2011 Derrek (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 407.68 points

7th place

1.73 expected wins (0.434)

21-23 all-play record (0.477)

+26.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 62.28 120.32 Allen -58.04 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 138.17 104.84 Pat 33.33
3 W 111.02 109.31 Rob 1.71
4 L 96.21 121.00 Babel -24.79
5 Dave
6 Ed
7 Matt
8 Pulley
9 Mike R.
10 Kevin
11 Rabbit
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923148.1%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692344.0%61.846153846153854135.50019465746075030.0%164.9230769230769398.1059739905062710.0%268.000000000000062.7692307692307736217.9%371.0769230769231115.4476135201141630.0%474.1538461538462141.230769230769234Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th207.5153846153846245.00699300699328th403.28461538461534191.8601398601399310th599.053846153846245.006993006993412th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461318th207.5153846153846191.860139860139925th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601637th599.053846153846165.2867132867133412th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th207.5153846153846218.4335664335664527th403.28461538461534165.286713286713338th599.053846153846191.86013986013994Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Philip Rivers QB
2.03 15 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.10 34 Pittsburgh DEF
4.03 39 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
5.10 58 Mario Manningham WR
6.03 63 Sidney Rice WR
7.10 82 Rashard Mendenhall K RB
8.03 87 Owen Daniels TE
9.10 106 Darren McFadden K RB
10.03 111 Joe Flacco QB
11.10 130 Michael Bush RB
12.03 135 Marcedes Lewis TE
13.10 154 Jerome Harrison RB
14.03 159 Jacoby Ford WR
15.10 178 Jerome Simpson WR
16.03 183 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692132.6953897892394710.845166.507692307692377.7797093063726820.603271.8923076923076793.5406140200605330.000377.276923076923132.695389789239474-0.06661.12307692307692136.9630795100043510.000166.507692307692322.8640288235058920.000271.8923076923076754.38583825088160530.352377.276923076923109.845365919403394Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234063.6326923076923141.23076923076923110173.3442307692307678.293706293706328283.055769230769290.8811188811188830392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692310173.3442307692307615.3566433566433620283.055769230769240.5314685314685333392.76730769230767122.349650349650354All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Derrek 2-2 7th 101.92 0.434 27.39 8-5 3rd 6th place
1 958 2011 Dave 1-3 11th 101.35 0.440 13.84 3-10 12th
2 952 2020 Schertz 1-3 12th 100.71 0.428 11.09 6-7 9th
3 948 2011 Matt 2-2 8th 100.72 0.447 17.55 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 947 2011 Kevin 2-2 9th 100.69 0.427 9.72 6-7 8th
5 946 2020 Pat 3-1 4th 103.14 0.448 17.26 5-8 12th
6 943 2013 Derrek 2-2 8th 96.35 0.421 22.73 7-6 7th
7 942 2018 Schertz 2-2 10th 100.33 0.429 6.13 6-7 10th
8 941 2019 Richie 2-2 9th 96.22 0.423 19.33 5-8 12th
9 939 2020 Babel 2-2 9th 101.98 0.448 10.80 8-5 3rd 3rd place
10 938 2014 Ed 2-2 9th 94.67 0.432 12.75 6-7 8th