2025 Matt

2-7 (0.222), 783.66 points (87.07 average)

14th place

2.99 expected wins (0.332)

40-77 all-play record (0.342)

+10.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 96.51 93.14 Richie 3.37
2 W 112.82 88.30 Derrek 24.52
3 L 89.30 91.75 Babel -2.45
4 L 72.48 112.26 Rob -39.78
5 L 116.91 118.77 Pulley -1.86
6 L 67.25 129.12 Scott -61.87
7 L 69.40 108.99 Dave -39.59
8 L 71.92 92.65 Kevin -20.73 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 87.07 91.30 Ed -4.23
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Rabbit
13 Pat
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%49.53846153846153141.2307692307692300.0%120.30769230769232141.23076923076923125.1%191.0769230769230788.824139645952820.0%261.8461538461538141.2307692307692330.0%332.6153846153846141.2307692307692340.0%403.38461538461536141.2307692307692350.0%474.15384615384613141.2307692307692360.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692370.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.2307692307692391.0%49.53846153846153139.0403235582135208.6%120.30769230769232123.3061907143809910.0%191.0769230769230736.41751006113637233.1%261.846153846153871.99999999999999322.3%332.615384615384694.630495443677848.1%403.38461538461536124.2775062176560151.6%474.15384615384613137.8331652903275460.2%544.9230769230769140.8575786149467370.0%615.6923076923078141.20978905742380.0%686.4615384615386141.23029879605199Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd85.1596153846153628.33136094674557628th158.5730769230769163.24260355029585312th231.98653846153846253.1834319526627248th305.4163.24260355029585511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071613th452.226923076923275.6686390532544713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544813th599.053846153846275.668639053254496th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd85.1596153846153628.33136094674557627th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793410th305.4208.2130177514793512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272614th452.226923076923298.15384615384613714th525.6403846153845298.15384615384613814th599.053846153846298.1538461538461396th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd85.1596153846153650.81656804733728429th158.5730769230769185.7278106508876312th231.98653846153846253.18343195266272410th305.4208.2130177514793512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272613th452.226923076923275.6686390532544713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544813th599.053846153846275.66863905325449Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Lamar Jackson QB
2.06 20 Davante Adams WR
3.09 37 George Kittle K TE
4.06 48 Calvin Ridley WR
5.09 65 Matthew Golden WR
6.06 76 Jaylen Warren RB
7.09 93 Zach Charbonnet RB
8.06 104 Christian Kirk WR
9.09 121 Bucky Irving K RB
10.06 132 J.J. McCarthy QB
11.09 149 Wan'Dale Robinson WR
12.06 160 Najee Harris RB
13.09 177 Kyle Williams WR
14.06 188 Green Bay DEF
15.09 205 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
16.03 213 Jake Elliott T K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.47646.379487179487185108.2529380005480710.720114.5846153846153991.380275262841720.000182.78974358974358141.2307692307692330.000250.99487179487176141.2307692307692340.000319.20000000000005141.2307692307692350.000387.4051282051282141.2307692307692360.000455.61025641025645141.2307692307692370.000523.8153846153846141.2307692307692380.000592.0205128205127141.2307692307692390.00046.37948717948718575.2751067703269110.000114.5846153846153941.529781294914220.336182.78974358974358117.9933448640858830.125250.99487179487176132.5507745161875740.770319.2000000000000587.929739398065850.071387.4051282051282136.3165617863190360.087455.61025641025645135.1826554678084470.113523.8153846153846133.4219537853820280.289592.0205128205127121.19305073485629Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789847.68717948717948598.62721893491124111117.815384615384682.650887573964520187.9435897435897141.2307692307692330258.07179487179485141.2307692307692340328.2141.2307692307692350398.32820512820507141.2307692307692360468.45641025641015141.2307692307692370538.5846153846154141.2307692307692380608.7128205128206141.230769230769239047.68717948717948556.0236686390532410117.815384615384624.07100591715975223187.9435897435897125.2544378698224832258.07179487179485130.5798816568047347328.2103.9526627218934953398.32820512820507125.2544378698224864468.45641025641015119.9289940828402370538.5846153846154141.2307692307692382608.7128205128206130.579881656804739All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Matt 2-7 14th 87.07 0.332 17.62
1 993 2022 Pat 4-5 12th 87.01 0.333 15.30 8-6 6th 6th place
2 991 2016 Derrek 2-7 14th 88.01 0.334 16.87 3-10 14th
3 989 2023 Scott 4-5 11th 87.32 0.328 18.66 8-6 7th
4 987 2013 Allen 4-5 12th 85.73 0.333 14.43 4-9 14th
5 984 2022 Richie 4-5 11th 87.23 0.329 12.62 6-8 13th
6 984 2016 Pat 5-4 7th 87.28 0.339 18.20 7-6 7th
7 980 2024 Derrek 3-6 12th 88.44 0.338 19.28 4-10 14th
8 979 2024 Pulley 3-6 13th 88.43 0.327 15.19 4-10 13th
9 979 2021 Rob 2-7 11th 88.81 0.328 14.86 2-12 14th
10 971 2022 Babel 3-6 14th 85.40 0.323 15.34 3-11 14th