2016 Derrek (through 9 weeks)

2-7 (0.222), 792.08 points (88.01 average)

14th place

3.01 expected wins (0.334)

40-77 all-play record (0.342)

+12.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 L 93.53 128.65 Kevin -35.12
7 L 81.78 83.86 Mike R. -2.08
8 L 90.63 134.91 Pulley -44.28
9 L 72.25 133.99 Rabbit -61.74
10 Pat
11 Babel
12 Matt
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.23076923076923124.9%139.1538461538461687.3000624081782920.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.2307692307692340.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692391.0%36.07692307692308139.0156737263817209.1%87.61538461538464121.574560081086210.0%139.1538461538461633.36935558558734231.9%190.692307692307772.0322.2%242.2307692307692593.1638084887485748.8%293.7692307692308122.2473208638675452.0%345.3076923076923136.971541114324160.2%396.8461538461538140.709344907097670.0%448.3846153846154141.1989542467945380.0%499.9230769230769141.230026290761979Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th85.15961538461536230.698224852071213th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544314th231.98653846153846298.15384615384613411th305.4230.698224852071511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544814th599.053846153846298.1538461538461392nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th85.15961538461536163.24260355029585212th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272311th231.98653846153846230.698224852071410th305.4208.2130177514793511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071613th452.226923076923275.6686390532544713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544814th599.053846153846298.1538461538461392nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th85.15961538461536230.698224852071213th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544314th231.98653846153846298.15384615384613411th305.4230.698224852071511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272813th599.053846153846275.66863905325449Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.83931.8495726495726583.149206889410310.00078.68717948717948141.2307692307692320.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.339172.36239316239318117.7690666033575740.000219.2141.2307692307692350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692380.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.00031.8495726495726525.06764454805134810.09578.68717948717948134.640685417776920.058125.5247863247863137.1939777643638630.000172.3623931623931894.3073639759459240.571219.2101.7273299557257450.403266.03760683760686113.3322549950623960.227312.8752136752136125.5169539148509470.357359.7128205128205116.5150445394642180.116406.5504273504273133.165891824792089Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891233.1572649572649677.325443786982251081.9179487179487141.2307692307692320130.67863247863247141.2307692307692335179.4393162393162114.6035502958579940228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.242735042735141.230769230769239033.1572649572649613.420118343195271081.9179487179487141.2307692307692320130.67863247863247141.2307692307692330179.439316239316287.9763313609467446228.2109.2781065088757457276.96068376068376103.9526627218934963325.7213675213675125.2544378698224876374.4820512820512109.2781065088757481423.242735042735135.905325443786989All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-7 14th 88.01 0.334 16.87 3-10 14th
1 991 2022 Pat 4-5 12th 87.01 0.333 15.30 8-6 6th 6th place
2 989 2024 Derrek 3-6 12th 88.44 0.336 19.28 4-10 14th
3 984 2016 Pat 5-4 7th 87.28 0.339 18.20 7-6 7th
4 983 2013 Allen 4-5 12th 85.73 0.333 14.43 4-9 14th
5 981 2023 Scott 4-5 11th 87.32 0.328 18.66 8-6 7th
6 979 2021 Rob 2-7 11th 88.81 0.327 14.86 2-12 14th
7 979 2022 Richie 4-5 11th 87.23 0.329 12.62 6-8 13th
8 976 2024 Pulley 3-6 13th 88.43 0.324 15.19 4-10 13th
9 968 2011 Pat 3-6 12th 86.91 0.341 23.65 5-8 11th
10 964 2022 Babel 3-6 14th 85.40 0.323 15.34 3-11 14th