2013 Allen (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 771.57 points

12th place

2.96 expected wins (0.329)

44-73 all-play record (0.376)

+11.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 105.41 87.31 Richie 18.10
2 W 102.44 92.60 Rabbit 9.84
3 L 96.19 145.44 Matt -49.25
4 L 61.78 137.68 Ed -75.90 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 81.37 118.50 Pat -37.13
6 L 91.95 99.75 Mike R. -7.80
7 W 86.96 81.10 Dave 5.86
8 W 80.75 43.90 Kevin 36.85
9 L 64.72 111.92 Schertz -47.20
10 Rob
11 Babel
12 Pulley
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923321.4%242.2307692307692592.1087049594096840.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692391.8%36.07692307692308137.05444087135862010.5%87.61538461538464117.16785942813263124.5%139.1538461538461685.03223797116253230.2%190.692307692307772.030.0%242.2307692307692542.9866406880501349.0%293.7692307692308120.6656097965900852.2%345.3076923076923136.2441328506494460.3%396.8461538461538140.5757226256956870.0%448.3846153846154141.190424680104780.0%499.9230769230769141.229867663999769Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th85.15961538461536163.2426035502958526th158.5730769230769118.27218934911241310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793412th305.4253.18343195266272511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544814th599.053846153846298.1538461538461397th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th85.1596153846153673.3017751479289925th158.573076923076995.786982248520739th231.98653846153846185.7278106508876411th305.4230.698224852071512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272612th452.226923076923253.1834319526627279th525.6403846153845185.7278106508876812th599.053846153846253.1834319526627299th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th85.15961538461536163.2426035502958527th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415312th231.98653846153846253.18343195266272412th305.4253.18343195266272512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544814th599.053846153846298.153846153846139Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 25 Vincent Jackson WR
3.04 32 Montee Ball RB
4.11 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
5.04 60 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.11 81 Denarius Moore WR
7.04 88 Brandon Myers TE
8.11 109 Rueben Randle WR
9.04 116 Chicago DEF
10.11 137 Malcom Floyd WR
11.04 144 Michael Bush RB
12.11 165 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.04 172 Philip Rivers QB
14.11 193 Marcel Reece RB
15.04 200 Christine Michael RB
16.11 221 Robert Woods WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.62931.8495726495726597.6950206720397210.57378.68717948717948101.5588521786814620.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.000172.36239316239318141.2307692307692340.000219.2141.2307692307692350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.319312.8752136752136119.1392855339014170.223359.7128205128205125.7987127777016180.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.00031.8495726495726554.1592721133102110.00078.6871794871794861.88693512659368420.470125.5247863247863108.7183046762823430.052172.36239316239318137.6288557142135640.232219.2125.1395885795097950.395266.03760683760686113.8776561586804560.000312.875213675213697.0478018370336270.000359.7128205128205110.3666563246340180.068406.5504273504273136.492434682848349Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789533.15726495726496114.603550295857991781.9179487179487103.9526627218934920130.67863247863247141.2307692307692330179.4393162393162141.2307692307692340228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692366325.7213675213675109.2781065088757476374.4820512820512109.2781065088757480423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.1572649572649687.976331360946741081.917948717948766.6745562130177528130.6786324786324798.6272189349112430179.4393162393162141.2307692307692344228.2119.9289940828402357276.96068376068376103.9526627218934960325.721367521367577.3254437869822570374.482051282051277.3254437869822581423.242735042735135.905325443786989All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Allen 4-5 12th 85.73 0.329 14.43 4-9 14th
1 986 2022 Richie 4-5 11th 87.23 0.331 12.62 6-8 13th
2 986 2021 Rob 2-7 11th 88.81 0.329 14.86 2-12 14th
3 986 2024 Pulley 3-6 13th 88.43 0.328 15.19 4-10 13th
4 984 2022 Babel 3-6 14th 85.40 0.322 15.34 3-11 14th
5 981 2023 Scott 4-5 11th 87.32 0.331 18.66 8-6 7th
6 980 2022 Pat 4-5 12th 87.01 0.335 15.30 8-6 6th 6th place
7 980 2016 Derrek 2-7 14th 88.01 0.332 16.87 3-10 14th
8 968 2016 Pat 5-4 7th 87.28 0.338 18.20 7-6 7th
9 966 2024 Derrek 3-6 12th 88.44 0.336 19.28 4-10 14th
10 953 2017 Allen 3-6 13th 83.28 0.346 12.38 5-8 12th