2009 Pat (through 9 weeks)

5-4 (0.556), 879.29 points

4th place

4.03 expected wins (0.448)

44-55 all-play record (0.444)

-6.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 79.52 116.27 Matt -36.75
2 L 77.91 106.68 Rabbit -28.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 107.48 102.29 Kevin 5.19
4 L 87.73 91.72 Dave -3.99
5 W 113.92 93.89 Pulley 20.03
6 W 158.64 115.12 Mike R. 43.52 Team Blangums
7 W 81.24 73.82 Derrek 7.42
8 W 89.08 62.71 Babel 26.37
9 L 83.77 90.13 Rob -6.36
10 Ed
11 Allen
12 Matt
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.23076923076923422.3%293.769230769230892.1732486149695750.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692301.2%87.61538461538464138.656202986869718.9%139.15384615384616121.64549409166155224.4%190.692307692307787.73340728750628331.5%242.2307692307692572.040.0%293.769230769230843.1157279991699259.2%345.3076923076923121.0316516707687862.2%396.8461538461538136.4055387183275670.3%448.3846153846154140.6103730646342280.0%499.9230769230769141.197565249590959Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th85.15961538461536298.15384615384613210th158.5730769230769245.006993006993310th231.98653846153846245.00699300699349th305.4218.4335664335664557th378.8134615384615165.286713286713368th452.226923076923191.860139860139979th525.6403846153845218.43356643356645811th599.053846153846271.5804195804196910th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th85.15961538461536298.15384615384613211th158.5730769230769271.5804195804196311th231.98653846153846271.5804195804196411th305.4271.580419580419655th378.8134615384615112.1398601398601664th452.22692307692385.5664335664335773rd525.640384615384558.99300699300701584th599.05384615384685.56643356643357910th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th85.15961538461536298.15384615384613210th158.5730769230769245.006993006993310th231.98653846153846245.00699300699349th305.4218.4335664335664553rd378.813461538461558.99300699300701567th452.226923076923165.286713286713375th525.6403846153845112.1398601398601686th599.053846153846138.713286713286759Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Brian Westbrook K RB
2.08 20 Marques Colston WR
3.05 29 Willie Parker RB
4.08 44 Matt Ryan QB
5.05 53 Santana Moss WR
6.08 68 Ray Rice RB
7.05 77 Carson Palmer QB
8.08 92 Anthony Gonzalez K WR
9.05 101 Muhsin Muhammad WR
10.08 116 LeSean McCoy RB
11.05 125 Zach Miller TE
12.08 140 New England DEF
13.05 149 Jason Elam K
14.08 164 Hakeem Nicks WR
15.05 173 Tony Scheffler TE
16.08 188 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.00078.68717948717948141.2307692307692320.670125.524786324786394.9770172245802430.000172.36239316239318141.2307692307692340.771219.288.043124452665551.003266.0376068376068672.060.231312.8752136752136125.2844733763317570.353359.7128205128205116.8663649947424480.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.21131.84957264957265126.678049864804810.18978.68717948717948128.1735953646295320.000125.524786324786348.72326521839123430.334172.36239316239318118.2032920324645640.000219.234.85547967456176450.000266.037606837606862.769230769230773660.000312.8752136752136109.3381775218942770.000359.712820512820592.5019607587156580.270406.5504273504273122.610619300887499Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231081.9179487179487141.23076923076923210130.6786324786324778.293706293706330179.4393162393162141.23076923076923410228.278.2937062937063511276.9606837606837672.062325.7213675213675128.6433566433566474374.4820512820512116.0559440559440580423.242735042735141.230769230769239233.15726495726496128.643356643356641081.9179487179487141.2307692307692320130.6786324786324715.3566433566433633179.4393162393162122.3496503496503540228.215.3566433566433650276.960683760683762.769230769230773660325.7213675213675116.0559440559440570374.482051282051290.881118881118982423.242735042735128.643356643356649All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Pat 5-4 4th 97.70 0.448 24.57 6-7 8th
1 982 2021 Mike R. 1-8 12th 97.29 0.453 22.13 4-10 11th
2 982 2019 Dave 4-5 10th 98.19 0.448 16.74 6-7 10th
3 981 2023 Schertz 4-5 10th 98.01 0.456 23.62 6-8 9th
4 980 2013 Rob 5-4 5th 97.87 0.442 27.79 8-5 2nd 2nd place
5 969 2011 Derrek 5-4 6th 96.29 0.437 23.11 8-5 3rd 6th place
6 965 2013 Babel 1-8 14th 99.95 0.453 32.79 4-9 13th
7 957 2009 Ed 5-4 7th 94.37 0.455 16.47 7-6 4th 6th place
8 957 2024 Schertz 3-6 11th 95.42 0.460 19.82 7-7 7th
9 956 2009 Dave 5-4 6th 94.74 0.454 14.28 5-8 11th
10 953 2012 Pulley 4-5 7th 93.56 0.451 12.46 4-9 12th