2018 Richie (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 514.35 points

10th place

2.27 expected wins (0.455)

28-37 all-play record (0.431)

+14.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 95.06 103.12 Pulley -8.06
2 L 119.04 121.51 Kevin -2.47
3 L 73.75 114.48 Rob -40.73
4 W 135.93 124.69 Babel 11.24
5 W 90.57 81.38 Ed 9.19
6 Matt
7 Derrek
8 Rabbit
9 Dave
10 Pat
11 Mike R.
12 Schertz
13 Scott

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923142.9%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692351.7%53.25641025641026138.54517703140777016.3%139.15384615384616114.89802862949110.0%225.051282051282042.7692307692307736231.4%310.9487179487179690.5436930091673137.4%396.84615384615387129.3222149045287840.3%482.7435897435898140.757446483797885Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585211th305.4230.698224852071310th452.226923076923208.213017751479349th599.053846153846185.727810650887659th11.746153846153845185.727810650887619th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876212th305.4253.18343195266272312th452.226923076923253.18343195266272410th599.053846153846208.213017751479359th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585211th305.4230.698224852071310th452.226923076923208.2130177514793410th599.053846153846208.21301775147935Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 DeAndre Hopkins WR
2.11 25 Amari Cooper WR
3.04 32 Joe Mixon K RB
4.11 53 Tom Brady QB
5.04 60 Kyle Rudolph TE
6.11 81 Randall Cobb WR
7.04 88 Derrick Henry K RB
8.11 109 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
9.04 116 Jordy Nelson WR
10.11 137 DeSean Jackson WR
11.04 144 Los Angeles DEF
12.11 165 John Brown WR
13.04 172 D'Onta Foreman RB
14.11 193 Rob Kelley RB
15.04 200 Jeremy Hill RB
16.11 221 Mason Crosby K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538141.2307692307692310.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.000219.2141.2307692307692330.858303.5076923076922581.8506598457353540.276387.8153846153846122.1026927766914650.35750.58461538461538116.5342297230018910.736134.892307692307790.2601754778379820.047219.2137.9671303745499230.000303.5076923076922522.47055046070147540.000387.8153846153846102.974616322613685Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345052.661538461538456141.2307692307692310140.43076923076922141.2307692307692320228.20000000000002141.23076923076923310315.969230769230787.9763313609467444403.7384615384615119.928994082840235552.661538461538456114.6035502958579918140.4307692307692298.6272189349112421228.20000000000002135.9053254437869830315.969230769230734.7218934911242540403.738461538461598.627218934911245All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Richie 2-3 10th 102.87 0.455 21.98 5-8 11th
1 977 2018 Rabbit 2-3 9th 102.95 0.444 21.52 7-6 7th
2 976 2016 Allen 3-2 8th 99.63 0.451 23.40 4-9 13th
3 974 2011 Matt 2-3 9th 100.26 0.453 15.73 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 970 2018 Babel 2-3 11th 100.68 0.448 18.74 4-9 12th
5 960 2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.466 18.35 3-11 12th
6 957 2013 Richie 4-1 2nd 98.23 0.445 19.35 6-7 10th
7 950 2015 Schertz 3-2 5th 93.20 0.454 16.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place
8 947 2011 Derrek 3-2 7th 103.22 0.478 24.64 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 946 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.446 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place
10 945 2009 Pat 2-3 11th 93.31 0.454 14.72 6-7 8th