2020 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 736.04 points

9th place

3.15 expected wins (0.394)

42-62 all-play record (0.404)

-9.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.29 89.64 Mike R. 30.65
2 W 120.45 115.27 Ed 5.18
3 L 94.86 115.20 Pulley -20.34
4 L 77.59 103.54 Rob -25.95
5 L 72.78 94.18 Babel -21.40
6 W 117.52 105.43 Pat 12.09
7 W 79.49 65.33 Dave 14.16
8 L 53.06 87.50 Kevin -34.44 Slapped Heartbeat
9 Matt
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923327.9%268.090.8921840773600440.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.4%38.940170940170944140.595402125255204.4%96.20512820512818133.2189992808613120.1%153.47008547008548104.9686547279438238.3%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.040.55359892395084448.0%325.2649572649573126.7915931872966351.0%382.52991452991455139.4927187224677460.0%439.79487179487177141.1579543800576270.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd95.6472527472527228.33136094674557625th179.5483516483516695.7869822485207310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272510th431.2516483516483208.2130177514793610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793712th599.053846153846253.1834319526627282nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st95.647252747252725.84615384615381125th179.5483516483516695.786982248520738th263.44945054945055163.24260355029585411th347.3505494505494230.69822485207159th431.2516483516483185.727810650887666th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124179th599.053846153846185.727810650887682nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557613rd95.6472527472527250.81656804733728425th179.5483516483516695.7869822485207310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071713th599.053846153846275.66863905325448Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Christian McCaffrey K RB
2.03 17 Adam Thielen WR
3.12 40 Jonathan Taylor RB
4.03 45 T.Y. Hilton WR
5.12 68 Diontae Johnson WR
6.03 73 Tyler Higbee TE
7.12 96 Robbie Chosen WR
8.03 101 Daniel Jones QB
9.12 124 James Conner K RB
10.03 129 Justin Jefferson WR
11.12 152 Pittsburgh DEF
12.03 157 Benny Snell, Jr. RB
13.12 180 Nyheim Hines RB
14.03 185 Denzel Mims WR
15.12 208 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16.03 213 Matt Prater K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.80234.77692307692307684.2102891998015110.80487.4692307692307684.0763554974270720.000140.16153846153844138.7565832467274430.000192.85384615384618138.7565832467274440.000245.54615384615386138.7565832467274450.768298.238461538461586.5094844238957460.163350.93076923076916127.6606144784369770.000403.6230769230769138.7565832467274480.00034.77692307692307629.66399515287555710.00087.4692307692307629.39612774812670220.402140.16153846153844111.398830781809230.140192.85384615384618129.2120131976073540.088245.54615384615386132.7612563105295550.000298.238461538461534.2623856010640460.000350.93076923076916116.564645710146487-0.018403.6230769230769139.993676238748328Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781236.2048076923076977.325443786982251991.0605769230769293.3017751479289920145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.23076923076923512310.4836538461538677.3254437869822563365.3394230769231125.2544378698224870420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076913.420118343195271091.0605769230769245.37278106508874524145.91634615384615119.9289940828402331200.77211538461538135.9053254437869841255.6278846153846135.9053254437869850310.4836538461538613.4201183431952760365.3394230769231109.2781065088757470420.1951923076923141.230769230769238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Derrek 4-4 9th 92.01 0.394 23.77 8-5 5th 5th place
1 986 2014 Kevin 2-6 13th 91.43 0.394 18.46 4-9 14th
2 978 2014 Pat 3-5 10th 92.14 0.397 16.06 5-8 11th
3 975 2014 Derrek 3-5 12th 89.45 0.391 28.51 5-8 12th
4 974 2019 Babel 4-4 9th 96.45 0.394 19.78 8-5 5th 5th place
5 973 2013 Derrek 5-3 5th 90.32 0.387 20.09 7-6 7th
6 973 2016 Allen 4-4 9th 93.52 0.403 22.10 4-9 13th
7 972 2019 Richie 3-5 12th 95.57 0.397 19.51 5-8 12th
8 969 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.402 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
9 969 2021 Pat 1-7 13th 95.04 0.392 16.18 3-11 12th
10 969 2016 Richie 4-4 8th 93.52 0.400 17.12 5-8 12th