2025 Matt (through 7 weeks)

2-5 (0.286), 624.67 points (89.24 average)

14th place

2.56 expected wins (0.365)

38-53 all-play record (0.418)

+18.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 96.51 93.14 Richie 3.37
2 W 112.82 88.30 Derrek 24.52
3 L 89.30 91.75 Babel -2.45
4 L 72.48 112.26 Rob -39.78
5 L 116.91 118.77 Pulley -1.86
6 L 67.25 129.12 Scott -61.87
7 L 69.40 108.99 Dave -39.59
8 Kevin
9 Ed
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Rabbit
13 Pat
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.23076923076923133.4%235.3076923076923273.3129387006106620.0%323.7692307692308141.2307692307692330.0%412.2307692307692141.2307692307692340.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692371.8%58.38461538461538137.64913074894432013.2%146.84615384615384114.4080629967380110.0%235.307692307692325.39510817045209234.0%323.769230769230872.0314.8%412.2307692307692111.1400235912104842.7%500.6923076923077135.7528248369266650.2%589.1538461538461140.8031022186444360.0%677.6153846153845141.218877853186437Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd109.630769230769228.33136094674557628th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585312th305.4253.1834319526627248th403.28461538461534163.24260355029585511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071613th599.053846153846275.668639053254476th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd109.630769230769228.33136094674557627th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415310th305.4208.2130177514793410th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793512th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272614th599.053846153846298.1538461538461376th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd109.630769230769250.81656804733728429th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876312th305.4253.18343195266272410th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793512th501.16923076923075253.18343195266272613th599.053846153846275.66863905325447Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Lamar Jackson QB
2.06 20 Davante Adams WR
3.09 37 George Kittle K TE
4.06 48 Calvin Ridley WR
5.09 65 Matthew Golden WR
6.06 76 Jaylen Warren RB
7.09 93 Zach Charbonnet RB
8.06 104 Christian Kirk WR
9.09 121 Bucky Irving K RB
10.06 132 J.J. McCarthy QB
11.09 149 Wan'Dale Robinson WR
12.06 160 Najee Harris RB
13.09 177 Kyle Williams WR
14.06 188 Green Bay DEF
15.09 205 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
16.03 213 Jake Elliott T K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.47256.12307692307693108.5246712679820610.716143.8153846153846391.6520085302757120.000231.5076923076923141.2307692307692330.000319.2141.2307692307692340.000406.89230769230767141.2307692307692350.000494.5846153846154141.2307692307692360.000582.276923076923141.2307692307692370.00056.1230769230769375.8185733051948910.000143.8153846153846342.0732478297821920.332231.5076923076923118.2650781315198630.121319.2132.8225077836215740.766406.8923076923076788.2014726654998150.067494.5846153846154136.5882950537530360.083582.276923076923135.454388735242457Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567857.705494505494598.62721893491124111147.8703296703296582.650887573964520238.0351648351648141.2307692307692330328.19999999999993141.2307692307692340418.36483516483514141.2307692307692350508.52967032967035141.2307692307692360598.6945054945054141.230769230769237057.705494505494556.0236686390532410147.8703296703296524.07100591715975223238.0351648351648125.2544378698224832328.19999999999993130.5798816568047347418.36483516483514103.9526627218934953508.52967032967035125.2544378698224864598.6945054945054119.928994082840237All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Matt 2-5 14th 89.24 0.365 19.02
1 987 2013 Richie 4-3 7th 88.39 0.366 22.75 6-7 10th
2 985 2014 Pat 3-4 10th 88.41 0.365 13.55 5-8 11th
3 984 2014 Allen 3-4 11th 88.26 0.364 14.50 6-7 10th
4 982 2019 Rob 3-4 11th 91.72 0.364 16.03 5-8 13th
5 976 2016 Derrek 2-5 13th 89.89 0.356 18.05 3-10 14th
6 973 2025 Babel 3-4 9th 92.33 0.367 24.55
7 968 2016 Babel 3-4 11th 91.88 0.375 20.13 7-6 6th 6th place
8 968 2015 Kevin 2-5 12th 87.04 0.373 15.35 3-10 14th
9 966 2009 Ed 3-4 10th 88.54 0.355 13.55 7-6 4th 6th place
10 962 2022 Pat 3-4 11th 88.80 0.381 16.79 8-6 6th 6th place