2017 Matt (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 683.04 points

11th place

2.99 expected wins (0.374)

38-66 all-play record (0.365)

-3.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 W 92.25 89.55 Babel 2.70
7 L 65.24 85.16 Ed -19.92 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 83.86 104.24 Derrek -20.38
9 Rabbit
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923232.1%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.8%38.940170940170944139.438940301137109.2%96.20512820512818121.34973291652781125.5%153.4700854700854886.2766422207380820.0%210.735042735042732.7692307692307736321.8%268.094.1721750996842148.5%325.2649572649573122.9438819058359751.9%382.52991452991455137.189598253349260.2%439.79487179487177140.7617595787838270.0%497.05982905982904141.208795804587578Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272214th179.54835164835166298.1538461538461339th263.44945054945055185.727810650887649th347.3505494505494185.727810650887659th431.2516483516483185.7278106508876611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071712th599.053846153846253.18343195266272812th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613312th263.44945054945055253.1834319526627248th347.3505494505494163.2426035502958558th431.2516483516483163.24260355029585610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793711th599.053846153846230.698224852071811th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th95.64725274725272253.18343195266272213th179.54835164835166275.668639053254439th263.44945054945055185.727810650887648th347.3505494505494163.2426035502958558th431.2516483516483163.24260355029585611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071712th599.053846153846253.183431952662728Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.00087.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.885192.8538461538461879.9440903400604640.500245.54615384615386106.615891946202250.459298.2384615384615109.4796729452425460.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.24034.776923076923076124.6168010830272810.25287.46923076923076123.7758495198170220.195140.16153846153844127.7305947089679830.000192.8538461538461818.657411449351740.000245.5461538461538672.0010146616351550.000298.238461538461577.7285766597158660.129350.93076923076916132.2762788344288770.329403.6230769230769118.468763303341438Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.06057692307692141.2307692307692320145.91634615384615141.23076923076923312200.7721153846153877.3254437869822548255.627884615384698.6272189349112455310.48365384615386114.6035502958579960365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238336.20480769230769125.254437869822481391.06057692307692125.2544378698224824145.91634615384615119.9289940828402330200.7721153846153813.4201183431952740255.627884615384656.0236686390532450310.4836538461538687.9763313609467460365.3394230769231141.2307692307692373420.1951923076923125.254437869822488All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 3-5 11th 85.38 0.374 15.45 5-8 11th
1 984 2008 Katie 2-6 11th 83.07 0.375 16.89 5-8 10th
2 983 2015 Derrek 4-4 9th 87.09 0.372 19.30 7-6 7th
3 979 2008 Dave 4-4 9th 83.10 0.380 15.68 5-8 11th
4 975 2012 Kevin 3-5 10th 88.05 0.379 17.59 5-8 10th
5 971 2013 Allen 4-4 9th 88.36 0.367 13.13 4-9 14th
6 967 2016 Mike R. 2-6 14th 89.94 0.369 18.28 5-8 11th
7 963 2010 Kevin 2-6 11th 86.20 0.389 16.73 5-8 10th
8 962 2008 Matt 1-7 12th 85.73 0.390 17.01 3-10 12th
9 960 2014 Allen 4-4 8th 90.76 0.383 15.09 6-7 10th
10 956 2020 Pat 3-5 12th 92.04 0.369 19.75 5-8 12th