2014 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 715.61 points

12th place

3.13 expected wins (0.391)

38-66 all-play record (0.365)

+4.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 101.11 120.22 Rob -19.11
2 L 64.07 133.53 Pulley -69.46 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 46.68 112.89 Rabbit -66.21 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 124.36 97.37 Pat 26.99
5 L 63.74 70.04 Ed -6.30 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 101.05 105.80 Richie -4.75
7 W 82.37 73.50 Dave 8.87
8 W 132.23 93.75 Kevin 38.48
9 Babel
10 Matt
11 Schertz
12 Mike R.
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923239.5%210.7350427350427371.9999999999999930.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.2%38.940170940170944140.889272214771503.7%96.20512820512818134.68517565349902121.3%153.47008547008548103.8583242678479320.0%210.735042735042732.769230769230745328.1%268.091.9853885674852446.7%325.2649572649573129.46015356911350.4%382.52991452991455140.4892948005044760.0%439.79487179487177141.216971098436270.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793413th347.3505494505494275.6686390532544513th431.2516483516483275.6686390532544613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544712th599.053846153846253.1834319526627289th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544413th347.3505494505494275.6686390532544514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544712th599.053846153846253.1834319526627289th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544414th347.3505494505494298.15384615384613514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544713th599.053846153846275.66863905325448Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.08 22 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.07 35 Frank Gore RB
4.08 50 Roddy White WR
5.07 63 Golden Tate WR
6.08 78 Danny Amendola WR
7.07 91 Colin Kaepernick K QB
8.08 106 Kyle Rudolph TE
9.07 119 LeGarrette Blount RB
10.08 134 San Francisco DEF
11.07 147 Brandon LaFell WR
12.08 162 Ryan Tannehill QB
13.07 175 Jerick McKinnon RB
14.08 190 Robbie Gould K
15.07 203 Jerricho Cotchery WR
16.08 218 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076140.7698260782897810.00087.46923076923076140.7698260782897820.000140.16153846153844140.7698260782897830.861192.8538461538461881.3782413752380840.000245.54615384615386140.7698260782897850.000298.2384615384615140.7698260782897860.228350.93076923076916125.0414303867632470.912403.623076923076977.8330849133425280.52834.776923076923076104.3141577820703710.04187.46923076923076137.908196331534332-0.003140.16153846153844141.000297654529530.000192.8538461538461821.98665667218638540.038245.54615384615386138.1347239009845450.526298.2384615384615104.4953798376305260.000350.93076923076916109.313034695236770.000403.623076923076914.8963437483952538Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.91634615384615141.23076923076923311200.7721153846153882.650887573964540255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692367365.3394230769231103.95266272189349711420.195192307692382.65088757396458536.20480769230769114.603550295857991091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.7721153846153824.07100591715975240255.6278846153846141.2307692307692354310.48365384615386119.9289940828402360365.339423076923166.6745562130177570420.195192307692324.0710059171597528All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Derrek 3-5 12th 89.45 0.391 28.51 5-8 12th
1 975 2020 Derrek 4-4 9th 92.01 0.394 23.77 8-5 5th 5th place
2 972 2013 Derrek 5-3 5th 90.32 0.387 20.09 7-6 7th
3 966 2014 Kevin 2-6 13th 91.43 0.394 18.46 4-9 14th
4 960 2008 Matt 1-7 12th 85.73 0.390 17.01 3-10 12th
5 959 2010 Kevin 2-6 11th 86.20 0.389 16.73 5-8 10th
6 953 2014 Pat 3-5 10th 92.14 0.397 16.06 5-8 11th
7 952 2021 Pat 1-7 13th 95.04 0.392 16.18 3-11 12th
8 951 2021 Pulley 2-6 10th 94.91 0.391 14.90 5-9 10th
9 951 2014 Allen 4-4 8th 90.76 0.383 15.09 6-7 10th
10 950 2019 Babel 4-4 9th 96.45 0.394 19.78 8-5 5th 5th place