2021 Mike R. (through 10 weeks)

2-8 (0.200), 978.05 points (97.80 average)

10th place

4.77 expected wins (0.477)

60-70 all-play record (0.462)

+32.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 108.98 111.39 Pat -2.41
2 L 93.79 120.93 Derrek -27.14
3 L 108.74 139.14 Kevin -30.40
4 W 133.41 122.50 Pat 10.91
5 L 121.31 135.53 Richie -14.22
6 L 90.81 137.45 Schertz -46.64
7 L 85.78 153.82 Dave -68.04
8 L 75.39 75.70 Rabbit -0.31
9 L 57.39 88.40 Scott -31.01 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 102.45 64.27 Pulley 38.18
11 Ed
12 Babel
13 Rob
14 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692313.3%127.44055944055944133.4921019245420.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.1864950464156400.4%80.5874125874126140.2469321188967210.0%127.44055944055944125.75343461831076212.4%174.29370629370626112.13117564902353325.4%221.1468531468531581.84902110187383429.6%268.072.0519.9%314.853146853146894.7648590573185667.4%361.7062937062937123.840268614592871.4%408.5594405594406137.928373454721580.1%455.41258741258747140.9802245672083290.0%502.2657342657343141.227218010465910Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th77.0025641025641118.2721893491124125th142.258974358974395.786982248520734th207.515384615384673.3017751479289944th272.7717948717948473.3017751479289957th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041568th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958579th468.5410256410256185.7278106508876810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793109th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876111th77.0025641025641230.698224852071211th142.2589743589743230.69822485207139th207.5153846153846185.727810650887649th272.77179487179484185.7278106508876511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793107th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041516th77.0025641025641118.2721893491124127th142.2589743589743140.7573964497041535th207.515384615384695.786982248520746th272.77179487179484118.2721893491124157th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041568th403.28461538461534163.24260355029585710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793910th599.053846153846208.213017751479310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Travis Kelce TE
2.10 24 David Montgomery RB
3.05 33 Chris Godwin WR
4.10 52 Robbie Chosen WR
5.05 61 Javonte Williams RB
6.10 80 Laviska Shenault, Jr. WR
7.05 89 Joe Burrow QB
8.10 108 James Robinson K RB
9.05 117 Brandon Aiyuk K WR
10.10 136 Terrace Marshall, Jr. WR
11.05 145 Jakobi Meyers WR
12.10 164 Carlos Hyde RB
13.05 173 Tyler Bass K
14.10 192 Damien Williams RB
15.05 201 Buffalo DEF
16.10 220 Kenneth Gainwell RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.913155.9692307692307378.0231012301305840.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.540408.89230769230767103.84722968926884100.66029.50769230769230695.5397194977044310.40771.66153846153847113.0573375582100420.657113.815384615384695.7565668938915630.000155.9692307692307314.8154332294919340.831198.1230769230769283.6657787227715950.351240.27692307692305116.9377185035855360.275282.4307692307692122.1892462384567270.122324.58461538461535132.75967237037180.018366.73846153846154139.9999728236993290.000408.8923076923076766.4636901477684610Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.23076923076923312162.373076923076977.3254437869822540206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.23076923076923910425.680769230769287.9763313609467410730.719230769230762103.952662721893491674.60384615384615109.2781065088757429118.4884615384615493.3017751479289930162.373076923076913.4201183431952749206.257692307692393.3017751479289953250.14230769230767125.2544378698224863294.026923076923125.2544378698224871337.9115384615384135.9053254437869880381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.680769230769234.7218934911242510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.477 21.05 4-10 11th
1 991 2011 Dave 3-7 11th 98.02 0.478 24.62 3-10 12th
2 982 2020 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.10 0.475 22.61 6-7 10th
3 982 2013 Rob 6-4 5th 98.26 0.475 26.39 8-5 2nd 2nd place
4 981 2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.481 21.29 6-8 10th
5 978 2022 Rabbit 5-5 9th 97.08 0.481 26.36 8-6 5th 5th place
6 977 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.483 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 976 2019 Ed 4-6 10th 100.79 0.474 23.23 5-8 11th
8 975 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
9 975 2009 Dave 5-5 8th 96.32 0.475 14.36 5-8 11th
10 974 2020 Derrek 5-5 9th 95.97 0.470 23.09 8-5 5th 5th place