2014 Derrek (through 9 weeks)

3-6 (0.333), 783.90 points

13th place

3.29 expected wins (0.366)

40-77 all-play record (0.342)

+5.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 101.11 120.22 Rob -19.11
2 L 64.07 133.53 Pulley -69.46 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 46.68 112.89 Rabbit -66.21 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 124.36 97.37 Pat 26.99
5 L 63.74 70.04 Ed -6.30 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 101.05 105.80 Richie -4.75
7 W 82.37 73.50 Dave 8.87
8 W 132.23 93.75 Kevin 38.48
9 L 68.29 100.76 Babel -32.47
10 Matt
11 Schertz
12 Mike R.
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923237.3%190.692307692307771.9999999999999930.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692340.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.1%36.07692307692308140.9756349298066302.9%87.61538461538464135.8024983307497118.4%139.15384615384616107.1753545228159120.0%190.69230769230772.769230769230745330.3%242.2307692307692584.9180626248492449.6%293.7692307692308123.3324193768465251.2%345.3076923076923138.9582160266443860.1%396.8461538461538141.1058862242590570.0%448.3846153846154141.228050707687880.0%499.9230769230769141.230756765283229Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th85.15961538461536253.18343195266272214th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793413th305.4275.6686390532544513th378.8134615384615275.6686390532544613th452.226923076923275.6686390532544712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272812th599.053846153846253.1834319526627299th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876113th85.15961538461536275.6686390532544214th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613313th231.98653846153846275.6686390532544413th305.4275.6686390532544514th378.8134615384615298.15384615384613613th452.226923076923275.6686390532544712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272813th599.053846153846275.668639053254499th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th85.15961538461536253.18343195266272214th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613313th231.98653846153846275.6686390532544414th305.4298.15384615384613514th378.8134615384615298.15384615384613613th452.226923076923275.6686390532544713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544814th599.053846153846298.153846153846139Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.08 22 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.07 35 Frank Gore RB
4.08 50 Roddy White WR
5.07 63 Golden Tate WR
6.08 78 Danny Amendola WR
7.07 91 Colin Kaepernick K QB
8.08 106 Kyle Rudolph TE
9.07 119 LeGarrette Blount RB
10.08 134 San Francisco DEF
11.07 147 Brandon LaFell WR
12.08 162 Ryan Tannehill QB
13.07 175 Jerick McKinnon RB
14.08 190 Robbie Gould K
15.07 203 Jerricho Cotchery WR
16.08 218 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.00078.68717948717948141.2307692307692320.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.870172.3623931623931880.9880080523547440.000219.2141.2307692307692350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.237312.8752136752136124.7970388114839970.922359.712820512820577.4310102241815980.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.53831.84957264957265104.0005339375004510.05178.68717948717948137.7067817277928720.006125.5247863247863140.8092111434199330.000172.3623931623931820.7452468739402640.048219.2137.9340659340659350.535266.03760683760686104.1823613025188860.000312.8752136752136108.3633083921987570.000359.712820512820513.63125121759395680.083406.5504273504273135.479396506317079Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231081.9179487179487141.2307692307692320130.67863247863247141.23076923076923311179.439316239316282.650887573964540228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692367325.7213675213675103.95266272189349711374.482051282051282.650887573964580423.242735042735141.230769230769239533.15726495726496114.603550295857991081.9179487179487141.2307692307692320130.67863247863247141.2307692307692330179.439316239316224.07100591715975240228.2141.2307692307692354276.96068376068376119.9289940828402360325.721367521367566.6745562130177570374.482051282051224.07100591715975282423.242735042735130.579881656804739All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Derrek 3-6 13th 87.10 0.366 27.69 5-8 12th
1 984 2013 Richie 4-5 11th 87.67 0.364 22.94 6-7 10th
2 976 2014 Pat 3-6 12th 87.68 0.362 19.71 5-8 11th
3 975 2015 Derrek 5-4 6th 87.80 0.367 18.31 7-6 7th
4 974 2014 Richie 3-6 11th 89.47 0.368 21.69 6-7 9th
5 963 2016 Richie 4-5 12th 90.80 0.367 17.89 5-8 12th
6 962 2020 Pat 4-5 12th 91.32 0.364 18.73 5-8 12th
7 961 2022 Pulley 4-5 10th 89.37 0.367 14.40 7-7 8th
8 960 2016 Mike R. 2-7 13th 89.38 0.360 17.30 5-8 11th
9 953 2023 Derrek 2-7 13th 88.83 0.356 16.85 5-9 12th
10 951 2014 Allen 4-5 10th 87.73 0.354 16.62 6-7 10th