2009 Babel (through 11 weeks)

3-8 (0.273), 1,058.97 points (96.27 average)

11th place

5.15 expected wins (0.468)

54-67 all-play record (0.446)

+17.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.24 74.36 Rob 28.88
2 W 101.26 100.92 Ed 0.34
3 L 98.81 107.45 Allen -8.64
4 L 105.50 109.17 Matt -3.67
5 L 93.00 95.32 Rabbit -2.32
6 L 106.98 122.41 Kevin -15.43
7 W 100.36 83.04 Dave 17.32
8 L 62.71 89.08 Pat -26.37 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 83.64 145.25 Mike R. -61.61
10 L 116.97 121.13 Derrek -4.16
11 L 86.50 113.72 Pulley -27.22
12 Rob
13 Ed

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692329.8%160.62820512820514115.3091809578312730.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.1367711678104500.5%74.73076923076923139.8893167546719413.0%117.67948717948717133.3119117731433820.0%160.6282051282051489.38759268489332319.8%203.5769230769230788.67602863421683426.1%246.5256410256410271.99999999999999522.6%289.47435897435981.14173548598487612.8%332.42307692307696107.2967343795225274.5%375.3717948717949129.2884058846765480.9%418.3205128205129138.8478388353754690.1%461.26923076923083141.01592844078306100.0%504.21794871794873141.2277119467374311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek5th11.746153846153845112.1398601398601615th70.47692307692309112.1398601398601623rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701534th187.9384615384615285.5664335664335745th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601655th305.4112.1398601398601666th364.1307692307692138.7132867132867577th422.86153846153843165.286713286713388th481.59230769230766191.860139860139998th540.3230769230769191.8601398601399109th599.053846153846218.43356643356645115th11.746153846153845112.1398601398601612nd70.4769230769230932.4195804195804323rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701536th187.93846153846152138.7132867132867548th246.66923076923075191.860139860139959th305.4218.4335664335664568th364.1307692307692191.8601398601399711th422.86153846153843271.5804195804196811th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196911th540.3230769230769271.58041958041961011th599.053846153846271.5804195804196115th11.746153846153845112.1398601398601614th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335723rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701534th187.9384615384615285.5664335664335744th246.6692307692307585.5664335664335755th305.4112.1398601398601666th364.1307692307692138.7132867132867579th422.86153846153843218.4335664335664589th481.59230769230766218.4335664335664599th540.3230769230769218.433566433566451010th599.053846153846245.00699300699311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.04 16 Anquan Boldin WR
3.09 33 Thomas Jones RB
4.04 40 Jason Witten TE
5.09 57 Kevin Walter WR
6.04 64 Ryan Grant RB
7.09 81 Torry Holt WR
8.04 88 Josh Morgan WR
9.09 105 Eli Manning QB
10.04 112 Kevin Curtis WR
11.09 129 Ryan Longwell K
12.04 136 Percy Harvin WR
13.09 153 Kurt Warner K QB
14.04 160 Darrius Heyward-Bey WR
15.09 177 Willis McGahee RB
16.04 184 Washington DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.57727.59160839160839101.3005245567975710.53965.91328671328671103.9303904999879420.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.519257.5216783216783105.3277846969655870.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083961.37027988282592610.00065.9132867132867166.6300117692066520.498104.23496503496503106.7775900349636830.627142.5566433566433597.8439735726884740.383180.87832167832164114.7422930935590850.654219.1999999999999695.9821951391234660.000257.521678321678369.4248001631619570.017295.8433566433567140.0558671196481680.230334.165034965035125.2796766169561290.827372.486713286713383.98784477167592100.283410.8083916083916121.622251782278811Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011728.72447552447552397.174825174825171768.6195804195804297.1748251748251720108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692366268.09510489510484103.4685314685314770307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552353.118881118881121068.6195804195804253.1188811188811226108.5146853146853103.4685314685314737148.4097902097901797.1748251748251743188.30489510489508122.3496503496503557228.297.1748251748251760268.0951048951048465.7062937062937270307.9902097902098141.2307692307692381347.8853146853147134.9370629370629398387.780419580419690.88111888111888102427.67552447552447128.6433566433566411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Babel 3-8 11th 96.27 0.468 13.87 5-8 9th
1 987 2020 Richie 5-6 11th 96.56 0.467 18.35 7-6 7th
2 985 2020 Mike R. 5-6 10th 97.35 0.474 13.79 6-7 11th
3 978 2023 Ed 8-3 2nd 96.82 0.461 15.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
4 976 2014 Mike R. 5-6 7th 96.12 0.472 21.56 6-7 7th
5 975 2012 Babel 5-6 8th 94.20 0.475 16.24 6-7 6th 2nd place
6 974 2024 Ed 5-6 9th 98.69 0.462 15.64 6-8 9th
7 971 2017 Rabbit 6-5 6th 91.48 0.472 15.21 6-7 9th
8 971 2011 Derrek 7-4 2nd 98.42 0.470 22.83 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 969 2016 Babel 6-5 5th 96.77 0.459 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
10 967 2016 Allen 4-7 11th 97.02 0.461 21.08 4-9 13th