2014 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 715.61 points (89.45 average)

12th place

3.10 expected wins (0.387)

38-66 all-play record (0.365)

+3.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 101.11 120.22 Rob -19.11
2 L 64.07 133.53 Pulley -69.46 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 46.68 112.89 Rabbit -66.21 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 124.36 97.37 Pat 26.99
5 L 63.74 70.04 Ed -6.30 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 101.05 105.80 Richie -4.75
7 W 82.37 73.50 Dave 8.87
8 W 132.23 93.75 Kevin 38.48
9 Babel
10 Matt
11 Schertz
12 Mike R.
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923239.0%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.2%38.940170940170944140.7900093107704704.2%96.20512820512818133.76291971120472121.8%153.47008547008548102.4473265682574820.0%210.735042735042732.7692307692307736327.5%268.092.4092630070577246.8%325.2649572649573129.226612548414550.4%382.52991452991455140.4780822912909560.0%439.79487179487177141.216956266255470.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793413th347.3505494505494275.6686390532544513th431.2516483516483275.6686390532544613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544712th599.053846153846253.1834319526627289th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544413th347.3505494505494275.6686390532544514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544712th599.053846153846253.1834319526627289th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544414th347.3505494505494298.15384615384613514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544713th599.053846153846275.66863905325448Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.08 22 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.07 35 Frank Gore RB
4.08 50 Roddy White WR
5.07 63 Golden Tate WR
6.08 78 Danny Amendola WR
7.07 91 Colin Kaepernick K QB
8.08 106 Kyle Rudolph TE
9.07 119 LeGarrette Blount RB
10.08 134 San Francisco DEF
11.07 147 Brandon LaFell WR
12.08 162 Ryan Tannehill QB
13.07 175 Jerick McKinnon RB
14.08 190 Robbie Gould K
15.07 203 Jerricho Cotchery WR
16.08 218 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076139.1379807276632610.00087.46923076923076139.1379807276632620.000140.16153846153844139.1379807276632630.846192.8538461538461881.4463588703978240.000245.54615384615386139.1379807276632650.000298.2384615384615139.1379807276632660.246350.93076923076916122.3478096265946570.898403.623076923076977.8744834794268680.52434.776923076923076103.4268253352058510.04187.46923076923076136.312105500142762-0.015140.16153846153844140.1843749792162430.000192.8538461538461823.7547370131323740.037245.54615384615386136.6289884094246650.520298.2384615384615103.6550033455866860.000350.93076923076916105.5576385255260670.000403.623076923076916.6109862311904668Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.91634615384615141.23076923076923311200.7721153846153882.650887573964540255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692367365.3394230769231103.95266272189349711420.195192307692382.65088757396458536.20480769230769114.603550295857991091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.7721153846153824.07100591715975240255.6278846153846141.2307692307692354310.48365384615386119.9289940828402360365.339423076923166.6745562130177570420.195192307692324.0710059171597528All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Derrek 3-5 12th 89.45 0.387 28.51 5-8 12th
1 970 2013 Derrek 5-3 5th 90.32 0.392 20.09 7-6 7th
2 968 2020 Derrek 4-4 9th 92.01 0.393 23.77 8-5 5th 5th place
3 963 2014 Allen 4-4 8th 90.76 0.385 15.09 6-7 10th
4 963 2008 Mike R. 2-6 10th 86.72 0.391 19.57 5-8 8th
5 961 2010 Kevin 2-6 11th 86.20 0.388 16.73 5-8 10th
6 961 2012 Kevin 3-5 10th 88.05 0.381 17.59 5-8 10th
7 957 2014 Kevin 2-6 13th 91.43 0.395 18.46 4-9 14th
8 952 2008 Matt 1-7 12th 85.73 0.382 17.01 3-10 12th
9 949 2021 Pulley 2-6 10th 94.91 0.388 14.90 5-9 10th
10 945 2015 Derrek 4-4 9th 87.09 0.374 19.30 7-6 7th