2019 Pat (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 715.47 points

9th place

3.53 expected wins (0.504)

41-50 all-play record (0.451)

+2.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 102.27 115.23 Rob -12.96
2 W 87.25 75.97 Kevin 11.28
3 L 95.86 145.86 Pulley -50.00
4 W 131.67 92.84 Babel 38.83 Team Blangums
5 W 117.60 94.00 Ed 23.60
6 L 101.80 109.50 Mike R. -7.70
7 L 79.02 95.43 Richie -16.41
8 Scott
9 Dave
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923230.6%235.7884615384615272.5251294909576430.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.2%42.519230769230774140.7157978234341703.3%106.9423076923077133.9024045426714115.1%171.3653846153846107.3002270268397920.0%235.788461538461523.819489751146051330.9%300.211538461538572.0415.8%364.6346153846155105.8729719355409653.8%429.0576923076924132.7968468223000460.3%493.4807692307693140.517181576869977Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th109.6307692307692208.213017751479329th207.5153846153846185.727810650887635th305.495.786982248520744th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289956th501.16923076923075118.2721893491124165th599.05384615384695.7869822485207710th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793110th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793211th207.5153846153846230.69822485207136th305.4118.2721893491124146th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124156th501.16923076923075118.2721893491124169th599.053846153846185.727810650887679th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th109.6307692307692208.2130177514793210th207.5153846153846208.213017751479335th305.495.786982248520746th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124156th501.16923076923075118.2721893491124166th599.053846153846118.272189349112417Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Thomas WR
2.09 23 Leonard Fournette RB
3.06 34 David Montgomery RB
4.09 51 Josh Gordon WR
5.06 62 Carson Wentz QB
6.09 79 Sterling Shepard WR
7.06 90 David Njoku TE
8.09 107 Nick Chubb K RB
9.06 118 Christian Kirk K WR
10.09 135 Mitchell Trubisky QB
11.06 146 Nyheim Hines RB
12.09 163 Jordan Reed TE
13.06 174 DaeSean Hamilton WR
14.09 191 Hollywood Brown WR
15.06 202 New Orleans DEF
16.09 219 Mike Badgley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.27498.76043956043955122.2520741616511220.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.883219.1999999999999680.0908538980014640.766279.419780219780288.2276284825764250.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.52038.54065934065934105.2057586911728210.00098.76043956043955103.2733790925330220.416158.98021978021976112.4561248712829230.000219.1999999999999618.9509385652336740.000279.419780219780235.2244877343836350.512339.6395604395604105.7626049965417760.155399.8593406593406130.502490849362637Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692316102.8153846153846109.2781065088757420165.50769230769228141.23076923076923313228.1999999999999672.047290.8923076923077103.9526627218934950353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237540.12307692307692114.6035502958579910102.815384615384677.3254437869822525165.50769230769228114.6035502958579930228.199999999999962.769230769230773640290.892307692307766.6745562130177554353.5846153846154119.9289940828402361416.2769230769231135.905325443786987All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Pat 3-4 9th 102.21 0.504 16.50 6-7 9th
1 995 2011 Ed 4-3 6th 101.91 0.503 18.12 9-4 1st 3rd place
2 976 2021 Ed 2-5 9th 103.85 0.510 13.83 6-8 8th
3 972 2023 Pat 3-4 9th 98.80 0.506 21.65 5-9 11th
4 969 2022 Kevin 4-3 5th 98.78 0.508 21.37 6-8 12th
5 966 2010 Matt 2-5 9th 100.54 0.501 27.72 5-8 9th
6 965 2012 Allen 3-4 6th 101.08 0.497 25.07 6-7 8th
7 963 2014 Mike R. 3-4 8th 98.36 0.502 25.31 6-7 7th
8 959 2010 Mike R. 4-3 6th 94.70 0.500 14.75 4-9 11th
9 959 2011 Mike R. 4-3 4th 104.65 0.515 21.01 6-7 9th
10 959 2009 Derrek 3-4 9th 98.31 0.516 15.72 7-6 5th 3rd place