2014 Mike R. (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 688.54 points (98.36 average)

8th place

3.52 expected wins (0.503)

43-48 all-play record (0.473)

+11.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 62.19 103.15 Pat -40.96 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 133.40 106.03 Babel 27.37
3 L 75.96 96.28 Schertz -20.32
4 L 76.64 121.73 Kevin -45.09
5 W 126.03 95.16 Rob 30.87
6 L 101.93 118.85 Dave -16.92
7 W 112.39 68.95 Ed 43.44
8 Richie
9 Allen
10 Pulley
11 Rabbit
12 Derrek
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923234.7%235.7884615384615275.850553316459630.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.1%42.519230769230774141.109401543720601.6%106.9423076923077138.25527213280316112.2%171.3653846153846118.3350794800300620.0%235.7884615384615210.470337402149966336.8%300.211538461538572.0412.9%364.6346153846155116.8911954280629151.7%429.0576923076924138.109699304391360.1%493.4807692307693141.12650755583527Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461317th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415210th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793312th305.4253.1834319526627249th403.28461538461534185.727810650887658th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958567th599.053846153846140.75739644970415714th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461317th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415211th207.5153846153846230.698224852071312th305.4253.18343195266272411th403.28461538461534230.698224852071510th501.16923076923075208.213017751479368th599.053846153846163.24260355029585714th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461317th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415210th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793311th305.4230.69822485207148th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958558th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958567th599.053846153846140.757396449704157Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Demaryius Thomas K WR
2.05 19 Aaron Rodgers QB
3.10 38 Bishop Sankey RB
4.05 47 Michael Floyd WR
5.10 66 Darren Sproles RB
6.05 75 Eric Decker WR
7.10 94 Jordan Reed TE
8.05 103 Hakeem Nicks WR
9.10 122 Zac Stacy K RB
10.05 131 Carolina DEF
11.10 150 Lance Dunbar RB
12.05 159 Justin Tucker K
13.10 178 Carson Palmer QB
14.05 187 Jared Cook TE
15.10 206 Marqise Lee WR
16.05 215 Dexter McCluster WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.92898.7604395604395577.0147339452275220.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.876279.419780219780280.5945983878506150.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.742399.859340659340689.8661942780508170.04838.54065934065934137.8906818817958410.00098.7604395604395512.79869865968581220.179158.98021978021976128.8636683120716430.190219.19999999999996128.0678631499258740.000279.419780219780219.95842754493199350.561339.6395604395604102.3928875564077960.000399.859340659340638.50161932533247Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.23076923076923112102.815384615384677.3254437869822520165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.19999999999996141.23076923076923412290.892307692307777.3254437869822550353.5846153846154141.23076923076923611416.276923076923182.65088757396457040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.815384615384613.4201183431952722165.50769230769228130.5798816568047331228.19999999999996135.9053254437869840290.892307692307713.4201183431952755353.5846153846154114.6035502958579960416.276923076923124.0710059171597527All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Mike R. 3-4 8th 98.36 0.503 25.31 6-7 7th
1 987 2024 Scott 3-4 9th 96.36 0.505 25.77 5-9 12th
2 978 2023 Pat 3-4 9th 98.80 0.510 21.65 5-9 11th
3 975 2012 Allen 3-4 6th 101.08 0.497 25.07 6-7 8th
4 973 2022 Kevin 4-3 5th 98.78 0.512 21.37 6-8 12th
5 972 2013 Rob 4-3 4th 102.43 0.502 29.91 8-5 2nd 2nd place
6 969 2011 Ed 4-3 6th 101.91 0.502 18.12 9-4 1st 3rd place
7 968 2019 Rabbit 4-3 6th 101.35 0.505 33.62 6-7 7th
8 967 2010 Matt 2-5 9th 100.54 0.494 27.72 5-8 9th
9 966 2010 Pulley 5-2 4th 94.67 0.497 22.22 8-5 4th 5th place
10 964 2019 Pat 3-4 9th 102.21 0.502 16.50 6-7 9th