2016 Babel (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 853.31 points

10th place

3.83 expected wins (0.425)

53-64 all-play record (0.453)

+26.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.32 119.88 Kevin -34.56
2 L 73.09 112.79 Rob -39.70
3 W 105.43 91.12 Pat 14.31
4 L 95.64 131.99 Rabbit -36.35
5 L 74.07 112.10 Pulley -38.03
6 W 76.61 75.57 Allen 1.04
7 W 133.02 129.83 Matt 3.19 Team Blangums
8 L 105.54 118.84 Mike R. -13.30
9 W 104.59 86.70 Dave 17.89
10 Richie
11 Derrek
12 Schertz
13 Ed

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923330.8%242.2307692307692571.9999999999999940.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.1%36.07692307692308140.9184536309343202.4%87.61538461538464135.84887566675087111.6%139.15384615384616115.18562273841118225.9%190.692307692307783.0018512509707630.0%242.230769230769252.769230769230745420.3%293.769230769230895.7409128878367357.3%345.3076923076923124.7983348300712461.4%396.8461538461538138.0505638168775770.1%448.3846153846154140.9232773711197280.0%499.9230769230769141.2191263843839Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071114th85.15961538461536298.15384615384613213th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544313th231.98653846153846275.6686390532544414th305.4298.15384615384613514th378.8134615384615298.15384615384613611th452.226923076923230.698224852071710th525.6403846153845208.213017751479389th599.053846153846185.7278106508876912th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th85.15961538461536298.15384615384613211th158.5730769230769230.698224852071313th231.98653846153846275.6686390532544413th305.4275.6686390532544512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272611th452.226923076923230.698224852071712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272810th599.053846153846208.2130177514793911th11.746153846153845230.698224852071114th85.15961538461536298.15384615384613212th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272313th231.98653846153846275.6686390532544413th305.4275.6686390532544513th378.8134615384615275.6686390532544611th452.226923076923230.69822485207179th525.6403846153845185.727810650887689th599.053846153846185.72781065088769Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Adrian Peterson RB
2.12 26 Randall Cobb WR
3.03 31 Julian Edelman WR
4.12 54 Melvin Gordon III RB
5.03 59 Kevin White WR
6.12 82 Doug Martin K RB
7.03 87 C.J. Anderson K RB
8.12 110 Antonio Gates TE
9.03 115 Kirk Cousins QB
10.12 138 Jameis Winston QB
11.03 143 Zach Miller TE
12.12 166 Cincinnati DEF
13.03 171 Nelson Agholor WR
14.12 194 Tyler Boyd WR
15.03 199 Steven Hauschka K
16.12 222 Jared Goff QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.00078.68717948717948141.2307692307692320.608125.524786324786399.1150058083741530.000172.36239316239318141.2307692307692340.000219.2141.2307692307692350.152266.03760683760686130.730238900954660.917312.875213675213677.7389262083943670.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.590406.5504273504273100.3764331531895590.27331.84957264957265122.3548158997929210.11478.68717948717948133.3099146421536420.000125.524786324786356.9992423859790930.440172.36239316239318110.7746855901813240.124219.2132.650790443961850.000266.03760683760686120.2297085711399760.000312.875213675213614.24708318601949570.610359.712820512820598.9786352846103380.000406.550427350427359.522097075609889Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231081.9179487179487141.2307692307692325130.67863247863247114.6035502958579930179.4393162393162141.2307692307692340228.2141.2307692307692354276.96068376068376119.92899408284023613325.721367521367572.070374.4820512820512141.2307692307692389423.24273504273593.301775147928999333.15726495726496125.254437869822481181.9179487179487135.9053254437869820130.6786324786324787.9763313609467437179.4393162393162103.9526627218934942228.2130.5798816568047350276.9606837606837698.6272189349112460325.72136752136752.769230769230773679374.482051282051293.3017751479289980423.24273504273545.3727810650887459All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Babel 4-5 10th 94.81 0.425 18.58 7-6 6th 6th place
1 993 2023 Ed 6-3 4th 94.66 0.425 15.82 11-3 1st 2nd place
2 987 2019 Scott 2-7 14th 94.20 0.425 23.47 4-9 14th
3 985 2012 Babel 4-5 8th 91.98 0.425 17.04 6-7 6th 2nd place
4 979 2024 Matt 5-4 7th 94.44 0.419 21.58 8-6 6th
5 979 2019 Ed 3-6 11th 97.58 0.427 22.27 5-8 11th
6 973 2016 Allen 4-5 11th 94.13 0.416 20.91 4-9 13th
7 972 2018 Richie 5-4 7th 100.40 0.425 21.28 5-8 11th
8 970 2015 Ed 3-6 11th 92.52 0.418 21.31 4-9 12th
9 967 2020 Derrek 4-5 11th 93.15 0.416 22.64 8-5 5th 5th place
10 966 2018 Schertz 3-6 11th 101.08 0.422 16.90 6-7 10th