2018 Matt (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 878.24 points

6th place

4.33 expected wins (0.542)

57-47 all-play record (0.548)

-19.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 147.40 84.03 Scott 63.37
2 W 130.28 92.06 Rabbit 38.22
3 W 95.79 87.66 Derrek 8.13
4 L 106.41 114.02 Rob -7.61
5 L 103.24 136.04 Dave -32.80
6 W 113.47 96.10 Richie 17.37
7 W 115.38 82.07 Schertz 33.31
8 L 66.27 107.18 Kevin -40.91 Slapped Heartbeat
9 Ed
10 Babel
11 Pulley
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923429.5%325.264957264957374.1177295323586550.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.1336211396317700.8%96.20512820512818139.4952574489809615.1%153.47008547008548129.54092812856533217.0%210.73504273504273102.46186980353333330.4%268.072.040.0%325.26495726495737.004689833948078514.4%382.52991452991455108.3691233462494562.8%439.79487179487177134.9570602065983870.0%497.05982905982904141.230769230769238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st95.647252747252725.84615384615381121st179.548351648351665.84615384615381135th263.4494505494505595.786982248520743rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728454th431.251648351648373.3017751479289963rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728477th599.053846153846140.7573964497041582nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st95.647252747252725.84615384615381121st179.548351648351665.84615384615381133rd263.4494505494505550.81656804733728444th347.350549450549473.3017751479289954th431.251648351648373.3017751479289963rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728476th599.053846153846118.2721893491124182nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st95.647252747252725.84615384615381121st179.548351648351665.84615384615381132nd263.4494505494505528.33136094674557643rd347.350549450549450.81656804733728453rd431.251648351648350.81656804733728463rd515.152747252747250.81656804733728477th599.053846153846140.757396449704158Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Melvin Gordon III RB
2.09 23 Rob Gronkowski TE
3.06 34 Brandin Cooks WR
4.09 51 Russell Wilson QB
5.06 62 Rashaad Penny RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas K WR
7.06 90 Kenny Golladay WR
8.09 107 Keelan Cole WR
9.06 118 Giovani Bernard RB
10.09 135 Chris Godwin WR
11.06 146 Evan Engram K TE
12.09 163 Austin Ekeler RB
13.06 174 Mitchell Trubisky QB
14.09 191 John Kelly RB
15.06 202 Pittsburgh DEF
16.09 219 Josh Lambo K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.87634.77692307692307677.9275301935747110.81187.4692307692307682.296339484394620.350140.16153846153844113.0975426754513830.000192.85384615384618136.5118749887018340.000245.54615384615386136.5118749887018350.648298.238461538461593.1854319881466860.676350.9307692307691691.2974038524154770.000403.6230769230769136.5118749887018380.00034.77692307692307619.34318539844760210.00087.4692307692307628.08080398008736720.000140.1615384615384489.6832103622009230.534192.85384615384618100.8253597931985440.474245.54615384615386104.8319311277444150.000298.238461538461549.85898898759151660.000350.9307692307691646.082932716129117-0.035403.6230769230769138.871322109735538Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781236.2048076923076977.3254437869822511191.0605769230769282.650887573964525145.91634615384615114.6035502958579930200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692359310.4836538461538693.3017751479289968365.339423076923198.6272189349112470420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076913.420118343195271091.0605769230769224.07100591715975220145.9163461538461587.9763313609467434200.77211538461538119.9289940828402348255.627884615384698.6272189349112450310.4836538461538645.37278106508874560365.339423076923156.0236686390532470420.1951923076923141.230769230769238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Matt 5-3 6th 109.78 0.542 22.43 8-5 4th 2nd place
1 972 2018 Ed 3-5 9th 108.91 0.533 18.87 6-7 9th
2 968 2024 Pat 5-3 3rd 104.99 0.536 21.73 6-8 10th
3 963 2020 Schertz 3-5 10th 104.78 0.544 15.87 6-7 9th
4 962 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.539 24.26 5-8 10th
5 960 2011 Mike R. 5-3 3rd 105.74 0.551 19.86 6-7 9th
6 954 2022 Matt 4-4 6th 104.32 0.552 23.83 6-8 11th
7 951 2021 Ed 3-5 9th 105.10 0.548 13.35 6-8 8th
8 951 2022 Derrek 4-4 7th 102.59 0.534 20.22 8-6 4th 4th place
9 947 2024 Scott 4-4 8th 100.52 0.538 26.50 5-9 12th
10 944 2024 Babel 6-2 2nd 103.16 0.529 20.10 9-5 4th