2009 Babel (through 11 weeks)

3-8 (0.273), 1,058.97 points

11th place

5.15 expected wins (0.469)

54-67 all-play record (0.446)

+16.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.24 74.36 Rob 28.88
2 W 101.26 100.92 Ed 0.34
3 L 98.81 107.45 Allen -8.64
4 L 105.50 109.17 Matt -3.67
5 L 93.00 95.32 Rabbit -2.32
6 L 106.98 122.41 Kevin -15.43
7 W 100.36 83.04 Dave 17.32
8 L 62.71 89.08 Pat -26.37 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 83.64 145.25 Mike R. -61.61
10 L 116.97 121.13 Derrek -4.16
11 L 86.50 113.72 Pulley -27.22
12 Rob
13 Ed

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692329.9%160.62820512820514114.5612104962786630.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.1172044281447600.6%74.73076923076923139.729745039244413.1%117.67948717948717132.8064694795609720.0%160.6282051282051487.8916517617881319.7%203.5769230769230788.23951031857597425.7%246.5256410256410272.0522.4%289.47435897435980.90604212331928612.9%332.42307692307696106.5445664556511174.7%375.3717948717949128.5687210742898481.0%418.3205128205129138.5312334625103390.1%461.26923076923083140.9520171026844100.0%504.21794871794873141.223211021814111Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek5th11.746153846153845112.1398601398601614th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335723rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701534th187.9384615384615285.5664335664335745th246.66923076923075112.1398601398601654th305.485.5664335664335766th364.1307692307692138.7132867132867577th422.86153846153843165.286713286713388th481.59230769230766191.860139860139998th540.3230769230769191.8601398601399109th599.053846153846218.43356643356645115th11.746153846153845112.1398601398601612nd70.4769230769230932.4195804195804323rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701536th187.93846153846152138.7132867132867548th246.66923076923075191.860139860139959th305.4218.4335664335664568th364.1307692307692191.8601398601399711th422.86153846153843271.5804195804196811th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196911th540.3230769230769271.58041958041961011th599.053846153846271.5804195804196115th11.746153846153845112.1398601398601614th70.4769230769230985.5664335664335723rd129.207692307692358.99300699300701534th187.9384615384615285.5664335664335744th246.6692307692307585.5664335664335755th305.4112.1398601398601666th364.1307692307692138.7132867132867579th422.86153846153843218.4335664335664589th481.59230769230766218.4335664335664599th540.3230769230769218.433566433566451010th599.053846153846245.00699300699311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.04 16 Anquan Boldin WR
3.09 33 Thomas Jones RB
4.04 40 Jason Witten TE
5.09 57 Kevin Walter WR
6.04 64 Ryan Grant RB
7.09 81 Torry Holt WR
8.04 88 Josh Morgan WR
9.09 105 Eli Manning QB
10.04 112 Kevin Curtis WR
11.09 129 Ryan Longwell K
12.04 136 Percy Harvin WR
13.09 153 Kurt Warner K QB
14.04 160 Darrius Heyward-Bey WR
15.09 177 Willis McGahee RB
16.04 184 Washington DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.57027.59160839160839101.7366946907327810.53665.91328671328671104.1118146462860920.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.520257.5216783216783105.2482356776513170.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083962.2426201506963110.00065.9132867132867166.9928600618029420.494104.23496503496503107.0437809072083430.615142.5566433566433598.6797221163603240.399180.87832167832164113.6122944684993350.643219.1999999999999696.7250779424121660.000257.521678321678369.2657021245333870.038295.8433566433567138.5681003172795780.251334.165034965035123.8855405920409190.793372.486713286713386.36091813636133100.297410.8083916083916120.6921974939046411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011728.72447552447552397.174825174825171768.6195804195804297.1748251748251720108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692366268.09510489510484103.4685314685314770307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552353.118881118881121068.6195804195804253.1188811188811226108.5146853146853103.4685314685314737148.4097902097901797.1748251748251743188.30489510489508122.3496503496503557228.297.1748251748251760268.0951048951048465.7062937062937270307.9902097902098141.2307692307692381347.8853146853147134.9370629370629398387.780419580419690.88111888111888102427.67552447552447128.6433566433566411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Babel 3-8 11th 96.27 0.469 13.87 5-8 9th
1 986 2020 Richie 5-6 11th 96.56 0.467 18.35 7-6 7th
2 982 2020 Mike R. 5-6 10th 97.35 0.475 13.79 6-7 11th
3 980 2014 Mike R. 5-6 7th 96.12 0.471 21.56 6-7 7th
4 980 2024 Ed 5-6 9th 98.69 0.465 15.64 6-8 9th
5 976 2017 Rabbit 6-5 6th 91.48 0.469 15.21 6-7 9th
6 976 2023 Ed 8-3 2nd 96.82 0.460 15.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
7 973 2012 Babel 5-6 8th 94.20 0.476 16.24 6-7 6th 2nd place
8 970 2011 Derrek 7-4 2nd 98.42 0.470 22.83 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 966 2019 Scott 4-7 12th 96.19 0.460 21.65 4-9 14th
10 963 2010 Matt 4-7 8th 97.54 0.461 22.69 5-8 9th