2021 Kevin (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 1,116.62 points

8th place

5.59 expected wins (0.508)

71-72 all-play record (0.497)

+15.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 102.07 81.96 Matt 20.11
2 L 77.65 167.50 Rabbit -89.85
3 W 139.14 108.74 Mike R. 30.40
4 W 97.37 85.80 Pulley 11.57
5 W 137.65 99.24 Ed 38.41
6 L 123.81 135.25 Babel -11.44
7 W 103.44 100.12 Rob 3.32
8 L 102.26 104.54 Matt -2.28
9 L 73.47 120.87 Derrek -47.40
10 L 64.71 79.95 Scott -15.24
11 L 95.05 109.07 Pat -14.02
12 Richie
13 Schertz
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923427.0%246.5256410256410275.3341636173769250.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.228219574275300.0%74.73076923076923141.121245636766210.7%117.67948717948717139.563193005546524.6%160.62820512820514130.0900813903845314.9%203.57692307692307104.7303710589730540.0%246.525641025641029.437558003984606528.3%289.47435897435972.0617.4%332.4230769230769698.7553818420667576.0%375.3717948717949126.680508196631481.0%418.3205128205129138.712913146571590.1%461.26923076923083141.03677180511588100.0%504.21794871794873141.2259686616258711Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th70.47692307692309230.69822485207126th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124137th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041547th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041556th305.4118.2721893491124166th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124174th422.8615384615384373.3017751479289987th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041597th540.3230769230769140.75739644970415108th599.053846153846163.24260355029585116th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124119th70.47692307692309185.727810650887625th129.207692307692395.786982248520736th187.93846153846152118.2721893491124145th246.6692307692307595.786982248520755th305.495.786982248520764th364.130769230769273.3017751479289978th422.86153846153843163.2426035502958588th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958598th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585108th599.053846153846163.24260355029585118th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th70.47692307692309230.69822485207125th129.207692307692395.786982248520737th187.93846153846152140.7573964497041547th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041556th305.4118.2721893491124165th364.130769230769295.786982248520775th422.8615384615384395.786982248520786th481.59230769230766118.2721893491124198th540.3230769230769163.24260355029585109th599.053846153846185.727810650887611Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 Davante Adams K WR
2.01 15 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
3.14 42 D.J. Moore WR
4.01 43 Kareem Hunt RB
5.14 70 Logan Thomas TE
6.01 71 Corey Davis WR
7.14 98 Josh Allen K QB
8.01 99 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
9.14 126 T.Y. Hilton WR
10.01 127 Jonnu Smith TE
11.14 154 Russell Gage WR
12.01 155 Cole Beasley WR
13.14 182 J.D. McKissic RB
14.01 183 Derek Carr QB
15.14 210 Kansas City DEF
16.01 211 Robbie Gould K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.54127.59160839160839103.7623036844967110.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.943104.2349650349650375.9199884160488230.462142.55664335664335109.2739456866180540.937180.8783216783216476.374556828594950.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.566257.5216783216783102.0349437168215970.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083966.2938381382242210.16265.91328671328671130.0249937193469820.000104.2349650349650310.60920760132842130.000142.5566433566433577.3171221424668640.000180.8783216783216411.51834442642058350.853219.1999999999999682.1475756679302360.000257.521678321678362.8391182028739570.544295.8433566433567103.5577478988509880.113334.165034965035133.3774357618743890.043372.4867132867133138.2413177761175100.427410.8083916083916111.6717940627986511Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011628.724475524475523109.278106508875741068.61958041958042141.23076923076923212108.514685314685377.3254437869822535148.40979020979017114.60355029585799411188.3048951048950882.650887573964550228.2141.2307692307692368268.0951048951048498.6272189349112470307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552377.325443786982251268.61958041958042130.5798816568047320108.514685314685313.4201183431952730148.4097902097901787.9763313609467440188.3048951048950824.07100591715975259228.293.3017751479289960268.0951048951048456.0236686390532477307.9902097902098103.9526627218934983347.8853146853147125.2544378698224892387.7804195804196130.57988165680473106427.67552447552447109.2781065088757411All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Kevin 5-6 8th 101.51 0.508 23.34 5-9 9th
1 988 2020 Derrek 6-5 7th 98.97 0.508 23.97 8-5 5th 5th place
2 985 2022 Matt 5-6 11th 99.91 0.505 22.43 6-8 11th
3 985 2011 Ed 8-3 1st 101.88 0.511 19.08 9-4 1st 3rd place
4 980 2016 Ed 5-6 9th 99.02 0.509 18.50 6-7 9th
5 980 2012 Allen 5-6 7th 99.11 0.505 20.96 6-7 8th
6 974 2009 Rob 7-4 4th 99.33 0.510 15.97 8-5 3rd 4th place
7 974 2023 Pat 5-6 10th 99.77 0.513 18.63 5-9 11th
8 970 2010 Derrek 7-4 4th 96.91 0.510 19.11 7-6 5th 3rd place
9 970 2013 Rob 7-4 4th 99.56 0.500 25.50 8-5 2nd 2nd place
10 969 2015 Schertz 7-4 5th 98.69 0.499 24.11 9-4 2nd 2nd place