2014 Allen (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 617.83 points

11th place

2.54 expected wins (0.363)

30-61 all-play record (0.330)

-11.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 87.44 112.07 Babel -24.63
2 W 93.15 78.05 Matt 15.10
3 L 60.70 100.87 Ed -40.17
4 W 100.35 59.65 Richie 40.70
5 L 89.05 107.18 Schertz -18.13
6 L 109.12 112.15 Rob -3.03
7 W 78.02 77.73 Kevin 0.29
8 Dave
9 Mike R.
10 Rabbit
11 Pulley
12 Pat
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923230.4%235.7884615384615273.6228987350611830.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692372.9%42.519230769230774134.78144130114703015.5%106.9423076923077106.63354754333605131.1%171.365384615384672.020.0%235.788461538461526.015028239353143315.6%300.2115384615385106.5870055088855444.1%364.6346153846155132.1552827073933350.5%429.0576923076924140.1844294166128360.0%493.4807692307693141.198354508817Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585213th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544313th305.4275.6686390532544412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071611th599.053846153846230.698224852071710th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272310th305.4208.2130177514793412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272512th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272611th599.053846153846230.698224852071710th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585213th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544312th305.4253.18343195266272412th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071612th599.053846153846253.183431952662727Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Arian Foster RB
2.09 23 Andre Johnson WR
3.06 34 Matthew Stafford QB
4.09 51 Torrey Smith WR
5.06 62 Pierre Thomas RB
6.09 79 DeAngelo Williams RB
7.06 90 Dennis Pitta TE
8.09 107 Rueben Randle K WR
9.06 118 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
10.09 135 Shonn Greene RB
11.06 146 Knile Davis RB
12.09 163 Arizona DEF
13.06 174 Mason Crosby K
14.09 191 Robert Woods K WR
15.06 202 Tre Mason RB
16.09 219 Latavius Murray RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.41598.76043956043955112.5304560836405920.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.533219.19999999999996104.3368604474973440.000279.4197802197802141.2307692307692350.000339.6395604395604141.2307692307692360.188399.8593406593406128.2130663164806270.32438.54065934065934118.7694075458356510.00098.7604395604395583.8301429365119520.045158.98021978021976138.1226577099853330.000219.1999999999999667.4429516642254640.349279.4197802197802117.0761402091014750.690339.639560439560493.4954038082731560.000399.8593406593406115.195363402192037Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692315102.8153846153846114.6035502958579920165.50769230769228141.2307692307692334228.19999999999996119.9289940828402340290.8923076923077141.2307692307692350353.5846153846154141.2307692307692364416.2769230769231119.928994082840237440.12307692307692119.9289940828402310102.815384615384687.9763313609467421165.50769230769228135.9053254437869830228.1999999999999698.6272189349112445290.8923076923077114.6035502958579957353.5846153846154103.9526627218934960416.276923076923198.627218934911247All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Allen 3-4 11th 88.26 0.363 14.50 6-7 10th
1 992 2015 Kevin 2-5 12th 87.04 0.364 15.35 3-10 14th
2 989 2009 Ed 3-4 10th 88.54 0.367 13.55 7-6 4th 6th place
3 989 2014 Pat 3-4 10th 88.41 0.359 13.55 5-8 11th
4 981 2013 Richie 4-3 7th 88.39 0.362 22.75 6-7 10th
5 980 2009 Dave 4-3 5th 88.58 0.359 9.21 5-8 11th
6 976 2019 Rob 3-4 11th 91.72 0.367 16.03 5-8 13th
7 972 2016 Derrek 2-5 13th 89.89 0.356 18.05 3-10 14th
8 963 2008 Dave 3-4 9th 81.61 0.367 16.22 5-8 11th
9 962 2016 Babel 3-4 11th 91.88 0.370 20.13 7-6 6th 6th place
10 960 2017 Pat 1-6 14th 83.41 0.355 12.79 6-7 7th