2024 Pat (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 1,008.17 points

7th place

4.83 expected wins (0.483)

61-69 all-play record (0.469)

-8.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 W 113.45 102.58 Rabbit 10.87
8 L 89.72 93.48 Derrek -3.76
9 L 78.82 79.14 Matt -0.32 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 89.43 144.70 Dave -55.27
11 Rob
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923429.6%268.072.050.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2149137306549300.3%80.5874125874126140.6357337104246612.7%127.44055944055944134.86016526245498211.9%174.29370629370626113.33783459937851325.6%221.1468531468531581.3657223979819540.0%268.02.7692307692307736519.8%314.853146853146894.9335017375131867.9%361.7062937062937122.797738228636371.8%408.5594405594406136.9301458445712680.2%455.41258741258747140.6894173012399890.0%502.2657342657343141.202454288560610Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207128th142.2589743589743163.2426035502958536th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124149th272.77179487179484185.727810650887655th338.028205128205195.786982248520764th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289975th468.541025641025695.786982248520789th533.7974358974359185.7278106508876910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793105th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th77.002564102564173.3017751479289925th142.258974358974395.786982248520733rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728447th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041554th338.028205128205173.3017751479289962nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557673rd468.541025641025650.81656804733728486th533.7974358974359118.2721893491124197th599.053846153846140.75739644970415107th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207127th142.2589743589743140.7573964497041534th207.515384615384673.3017751479289948th272.77179487179484163.2426035502958554th338.028205128205173.3017751479289964th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289975th468.541025641025695.786982248520787th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041597th599.053846153846140.7573964497041510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.34029.507692307692306117.6833137315737510.22871.66153846153847125.445069375798220.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.655155.9692307692307395.8640299293615240.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.959240.2769230769230574.8629692697322360.733282.430769230769290.4773942406903670.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230694.1358582323782710.00071.66153846153847109.6593695208271720.881113.815384615384680.2041481171487830.000155.9692307692307350.497290627953840.204198.12307692307692127.1383367125323850.000240.276923076923058.49516930869523960.000282.430769230769239.72401925061150570.331324.58461538461535118.2856168781973280.174366.73846153846154129.1838945689897990.328408.89230769230767118.52426529478410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910730.719230769230762103.952662721893491274.60384615384615130.5798816568047320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692339162.373076923076993.3017751479289940206.2576923076923141.23076923076923513250.1423076923076772.0610294.02692307692387.9763313609467470337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076266.674556213017751074.60384615384615119.92899408284023212118.4884615384615477.3254437869822530162.373076923076945.37278106508874541206.2576923076923135.9053254437869850250.142307692307672.769230769230773660294.02692307692334.7218934911242571337.9115384615384135.9053254437869880381.79615384615386141.2307692307692396425.6807692307692109.2781065088757410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 5-5 7th 100.82 0.483 21.29 6-8 10th
1 987 2011 Derrek 6-4 5th 99.34 0.482 23.75 8-5 3rd 6th place
2 984 2012 Allen 4-6 7th 98.85 0.487 21.97 6-7 8th
3 980 2024 Ed 5-5 8th 99.72 0.486 16.05 6-8 9th
4 978 2014 Mike R. 5-5 7th 98.26 0.489 21.47 6-7 7th
5 977 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.478 21.05 4-10 11th
6 977 2011 Kevin 4-6 9th 102.45 0.487 26.40 6-7 8th
7 974 2020 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.10 0.473 22.61 6-7 10th
8 974 2022 Rabbit 5-5 9th 97.08 0.484 26.36 8-6 5th 5th place
9 973 2011 Babel 5-5 8th 99.44 0.490 17.14 7-6 7th
10 973 2019 Ed 4-6 10th 100.79 0.472 23.23 5-8 11th