2026 Kevin

3-4 (0.429), 642.67 points (91.81 average)

7th place

2.59 expected wins (0.371)

32-59 all-play record (0.352)

-7.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 79.00 85.87 Richie -6.87
2 L 72.90 96.15 Babel -23.25
3 W 111.71 103.48 Derrek 8.23
4 L 93.49 112.72 Schertz -19.23
5 W 104.97 102.84 Scott 2.13
6 W 86.77 72.85 Rob 13.92
7 L 93.83 108.50 Mike R. -14.67
8 Matt
9 Pulley
10 Rabbit
11 Richie
12 Ed
13 Pat
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.2307692307692310.0%235.30769230769232141.23076923076923230.6%323.769230769230872.030.0%412.2307692307692141.2307692307692340.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692372.7%58.38461538461538135.10135669085616014.8%146.84615384615384107.86514728966256130.4%235.3076923076923272.497932162184920.0%323.76923076923082.7692307692307736316.3%412.2307692307692104.3427368615788644.6%500.6923076923077130.8664710919116850.6%589.1538461538461139.8148268683091860.0%677.6153846153845141.157894287716547Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.6686390532544114th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272312th305.4253.18343195266272411th403.28461538461534230.698224852071511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071611th599.053846153846230.698224852071713th11.746153846153845275.6686390532544114th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613211th207.5153846153846230.698224852071311th305.4230.69822485207149th403.28461538461534185.727810650887657th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041567th599.053846153846140.75739644970415713th11.746153846153845275.6686390532544113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272312th305.4253.18343195266272411th403.28461538461534230.698224852071511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071611th599.053846153846230.6982248520717Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Ja'Marr Chase K×2 WR
2.03 17 Kyren Williams RB
3.12 40 Jameson Williams WR
4.03 45 Bhayshul Tuten RB
5.12 68 Alec Pierce WR
6.03 73 George Kittle TE
7.12 96 Jordan Addison WR
8.03 101 Quentin Johnston WR
9.12 124 Jake Ferguson TE
10.03 129 Tyrone Tracy, Jr. RB
11.12 152 Baker Mayfield QB
12.03 157 Dylan Sampson RB
13.12 180 Jaxson Dart K QB
14.03 185 Eddy Pineiro K
15.12 208 Detroit DEF
16.03 213 Nick Singleton RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00056.12307692307693141.2307692307692310.000143.81538461538463141.2307692307692320.674231.507692307692394.5541481205418430.000319.2141.2307692307692340.579406.89230769230767101.1619659476195950.270494.5846153846154122.507077037547560.000582.276923076923141.2307692307692370.16756.12307692307693129.6696418965169610.118143.81538461538463133.029139585792220.000231.507692307692347.8775270103144430.387319.2114.4211956671670140.000406.8923076923076761.0931626644699450.000494.5846153846154103.7833848443257860.398582.276923076923113.644522653820497Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567057.7054945054945141.2307692307692310147.87032967032965141.2307692307692329238.035164835164893.3017751479289930328.19999999999993141.2307692307692346418.36483516483514109.2781065088757455508.52967032967035114.6035502958579960598.6945054945054141.230769230769237157.7054945054945135.9053254437869812147.87032967032965130.5798816568047320238.035164835164845.37278106508874533328.19999999999993125.2544378698224840418.3648351648351477.3254437869822550508.5296703296703587.9763313609467466598.6945054945054109.278106508875747All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Kevin 3-4 7th 91.81 0.371 12.67
1 981 2019 Rob 3-4 11th 91.72 0.364 16.03 5-8 13th
2 976 2016 Babel 3-4 11th 91.88 0.375 20.13 7-6 6th 6th place
3 973 2014 Pat 3-4 10th 88.41 0.365 13.55 5-8 11th
4 970 2015 Kevin 2-5 12th 87.04 0.373 15.35 3-10 14th
5 969 2014 Allen 3-4 11th 88.26 0.364 14.50 6-7 10th
6 968 2025 Babel 3-4 9th 92.33 0.368 24.55 4-10 12th
7 968 2025 Matt 2-5 14th 89.24 0.366 19.02 4-10 11th
8 967 2019 Dave 2-5 14th 93.53 0.380 16.07 6-7 10th
9 963 2023 Richie 1-6 14th 91.48 0.387 13.48 4-10 13th
10 963 2013 Allen 3-4 12th 89.44 0.383 13.69 4-9 14th