2026 Derrek

2-6 (0.250), 747.31 points (93.41 average)

13th place

3.05 expected wins (0.381)

38-66 all-play record (0.365)

+26.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.52 133.20 Pat -32.68
2 W 127.74 107.69 Ed 20.05 Team Blangums
3 L 103.48 111.71 Kevin -8.23
4 L 84.02 143.23 Babel -59.21
5 L 82.46 143.08 Mike R. -60.62
6 L 64.90 82.16 Richie -17.26
7 W 89.67 61.05 Rob 28.62
8 L 94.52 118.37 Dave -23.85
9 Pat
10 Schertz
11 Pulley
12 Scott
13 Matt
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.23076923076923124.1%210.7350427350427390.1372238412602420.0%289.36752136752136141.2307692307692330.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.8%53.470085470085465139.5370758573297408.2%132.1025641025641123.9425679046989910.0%210.7350427350427339.043678451751234232.7%289.3675213675213671.99999999999999323.3%368.091.9609766470415549.0%446.6324786324787122.2006411035485551.8%525.2649572649573137.3812245113019860.2%603.897435897436140.876006887568570.0%682.5299145299145141.221607612937368Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958515th95.6472527472527295.786982248520725th179.5483516483516695.786982248520738th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958549th347.3505494505494185.7278106508876510th431.2516483516483208.2130177514793610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793711th599.053846153846230.698224852071810th11.746153846153845208.213017751479316th95.64725274725272118.2721893491124127th179.54835164835166140.75739644970415310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272513th431.2516483516483275.6686390532544612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272713th599.053846153846275.668639053254488th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958514th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289924th179.5483516483516673.3017751479289939th263.44945054945055185.727810650887649th347.3505494505494185.7278106508876510th431.2516483516483208.2130177514793610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793711th599.053846153846230.6982248520718Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Bijan Robinson RB
2.13 27 Davante Adams WR
3.02 30 Terry McLaurin WR
4.13 55 Jalen Hurts QB
5.02 58 Ladd McConkey K×2 WR
6.13 83 Zach Charbonnet RB
7.02 86 Jordan Mason RB
8.13 111 Colston Loveland K TE
9.02 114 Romeo Doubs WR
10.13 139 Rashid Shaheed WR
11.02 142 Brian Robinson, Jr. RB
12.13 167 Dontayvion Wicks WR
13.02 170 Sam Darnold QB
14.13 195 New England DEF
15.02 198 Alvin Kamara RB
16.13 223 Harrison Butker K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00050.642307692307696141.2307692307692310.864127.3730769230769181.3862038768141920.000204.10384615384615141.2307692307692330.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.000357.56538461538463141.2307692307692350.000434.29615384615386141.2307692307692360.300511.0269230769231120.4636513791376670.000587.7576923076922141.2307692307692380.48650.642307692307696107.5648459188837210.000127.3730769230769121.54163852285914520.554204.10384615384615102.8649261298357130.208280.8346153846154126.8594397160604140.191357.56538461538463127.9895121295925550.039434.29615384615386138.5519249785888360.000511.026923076923199.6965335275060970.403587.7576923076922113.338141084192238Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678052.07019230769231141.23076923076923113130.9644230769230572.020209.85865384615386141.2307692307692330288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.2307692307692350446.5413461538462141.2307692307692364525.435576923077119.9289940828402370604.3298076923076141.230769230769238652.07019230769231109.2781065088757410130.964423076923052.769230769230773628209.8586538461538698.6272189349112432288.75288461538463130.5798816568047341367.6471153846154135.9053254437869851446.5413461538462135.9053254437869860525.43557692307798.6272189349112473604.3298076923076125.254437869822488All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Derrek 2-6 13th 93.41 0.381 17.20
1 986 2023 Richie 1-7 14th 92.48 0.382 12.88 4-10 13th
2 977 2012 Kevin 3-5 10th 88.05 0.381 17.59 5-8 10th
3 977 2014 Allen 4-4 8th 90.76 0.385 15.09 6-7 10th
4 974 2021 Pulley 2-6 10th 94.91 0.388 14.90 5-9 10th
5 970 2021 Pat 1-7 13th 95.04 0.392 16.18 3-11 12th
6 966 2008 Matt 1-7 12th 85.73 0.382 17.01 3-10 12th
7 964 2020 Pat 3-5 12th 92.04 0.368 19.75 5-8 12th
8 961 2014 Kevin 2-6 13th 91.43 0.395 18.46 4-9 14th
9 961 2016 Mike R. 2-6 14th 89.94 0.369 18.28 5-8 11th
10 959 2019 Babel 4-4 9th 96.45 0.392 19.78 8-5 5th 5th place