.24
4 L 82.65 112.60 Matt -29.95
5 W 103.64 83.53 Pulley 20.11
6 W 113.43 109.16 Allen 4.27
7 W 75.32 56.28 Kevin 19.04
8 W 113.31 97.69 Rabbit 15.62
9 Derrek
10 Pat
11 Rob
12 Pat
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923429.5%325.264957264957373.3960234556050650.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.1659174696584400.7%96.20512820512818139.6705798825683214.9%153.47008547008548129.93841975325327216.7%210.73504273504273102.91363899784942330.1%268.072.040.0%325.26495726495735.561277680440895514.7%382.52991452991455107.4349568983174163.1%439.79487179487177134.1010919630393570.2%497.05982905982904140.741301513275158Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867513rd95.6472527472527258.99300699300701522nd179.5483516483516632.4195804195804335th263.44945054945055112.1398601398601647th347.3505494505494165.286713286713354th431.251648351648385.5664335664335767th515.1527472527472165.286713286713374th599.05384615384685.5664335664335787th11.746153846153845165.286713286713313rd95.6472527472527258.99300699300701527th179.54835164835166165.2867132867133310th263.44945054945055245.00699300699348th347.3505494505494191.860139860139956th431.2516483516483138.7132867132867564th515.152747252747285.5664335664335773rd599.05384615384658.99300699300701586th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867511st95.647252747252725.84615384615386821st179.548351648351665.84615384615386833rd263.4494505494505558.99300699300701545th347.3505494505494112.1398601398601653rd431.251648351648358.99300699300701566th515.1527472527472138.7132867132867575th599.053846153846112.139860139860168Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Adrian Peterson RB
2.12 24 Tony Romo QB
3.01 25 Ryan Grant RB
4.12 48 Hakeem Nicks K WR
5.01 49 Fred Jackson RB
6.12 72 Kellen Winslow II TE
7.01 73 Miles Austin K WR
8.12 96 Hines Ward WR
9.01 97 LaDainian Tomlinson RB
10.12 120 Dallas DEF
11.01 121 Jordy Nelson WR
12.12 144 Marion Barber III RB
13.01 145 Mark Sanchez QB
14.12 168 Aaron Hernandez TE
15.01 169 Eddie Royal WR
16.12 192 Billy Cundiff K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.93687.4692307692307676.4479452615905320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.541245.54615384615386103.8019687421412350.716298.238461538461591.6406176681162360.117350.93076923076916133.1239529394679870.712403.623076923076991.9506940154869280.54334.776923076923076103.6332433959714310.00087.4692307692307611.6651212924118420.635140.1615384615384497.2380923813297530.204192.85384615384618127.0791739491599840.000245.5461538461538666.3731682535132350.000298.238461538461542.05046610546324460.000350.93076923076916125.0171366481667170.000403.623076923076942.670618800204618Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678036.20480769230769141.2307692307692311191.0605769230769272.020145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692346255.6278846153846103.46853146853147510310.4836538461538678.293706293706365365.3394230769231109.76223776223776710420.195192307692378.29370629370638636.20480769230769103.468531468531471091.060576923076922.769230769230773626145.91634615384615103.4685314685314731200.77211538461538134.9370629370629340255.627884615384665.7062937062937250310.4836538461538615.3566433566433660365.339423076923178.2937062937063170420.195192307692315.356643356643368All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Mike R. 5-3 3rd 105.74 0.551 19.86 6-7 9th
1 978 2021 Ed 3-5 9th 105.10 0.547 13.35 6-8 8th
2 976 2022 Matt 4-4 6th 104.32 0.556 23.83 6-8 11th
3 974 2020 Schertz 3-5 10th 104.78 0.543 15.87 6-7 9th
4 961 2024 Pat 5-3 3rd 104.99 0.535 21.73 6-8 10th
5 961 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.542 24.26 5-8 10th
6 960 2018 Matt 5-3 6th 109.78 0.541 22.43 8-5 4th 2nd place
7 958 2009 Mike R. 4-4 5th 100.41 0.553 11.68 5-8 10th
8 954 2022 Derrek 4-4 7th 102.59 0.534 20.22 8-6 4th 4th place
9 953 2021 Dave 6-2 4th 106.97 0.560 31.41 10-4 4th Blingabowl XIV champion
10 949 2024 Scott 4-4 8th 100.52 0.542 26.50 5-9 12th