2010 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

6-4 (0.600), 943.52 points

5th place

4.83 expected wins (0.483)

56-54 all-play record (0.509)

-11.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 88.82 82.53 Matt 6.29
2 W 101.51 85.30 Rob 16.21
3 W 85.65 84.48 Kevin 1.17
4 W 128.72 90.03 Ed 38.69
5 L 83.68 104.34 Rabbit -20.66
6 W 104.37 69.62 Mike R. 34.75
7 L 104.37 107.09 Babel -2.72
8 L 63.45 87.14 Pulley -23.69
9 W 109.77 100.78 Dave 8.99
10 L 73.18 106.97 Allen -33.79 Slapped Heartbeat
11 Pat
12 Rob
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.23076923076923520.1%314.853146853146892.6101736300816660.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.190010921131500.5%80.5874125874126140.1427661466882513.4%127.44055944055944132.9764614860794212.3%174.29370629370626111.60050671625567324.5%221.1468531468531582.2283206220605428.7%268.071.9999999999999950.0%314.853146853146843.98957802939409668.4%361.7062937062937121.0567473366787871.9%408.5594405594406136.5264011091312680.2%455.41258741258747140.682925361320690.0%502.2657342657343141.207095312213710Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th77.0025641025641191.860139860139927th142.2589743589743165.286713286713334th207.515384615384685.5664335664335745th272.77179487179484112.1398601398601654th338.028205128205185.5664335664335764th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335775th468.5410256410256112.1398601398601684th533.797435897435985.5664335664335796th599.053846153846138.71328671328675106th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th77.002564102564185.5664335664335722nd142.258974358974332.4195804195804331st207.51538461538465.84615384615386843rd272.7717948717948458.99300699300701552nd338.028205128205132.4195804195804363rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701574th468.541025641025685.5664335664335784th533.797435897435985.5664335664335795th599.053846153846112.13986013986016107th11.746153846153845165.286713286713318th77.0025641025641191.860139860139927th142.2589743589743165.286713286713336th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867547th272.77179487179484165.286713286713355th338.0282051282051112.1398601398601665th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601676th468.5410256410256138.7132867132867586th533.7974358974359138.7132867132867597th599.053846153846165.286713286713310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Drew Brees QB
2.03 15 Ryan Grant RB
3.10 34 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.03 39 Donald Driver WR
5.10 58 Kellen Winslow II TE
6.03 63 Brandon Jacobs RB
7.10 82 Braylon Edwards WR
8.03 87 Bernard Berrian WR
9.10 106 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
10.03 111 Darren McFadden RB
11.10 130 Sidney Rice K WR
12.03 135 Willis McGahee RB
13.10 154 Chad Henne QB
14.03 159 Kevin Smith RB
15.10 178 Matt Prater K
16.03 183 Denver DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.38029.507692307692306114.9079435830092410.59071.66153846153847100.3958470124753720.333113.8153846153846118.1808361533410830.945155.9692307692307375.8377885246729640.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.639240.2769230769230596.963855497752460.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.739366.7384615384615490.0998724683064790.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230688.5851179352492610.00071.6615384615384759.5609247941815220.000113.815384615384695.1309030759129330.000155.9692307692307310.44480781857669240.300198.12307692307692120.430949795444250.000240.2769230769230552.696941764735660.639282.430769230769296.963855497752470.091324.58461538461535134.9544105762917480.000366.7384615384615438.9689757058437390.169408.89230769230767129.5223180463659710Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910530.719230769230762109.762237762237761774.6038461538461597.1748251748251725118.48846153846154109.76223776223776310162.373076923076978.293706293706340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692358250.1423076923076790.8811188811188860294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.23076923076923810381.7961538461538678.293706293706390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076278.293706293706311074.6038461538461553.1188811188811220118.4884615384615478.2937062937063130162.373076923076915.3566433566433643206.2576923076923122.3496503496503550250.1423076923076740.5314685314685366294.026923076923103.4685314685314772337.9115384615384128.6433566433566480381.7961538461538615.3566433566433690425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Derrek 6-4 5th 94.35 0.483 18.15 7-6 5th 3rd place
1 979 2010 Mike R. 4-6 7th 93.46 0.474 18.57 4-9 11th
2 972 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.478 21.05 4-10 11th
3 970 2022 Rabbit 5-5 9th 97.08 0.484 26.36 8-6 5th 5th place
4 970 2009 Dave 5-5 8th 96.32 0.475 14.36 5-8 11th
5 968 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.482 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
6 967 2024 Ed 5-5 8th 99.72 0.486 16.05 6-8 9th
7 966 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.483 21.29 6-8 10th
8 966 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
9 964 2014 Mike R. 5-5 7th 98.26 0.489 21.47 6-7 7th
10 963 2011 Babel 5-5 8th 99.44 0.490 17.14 7-6 7th