2016 Derrek (through 9 weeks)

2-7 (0.222), 792.08 points (88.01 average)

14th place

3.01 expected wins (0.334)

40-77 all-play record (0.342)

+12.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 123.45 112.14 Dave 11.31
2 L 70.45 91.15 Schertz -20.70 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 67.22 84.08 Richie -16.86 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 89.35 68.08 Ed 21.27
5 L 103.42 109.35 Rob -5.93
6 L 93.53 128.65 Kevin -35.12
7 L 81.78 83.86 Mike R. -2.08
8 L 90.63 134.91 Pulley -44.28
9 L 72.25 133.99 Rabbit -61.74
10 Pat
11 Babel
12 Matt
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%49.53846153846153141.2307692307692300.0%120.30769230769232141.23076923076923124.9%191.0769230769230787.3013460761735720.0%261.8461538461538141.2307692307692330.0%332.6153846153846141.2307692307692340.0%403.38461538461536141.2307692307692350.0%474.15384615384613141.2307692307692360.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692370.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.2307692307692391.0%49.53846153846153139.015707095450409.1%120.30769230769232121.5752324532998210.0%191.0769230769230733.37192292157792231.9%261.846153846153872.0322.2%332.615384615384693.1623033713551848.8%403.38461538461536122.2460092631925552.0%474.15384615384613136.9710490291254860.2%544.9230769230769140.7092539490652770.0%615.6923076923078141.198946569907480.0%686.4615384615386141.230026062276649Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th85.15961538461536230.698224852071213th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544314th231.98653846153846298.15384615384613411th305.4230.698224852071511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544814th599.053846153846298.1538461538461392nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557618th85.15961538461536163.24260355029585212th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272311th231.98653846153846230.698224852071410th305.4208.2130177514793511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071613th452.226923076923275.6686390532544713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544814th599.053846153846298.1538461538461392nd11.74615384615384528.331360946745576111th85.15961538461536230.698224852071213th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544314th231.98653846153846298.15384615384613411th305.4230.698224852071511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272813th599.053846153846275.66863905325449Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Le'Veon Bell RB
2.11 25 Brandin Cooks WR
3.04 32 Andrew Luck QB
4.11 53 Allen Robinson II K WR
5.04 60 T.J. Yeldon RB
6.11 81 Zach Ertz TE
7.04 88 Chris Ivory RB
8.11 109 Devin Funchess WR
9.04 116 James Starks RB
10.11 137 Denver DEF
11.04 144 Josh Gordon K WR
12.11 165 Josh Doctson WR
13.04 172 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE
14.11 193 Teddy Bridgewater QB
15.04 200 Blair Walsh K
16.11 221 Kenny Britt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.83946.37948717948718583.1496620146428110.000114.58461538461539141.2307692307692320.000182.78974358974358141.2307692307692330.339250.99487179487176117.7685256880310540.000319.20000000000005141.2307692307692350.000387.4051282051282141.2307692307692360.000455.61025641025645141.2307692307692370.000523.8153846153846141.2307692307692380.000592.0205128205127141.2307692307692390.00046.37948717948718525.06855479851638810.095114.58461538461539134.639968972482720.058182.78974358974358137.193846051288930.000250.9948717948717694.3062821452928740.571319.20000000000005101.7275832498740750.403387.4051282051282113.3309872044033360.227455.61025641025645125.5176303828265570.357523.8153846153846116.5145737818662280.117592.0205128205127133.164848378944369Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891247.68717948717948577.3254437869822510117.8153846153846141.2307692307692320187.9435897435897141.2307692307692335258.07179487179485114.6035502958579940328.2141.2307692307692350398.32820512820507141.2307692307692360468.45641025641015141.2307692307692370538.5846153846154141.2307692307692380608.7128205128206141.230769230769239047.68717948717948513.4201183431952710117.8153846153846141.2307692307692320187.9435897435897141.2307692307692330258.0717948717948587.9763313609467446328.2109.2781065088757457398.32820512820507103.9526627218934963468.45641025641015125.2544378698224876538.5846153846154109.2781065088757481608.7128205128206135.905325443786989All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Derrek 2-7 14th 88.01 0.334 16.87 3-10 14th
1 992 2022 Pat 4-5 12th 87.01 0.333 15.30 8-6 6th 6th place
2 991 2025 Matt 2-7 14th 87.07 0.332 17.62
3 986 2024 Derrek 3-6 12th 88.44 0.338 19.28 4-10 14th
4 984 2016 Pat 5-4 7th 87.28 0.339 18.20 7-6 7th
5 983 2013 Allen 4-5 12th 85.73 0.333 14.43 4-9 14th
6 982 2023 Scott 4-5 11th 87.32 0.328 18.66 8-6 7th
7 981 2024 Pulley 3-6 13th 88.43 0.327 15.19 4-10 13th
8 980 2021 Rob 2-7 11th 88.81 0.328 14.86 2-12 14th
9 979 2022 Richie 4-5 11th 87.23 0.329 12.62 6-8 13th
10 968 2011 Pat 3-6 12th 86.91 0.341 23.65 5-8 11th