2025 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

3-8 (0.273), 1,051.00 points (95.55 average)

12th place

5.01 expected wins (0.455)

69-74 all-play record (0.483)

+10.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.80 89.67 Pulley 14.13
2 L 88.30 112.82 Matt -24.52
3 W 119.37 95.32 Kevin 24.05
4 L 71.12 146.34 Babel -75.22 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 73.23 83.03 Schertz -9.80
6 L 114.40 117.55 Dave -3.15
7 L 94.90 166.57 Mike R. -71.67
8 L 81.84 92.82 Richie -10.98
9 L 93.37 93.89 Pat -0.52
10 W 107.37 68.07 Scott 39.30
11 L 103.30 105.08 Ed -1.78
12 Pulley
13 Rob
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%43.64102564102564141.2307692307692300.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692310.0%161.5897435897436141.23076923076923211.0%220.5641025641026112.765057238062530.0%279.53846153846155141.2307692307692340.0%338.51282051282055141.2307692307692350.0%397.4871794871795141.2307692307692360.0%456.4615384615385141.2307692307692370.0%515.4358974358973141.2307692307692380.0%574.4102564102564141.2307692307692390.0%633.3846153846154141.23076923076923100.0%692.3589743589743141.23076923076923110.0%43.64102564102564141.1279701247270900.6%102.61538461538461139.7489457578636813.4%161.5897435897436132.4290167427844320.0%220.564102564102684.29934524535578321.5%279.5384615384615585.50410674258603426.7%338.5128205128205572.00000000000001521.4%397.487179487179585.75311682530852611.0%456.4615384615385112.7221403101157973.5%515.4358974358973132.0900105933782880.7%574.4102564102564139.5009576394113590.1%633.3846153846154141.05743993718357100.0%692.3589743589743141.223775501060311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479326th129.2076923076923118.27218934911241310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272510th305.4208.213017751479369th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876710th422.86153846153843208.2130177514793810th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931010th599.053846153846208.2130177514793114th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479325th129.207692307692395.786982248520739th187.93846153846152185.7278106508876413th246.66923076923075275.6686390532544511th305.4230.698224852071612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721012th599.053846153846253.18343195266272114th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th70.47692307692309208.213017751479326th129.2076923076923118.27218934911241311th187.93846153846152230.698224852071413th246.66923076923075275.6686390532544510th305.4208.213017751479369th364.1307692307692185.7278106508876710th422.86153846153843208.2130177514793810th481.59230769230766208.2130177514793910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931010th599.053846153846208.213017751479311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Christian McCaffrey RB
2.13 27 TreVeyon Henderson RB
3.02 30 DK Metcalf WR
4.13 55 Jakobi Meyers WR
5.02 58 Jerry Jeudy WR
6.13 83 Cooper Kupp WR
7.02 86 Ladd McConkey K WR
8.13 111 Colston Loveland TE
9.02 114 Justin Herbert QB
10.13 139 Austin Ekeler RB
11.02 142 Minnesota DEF
12.13 167 Ricky Pearsall K WR
13.02 170 MarShawn Lloyd RB
14.13 195 Will Shipley RB
15.02 198 Cam Ward QB
16.13 223 Wil Lutz K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.57640.17902097902099101.3410282958330710.00095.98321678321679141.2307692307692320.815151.7874125874125884.8310397834014830.000207.5916083916084141.2307692307692340.000263.3958041958042141.2307692307692350.000319.2141.2307692307692360.000375.0041958041958141.2307692307692370.000430.80839160839156141.2307692307692380.000486.6125874125874141.2307692307692390.637542.416783216783397.10318923281953100.000598.2209790209789141.23076923076923110.00040.1790209790209961.451287360896910.31695.98321678321679119.3692587653347220.000151.7874125874125828.43131033603373230.114207.5916083916084133.3550904153923740.142263.3958041958042131.3938842054494450.750319.289.2978247962495760.456375.0041958041958109.6598390787849170.219430.80839160839156126.0615485423177480.416486.6125874125874112.4487382467045890.000542.416783216783352.975609234869836100.568598.2209790209789101.9239576754136311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111041.3118881118881187.976331360946741098.68951048951048141.23076923076923211156.0671328671328482.650887573964530213.44475524475524141.2307692307692340270.82237762237764141.2307692307692350328.2141.2307692307692360385.57762237762233141.2307692307692370442.95524475524473141.2307692307692380500.33286713286714141.23076923076923910557.710489510489487.97633136094674100615.0881118881118141.2307692307692311041.3118881118881134.721893491124251398.68951048951048125.2544378698224820156.0671328671328424.07100591715975230213.44475524475524141.2307692307692342270.82237762237764130.5798816568047359328.293.3017751479289967385.57762237762233103.9526627218934973442.95524475524473125.2544378698224886500.33286713286714109.2781065088757490557.710489510489434.72189349112425108615.088111888111898.6272189349112411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Derrek 3-8 12th 95.55 0.455 15.17 3-11 14th
1 982 2019 Pat 5-6 8th 98.76 0.453 15.76 6-7 9th
2 982 2016 Babel 6-5 5th 96.77 0.459 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
3 982 2023 Ed 8-3 2nd 96.82 0.461 15.98 11-3 1st 2nd place
4 977 2019 Scott 4-7 12th 96.19 0.459 21.65 4-9 14th
5 976 2010 Matt 4-7 8th 97.54 0.456 22.69 5-8 9th
6 975 2021 Pat 2-9 11th 95.86 0.444 14.45 3-11 12th
7 972 2024 Ed 5-6 9th 98.69 0.462 15.64 6-8 9th
8 972 2015 Babel 4-7 10th 93.96 0.456 25.15 5-8 10th
9 972 2020 Rabbit 5-6 9th 98.71 0.455 22.00 6-7 10th
10 972 2016 Allen 4-7 11th 97.02 0.461 21.08 4-9 13th